SARATOGA · Race 11 · Saratoga Derby Invitational S.

An Invitational For Three-year-olds.

←Race 11 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Carson's Run$12.40$4.70$3.10
21Legend of Time (GB)—$3.40$2.60
36Deterministic——$2.60
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-1—$17.20
Trifecta4-1-6—$25.75
Superfecta4-1-6-3—$12.72
Saratoga Derby Invitational S.1 3/16 Miles · Turf · Good · Purse $600,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Carson's Run——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
38: 8-7-4
Wins
21.1%
Earnings
$85,677
Per start
$2,254.66

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Mare

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Carson's Run.

Carson's Run——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,516.29

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Carson's Run.

Deterministic——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$277.80

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Deterministic.

Royal Majesty (GB)——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Royal Majesty (GB).

Carson's Run——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$130.33

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Carson's Run.

Deterministic——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$129,610
Per start
$2,700.21

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

7yo · Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Deterministic.

Legend of Time (GB)——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
1: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$100
Per start
$100

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Mare

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Legend of Time (GB).

Legend of Time (GB)——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$640.68

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Legend of Time (GB).

Deterministic——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Deterministic.

Deterministic——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Deterministic.

Deterministic——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Deterministic.

Carson's Run——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$574.39

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Carson's Run.

Carson's Run——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-4-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$123,508
Per start
$3,250.21

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

6yo · Mare

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Carson's Run.

1Legend of Time (GB)122 lbFlavien Prat54.5965/211/10

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
5.0
Finish
3.3
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
100.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
96 · 101
Power
98.5 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Charles Appleby 6/9
Weight · days off
122 · 35d

Colt

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runFlavien Prat122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runWilliam Buick122
Sat 6 JulBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfBelmont Derby Invitational S.31000.0William Buick—
Sat 25 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · Outer turfPennine Ridge S.1950.0Joel Rosario122
Sat 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAmerican Turf S. presented by TwinSpires5950.0Lanfranco Dettori118
Sat 2 MarMEY——1not run——
Sat 2 MarMEYAbout 1 Mile · Turf—1not run——
Fri 2 FebMEY——1not run——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Izzy d'Oro122 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.55.28815/147/3

Probability

Pace

Early
1.9
Middle
2.2
Finish
4.1
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
94.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
88 · 96
Power
87.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,166.23

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Blake Kelly
Weight · days off
122 · 48d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runIrad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runJavier Castellano122
Sun 23 JunMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfTale of the Cat S.487.0Jorge Ruiz118
Fri 26 AprKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance192.0Jorge Ruiz118
Sat 23 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight189.0Edgar Perez118
Sat 9 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight—not runEdgar Perez118
Sat 10 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight488.0Edgar Perez—
Sat 9 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight971.0Junior Alvarado118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Royal Majesty (GB)122 lbJunior Alvarado54.7948/128/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
6.1
Finish
3.5
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
100.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
94 · 101
Power
94.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$18,513.57

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
William Mott 46/251
Weight · days off
122 · 35d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runJunior Alvarado122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runJunior Alvarado122
Sat 6 JulBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfBelmont Derby Invitational S.4920.0Junior Alvarado—
Sat 25 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · Outer turfPennine Ridge S.3760.0Junior Alvarado118
Sat 13 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance1960.0Junior Alvarado118
Fri 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfTransylvania S. Presented by Keeneland Select—not runJunior Alvarado118
Sat 2 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfColonel Liam S.5670.0Junior Alvarado—
Sat 20 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1870.0Junior Alvarado—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Carson's Run122 lbDylan Davis54.9948/121/4

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.8
Finish
3.0
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
— · 90.0
Class, average · last
94 · 96
Power
92.8 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$1,632,129
Per start
$125,548.38

Connections and form

Jockey
Dylan Davis
Trainer
Christophe Clement 21/113
Weight · days off
122 · 48d

5yo · Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runDylan Davis122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runDylan Davis122
Sun 23 JunMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfTale of the Cat S.195.0Vincent Cheminaud116
Sat 27 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · TurfWoodhaven S.588.0Dylan Davis122
Fri 3 NovSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfPrevagen Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf9103.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 16 SepWOODBINE1 Mile · Turfbet365 Summer S.192.0Dylan Davis122
Thu 31 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfWith Anticipation S.280.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 29 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight180.0Dylan Davis119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Fulmineo122 lbTyler Gaffalione53.59010/111/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
5.8
Finish
2.6
Post draw
20.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
90.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
90 · 94
Power
99.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$16,662.37

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Arnaud Delacour 0/1
Weight · days off
122 · 28d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runTyler Gaffalione122
Sat 10 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfSecretariat S.—not runVictor Carrasco—
Sat 13 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfBoston S.1940.0Victor Carrasco122
Sat 18 MayPIMLICO1 Mile · TurfJames W. Murphy S.1860.0Flavien Prat—
Fri 19 AprLAUREL PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance2900.0Victor Carrasco114
Sat 9 MarTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfColumbia S.2950.0Junior Alvarado118
Sat 10 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtSam F. Davis S.5800.0Daniel Centeno—
Sun 14 JanTAMPA BAY1 mile 40 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2780.0Daniel Centeno—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Deterministic122 lbJoel Rosario54.1939/219/7

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.7
Finish
3.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
— · 89.0
Class, average · last
93 · 95
Power
91.4 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joel Rosario
Trainer
Christophe Clement 24/116
Weight · days off
122 · 42d

Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · DirtSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runJoel Rosario122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfSaratoga Derby Invitational S.—not runJoel Rosario122
Sat 29 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfManila S.298.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 11 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · DirtPeter Pan S.589.0Joel Rosario123
Sat 6 AprAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtWood Memorial S. Presented by Resorts World Casino881.0Joel Rosario123
Sat 2 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtGotham S.197.0Joel Rosario—
Sat 12 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight187.0Joel Rosario119
Sat 22 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight—not runFlavien Prat119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7First World Warscratched—————9/2—
8Trikariscratched—————3/1—
19 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate