KEENELAND · Race 8 · Allowance

For Four Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $20,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races. Weight, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since February 9 Allowed 3 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 5 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In The Event That This Race Is Taken Off The Turf It Will Be Contested At One Mile On The Main Track. (rail At 30 Feet).

Race 8 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
16Reagan's Wit$14.32$8.90$5.84
27Pineland$20.92$9.48
312Ejtimaa$12.58
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta6-7$1.00$190.59
Trifecta6-7-12$0.50$1754.18
Superfecta6-7-12-2$0.50$8930.69
Allowance1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $130,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Smokey Smokeyscratched15/1
2Risk Tolerance (IRE)118 lbLFlavien Prat55.4993/116/17

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.6
Finish
1.5
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.4
Career best · average
106.0 · 102.0
Class, average · last
99 · 104
Power
103.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-2-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$99,393
Per start
$16,565.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Chad Brown 77/289
Weight · days off
118 · 74d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 24 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2106.0Flavien Prat121
Fri 26 DecTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfAllowance1101.0Samy Camacho121
Sat 4 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance2100.0Manuel Franco122
Sun 7 SepMONMOUTH PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowancenot runSamy Camacho121
Sat 27 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming895.0Manuel Franco122
Sat 25 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · Outer turfPennine Ridge S.not runManuel Franco118
Sun 21 AprAQUEDUCT1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight195.0Manuel Franco118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Simulate118 lbLJohn Velazquez55.210312/155/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.9
Middle
5.4
Finish
4.2
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
105.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
103 · 110
Power
95.1 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$270,324
Per start
$27,032.40

Connections and form

Jockey
John Velazquez
Trainer
William Mott 6/27
Weight · days off
118 · 67d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 31 JanTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfTampa Bay S.598.0Daniel Centeno118
Sat 13 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfTropical Park Derby4100.0Joe Bravo122
Sat 22 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfCommonwealth Turf S.not runJulien Leparoux118
Sat 25 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfBryan Station S.1089.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfDK Horse Nashville Derby Invitational S.787.0Junior Alvarado120
Sat 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfSecretariat S.298.0Junior Alvarado118
Fri 18 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1105.0Junior Alvarado120
Fri 11 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJunior Alvarado120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Fond Farewellscratched10/1
5Clever Again214d off118 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.53.71038/16

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.8
Finish
3.8
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
107.0 · 93.0
Class, average · last
103 · 107
Power
89.6 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$43,246.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 3/33
Weight · days off
118 · 214d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 6 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfExacta Systems Gun Runner S.5980.0Jose Ortiz118
Fri 1 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfNational Museum of Racing Hall of Fame S.21070.0Jose Ortiz122
Sat 21 JunTHISTLEDOWN1 1/8 Miles · DirtOhio Derby6810.0Jose Ortiz126
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO1 3/16 Miles · DirtPreakness S.9650.0Jose Ortiz126
Sun 30 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtHot Springs S.11040.0Jose Ortiz119
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight11000.0Jose Ortiz
Sat 22 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runJose Ortiz
Sat 20 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weightnot runRicardo Santana, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Reagan's Wit118 lbLJose Ortiz54.81026/131/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
6.4
Finish
3.1
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
108.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
102 · 112
Power
84.6 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 29/128
Weight · days off
118 · 81d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 17 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfColonel E. R. Bradley S.594.0Flavien Prat124
Fri 4 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfManila S.687.0Jose Ortiz120
Sat 28 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAmerican Derbynot runJose Ortiz118
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO1 Mile · TurfJames W. Murphy S.1102.0Jose Ortiz118
Mon 7 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfTransylvania S. Presented by Keeneland Select494.0Jose Ortiz118
Fri 4 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfTransylvania S. Presented by Keeneland Selectnot runJose Ortiz
Sat 8 MarTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfColumbia S.2108.0Jose Ortiz119
Mon 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight183.0Jose Ortiz120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Pineland118 lbLJulien Leparoux54.39820/131/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
3.0
Finish
3.5
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
104.0 · 88.0
Class, average · last
98 · 100
Power
97.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Lindsay Schultz 3/16
Weight · days off
118 · 23d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 16 MarFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming681.0Declan Cannon120
Sat 24 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming390.0Paco Lopez120
Sat 27 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4940.0Paco Lopez120
Sat 25 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance11040.0Julien Leparoux122
Sat 11 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance7640.0Joel Rosario121
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance6930.0Jose Ortiz121
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance3980.0Julien Leparoux
Thu 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfStarter Allowance2840.0Jose Ortiz124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Mountain Bear (IRE)182d off118 lbLJoel Rosario56.31098/110

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
3.9
Finish
3.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
105.0 · 103.0
Class, average · last
109 · 107
Power
96.2 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joel Rosario
Trainer
Wesley Ward 6/29
Weight · days off
118 · 182d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 8 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance5102.0Victor Espinoza122
Sun 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfHandicap3102.0Walter Rodriguez116
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · TurfKeeneland Sales Tapit S.not runVictor Espinoza122
Sat 5 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfKelso S.5105.0Victor Espinoza118
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2101.0Corey Lanerie122
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.3109.0Christopher Hayes122
Sat 14 SepLEO3not run
Sat 14 SepLEO1 Mile · Turf3not run

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9McRavin120 lbLLuis Saez54.7934/15

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
3.4
Finish
1.2
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
104.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
93 · 99
Power
103.3 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 3-1-0
Wins
75.0%
Earnings
$99,430
Per start
$24,857.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
James Toner 0/4
Weight · days off
120 · 35d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 4 MarTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1104.0Daniel Centeno121
Sat 28 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runDavid Egan121
Sat 3 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming188.0Jorge Ruiz
Sat 13 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfTropical Park Derbynot runJorge Ruiz118
Sat 25 OctLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance286.0Victor Carrasco120
Sat 20 SepLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight181.0Victor Carrasco122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Esmark249d off118 lbLJunior Alvarado55.59315/131/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.3
Finish
3.3
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
95.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
93 · 102
Power
81.7 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$27,310.14

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 1/13
Weight · days off
118 · 249d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfKY Downs Preview Nashville Derby694.0Luan Machado
Fri 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance195.0Luis Saez120
Mon 26 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1880.0Junior Alvarado
Sun 13 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight6830.0John Velazquez120
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight3710.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Cairo Caper118 lbLJavier Castellano56.89820/171/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.6
Finish
6.6
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.8
Career best · average
98.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
98 · 101
Power
91.5 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$17,721.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Javier Castellano
Trainer
Katerina Vassilieva 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 33d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 6 MarGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming874.0Junior Alvarado121
Sat 7 FebGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJunior Alvarado121
Sat 6 DecTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming3100.0Victor Carrasco120
Fri 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance295.0Julien Leparoux122
Sun 19 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer turfCarle Place S.694.0Jaime Rodriguez
Sun 12 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer TrackCarle Place S.not runJaime Rodriguez122
Mon 1 SepSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfSaranac S.680.0Luis Saez122
Sat 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfSecretariat S.890.0Victor Carrasco118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Ejtimaa118 lbLSonny Leon54.89612/143/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
6.4
Finish
2.4
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
101.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
96 · 98
Power
97.1 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Sonny Leon
Trainer
Michael Dini 9/69
Weight · days off
118 · 45d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 22 FebTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming396.0Sonny Leon118
Sun 11 MayMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance199.0Sonny Leon122
Sun 6 AprTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfClaiming1101.0Sonny Leon119
Sun 30 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · SyntheticStarter Handicapnot runJoel Rosario121
Sat 22 MarTAMPA BAY1 3/8 Miles · TurfStarter Handicap496.0Jesus Castanon120
Sat 22 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/8 Miles · TurfStarter Handicap391.0Jesus Castanon120
Sat 18 JanTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfStarter Handicap1100.0Jesus Castanon116
Sat 28 DecTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfStarter Handicap589.0Willie Martinez114

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Tough Little Nutscratched15/1
14Joejoe Goscratched12/1
15Special Caliberscratched20/1
16End of Romance (IRE)scratched20/1
10 running · 6 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate