SARATOGA · Race 12 · Starter Optional Claiming

(up To $10,962 Nysbfoa) For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $20,000 Or Less Since August 31, 2024 Or Claiming Price $32,000. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 28, 2025 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

Race 12 of 14

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Navajo Warrior$3.30$2.50$2.10
26Gasoline$5.10$3.40
31Swaggish$2.40
31AAlternate Reality$2.40
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-6$1.00$10.80
Trifecta2-6-1$0.50$15.87
Superfecta2-6-1-7$0.10$11.70
Starter Optional Claiming1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $63,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Swaggish123 lbLKendrick Carmouche52.7957/214/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
3.8
Finish
3.4
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.7
Career best · average
102.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
95 · 94
Power
94.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$162,042
Per start
$5,063.81

Connections and form

Jockey
Kendrick Carmouche
Trainer
Wayne Potts 1/7
Weight · days off
123 · 24d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 13 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runJunior Alvarado122
Wed 6 AugSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming478.0Jose Ortiz123
Wed 30 JulSARATOGA1 3/8 Miles · Inner turfStarter Optional Claimingnot runChristopher Elliott125
Thu 17 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfStarter Optional Claimingnot runChristopher Elliott120
Thu 3 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming285.0Christopher Elliott
Sun 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowancenot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.
Fri 28 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackStarter Optional Claiming397.0Luan Machado120
Sat 1 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming294.0Joseph Ramos121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

1AAlternate Reality125 lbLJunior Alvarado54.1987/214/3

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
5.8
Finish
3.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
98.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
98 · 101
Power
94.1 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-2-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$381,586
Per start
$10,902.46

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Wayne Potts 0/2
Weight · days off
125 · 45d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 16 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runJose Ortiz
Wed 16 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance486.0Christopher Elliott120
Sat 7 JunSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3108.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.124
Sat 26 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming2101.0Christopher Elliott118
Fri 4 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming193.0Lane Luzzi123
Fri 7 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming289.0Lane Luzzi121
Thu 13 FebAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming198.0Manuel Franco123
Fri 24 JanAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runSofia Vives121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Navajo Warrior125 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.54.7942/111/17

Probability

Pace

Early
4.4
Middle
4.6
Finish
3.7
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
116.0 · 88.0
Class, average · last
94 · 107
Power
101.1 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$18,913.06

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Saffie Joseph, Jr. 28/116
Weight · days off
125 · 96d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 26 MaySANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming1112.0Antonio Fresu126
Sun 27 AprSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance1100.0Antonio Fresu126
Sat 1 MarSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming194.0Antonio Fresu124
Sat 1 FebSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · TurfStarter Optional Claiming299.0Antonio Fresu124
Mon 27 JanPARX RACING6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming380.0
Tue 14 JanPARX RACING6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance8300.0
Mon 9 DecPARX RACING5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4500.0
Tue 19 NovPARX RACING6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3400.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Six Kings125 lbLDylan Davis54.28520/123/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.0
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
83.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
85 · 85
Power
79.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Dylan Davis
Trainer
Robert Falcone, Jr. 0/4
Weight · days off
125 · 27d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 3 AugSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming184.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.125
Thu 12 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming4660.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.124
Sat 24 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · TurfStarter Optional Claiming687.0Francisco Martinez121
Sat 17 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtClaiming277.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.126
Sat 3 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming565.0Katie Davis125
Sat 12 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowancenot runKatie Davis123
Sat 5 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming475.0Dylan Davis125
Sat 15 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtClaiming183.0Ruben Silvera120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Rock the Weekend125 lbLKatie Davis53.09615/141/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
6.3
Finish
4.1
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.0
Career best · average
93.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
96 · 98
Power
82.1 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$251,183
Per start
$6,788.73

Connections and form

Jockey
Katie Davis
Trainer
Lolita Shivmangal 3/28
Weight · days off
125 · 14d

6yo · Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 16 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming575.0Katie Davis
Fri 11 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming580.0Katie Davis125
Wed 4 JunSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtCommentator S.843.0Katie Davis124
Sat 10 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runKatie Davis126
Fri 9 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runKatie Davis126
Sat 12 AprAQUEDUCT7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming197.0Katie Davis123
Fri 21 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming689.0Katie Davis123
Sat 1 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming386.0Katie Davis123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5No Confessionscratched50/1
6Gasoline125 lbLLuis Saez53.5996/113/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.3
Finish
4.5
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
95.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
99 · 95
Power
90.9 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,992.34

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Carlos David 6/34
Weight · days off
125 · 38d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 23 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming193.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.125
Sun 20 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfClaimingnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.125
Wed 11 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance7700.0Jose Ortiz118
Fri 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming393.0Keith Asmussen118
Sat 3 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming786.0Erik Asmussen118
Fri 11 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance495.0Erik Asmussen119
Mon 24 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming191.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runRicardo Santana, Jr.

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Systemic Change125 lbLEric Cancel53.8995/144/3

Probability

Pace

Early
7.0
Middle
6.1
Finish
4.1
Post draw
3.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
101.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
99 · 96
Power
87.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$531,322
Per start
$17,710.73

Connections and form

Jockey
Eric Cancel
Trainer
Ilkay Kantarmaci 0/8
Weight · days off
125 · 8d

7yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 22 AugSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming192.0Joel Rosario125
Wed 16 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance682.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.125
Wed 11 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance5940.0Keith Asmussen120
Sun 18 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance593.0Keith Asmussen120
Sat 3 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming392.0Keith Asmussen124
Sun 13 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming196.0Keith Asmussen117
Fri 28 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackStarter Optional Claiming496.0Joseph Ramos120
Sun 26 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming4101.0Luis Contreras120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8He's Got Thisscratched10/1
9Hero Status125 lbLRicardo Santana, Jr.52.81039/25

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
3.8
Finish
5.3
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.8
Career best · average
108.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
103 · 98
Power
82.8 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$15,065

Connections and form

Jockey
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Trainer
Norm Casse 11/67
Weight · days off
125 · 36d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 25 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtClaiming1860.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.123
Sun 9 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claiming7800.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Fri 17 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming9430.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sun 1 DecCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10780.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sun 20 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6960.0Luis Saez122
Sun 28 JulDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming21080.0Mike Smith123
Sat 4 MaySANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11020.0Mike Smith124
Fri 8 MarSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4810.0Flavien Prat124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate