KEENELAND · Race 4 · Allowance

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over On Theturf Since August 4 Allowed 2 Lbs. In The Event That This Race Is Taken Off The Turf It Will Be Contested At One Mile And One-sixteenth On The Main Track.

Race 4 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
110Tenacious Leader$11.32$5.94$4.14
29Montador$5.36$3.92
36Rocky Joy$6.80
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta10-9$1.00$31.18
Trifecta10-9-6$0.50$140.21
Superfecta10-9-6-12$0.10$132.76
Allowance1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Carcano122 lbLDylan Davis54.69520/137/3

Probability

Pace

Early
7.6
Middle
7.2
Finish
3.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
91.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
95 · 89
Power
93.2 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
18: 3-6-3
Wins
16.7%
Earnings
$297,758
Per start
$16,542.11

Connections and form

Jockey
Dylan Davis
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 0/1
Weight · days off
122 · 41d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 23 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfClaiming1920.0Mychel Sanchez123
Sat 20 JulELLIS PARK1 1/4 Miles · TurfAllowance21030.0Gerardo Corrales123
Sun 30 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance9880.0Gerardo Corrales124
Fri 31 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance5890.0Tyler Gaffalione124
Tue 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance4900.0Luis Saez125
Wed 10 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · DirtAllowance3780.0Joel Rosario118
Thu 28 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1960.0
Sat 26 AugFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing1 1/16 Miles · DirtSt. Louis Derby Presented by FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK5720.0Martin Garcia

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Atlal118 lbLLanfranco Dettori55.18512/16/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
75.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
85 · 90
Power
100.8 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Lanfranco Dettori
Trainer
William Mott 0/2
Weight · days off
118 · 26d

Gelding · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1900.0John Velazquez121
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5660.0Florent Geroux
Sat 1 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight2750.0Daniel Centeno119
Sat 28 DecAQUEDUCT7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3760.0Jose Lezcano119
Sat 26 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2650.0Jose Lezcano119
Sat 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight7610.0Tyler Gaffalione119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Mc Vay279d off122 lbLJose Ortiz53.910115/112/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
5.5
Finish
5.4
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 87.0
Class, average · last
101 · 107
Power
99.1 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 31/132
Weight · days off
122 · 279d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 28 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtWoodchopper S.782.0Luis Saez116
Sat 21 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfAllowancenot runJose Ortiz
Sun 1 SepDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtShared Belief S.496.0Umberto Rispoli118
Sat 3 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot run
Sun 9 JunSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtAffirmed S.484.0Mike Smith120
Sat 18 MaySANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight199.0Mike Smith118
Sat 6 AprSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · DirtSanta Anita Derby774.0Hector Berrios124
Sun 3 MarSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtDK Horse San Felipe S.396.0Antonio Fresu

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Monterey Bay118 lbLVictor Espinoza57.1888/117/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
4.4
Finish
2.3
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.1
Career best · average
— · 84.0
Class, average · last
88 · 101
Power
78.4 · 14th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$11,621.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Victor Espinoza
Trainer
Wesley Ward 5/25
Weight · days off
118 · 48d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 16 AugWOODBINE7 1/2 Furlongs · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming299.0Pietro Moran
Sun 6 JulWOODBINE7 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight186.0Pietro Moran115
Fri 6 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight287.0Joe Bravo118
Thu 4 JulWOODBINE6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight368.0Patrick Husbands118
Thu 25 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight481.0Jose Ortiz119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5States' Rights118 lbLCorey Lanerie53.4888/149/6

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.0
Finish
2.4
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
94.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
88 · 96
Power
89.8 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$11,867.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 2/8
Weight · days off
118 · 57d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 7 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming589.0Jose Ortiz120
Fri 27 JunPENN NATIONAL1 Mile · TurfPenn Mile S.not runJose Ortiz116
Fri 20 JunPENN NATIONAL1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaimingnot runJose Ortiz
Sat 7 JunSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtPennine Ridge S.not runJose Ortiz120
Fri 30 MayPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runJose Ortiz
Sat 12 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance291.0Jose Ortiz118
Thu 30 JanFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming292.0Florent Geroux119
Thu 26 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Ortiz

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Rocky Joy122 lbLLuan Machado54.7976/115/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.9
Middle
1.8
Finish
2.1
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
100.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
97 · 100
Power
96.3 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Paulo Lobo 7/45
Weight · days off
122 · 23d

Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance497.0Luan Machado121
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowancenot runLuan Machado122
Thu 3 JulELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance3100.0Luan Machado
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance586.0Luan Machado124
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance299.0Luan Machado118
Sat 1 FebTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming685.0Luan Machado124
Sat 4 JanTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance295.0Luan Machado121
Sun 24 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight199.0Luan Machado124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Anegadascratched12/1
8Enterdadragon118 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.08720/139/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.6
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
92.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
87 · 92
Power
75.6 · 15th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$10,197.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Philip D'Amato 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 147d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 9 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming580.0Luis Saez118
Sat 29 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtCurlin Florida Derby presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa1062.0Dylan Davis122
Thu 13 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowancenot runLuis Saez121
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfColonel Liam S.291.0Dylan Davis118
Sat 1 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfKitten's Joy S.488.0Rajiv Maragh118
Sat 4 JanTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming182.0Samy Camacho118
Fri 13 DecTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runSamy Camacho118
Fri 29 NovGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfPulpit S.780.0Luca Panici118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Montador120 lbLCristian Torres56.7799/223/6

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
3.5
Finish
1.0
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.7
Career best · average
101.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
79 · 91
Power
108.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$320,309
Per start
$35,589.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Michael Stidham 1/15
Weight · days off
120 · 36d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight193.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Thu 24 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight777.0Francisco Arrieta119
Thu 10 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Special Weightnot runFrancisco Arrieta118
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runCristian Torres119
Sat 24 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight270.0Ben Curtis122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Tenacious Leader363d off118 lbLJohn Velazquez54.5867/214/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.9
Finish
2.9
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
91.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
86 · 95
Power
62.9 · 16th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
John Velazquez
Trainer
Todd Pletcher 30/126
Weight · days off
118 · 363d

Colt · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 1 NovDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfBreeders' Cup Juvenile Turfnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiborne Breeders' Futurity676.0Florent Geroux122
Thu 29 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfWith Anticipation S.2910.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.120
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1890.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119
Sat 13 JulSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5480.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Mary's Boy Bolt122 lbLBen Curtis52.910415/147/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
3.3
Finish
3.3
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
96.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
104 · 101
Power
98.8 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$143,887
Per start
$10,277.64

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Chris Hartman 4/39
Weight · days off
122 · 29d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance493.0Ben Curtis122
Sat 9 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming630.0Ricardo Gonzalez123
Sat 19 JulDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming973.0Ricardo Gonzalez123
Sun 10 SepDEL MAR7 Furlongs · DirtRunhappy Del Mar Futurity587.0Ricardo Gonzalez120
Sat 26 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight164.0Ricardo Gonzalez120
Thu 24 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot run
Sun 20 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runGeovanni Franco
Sun 23 JulDEL MAR5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight934.0Diego Herrera120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Favorable Scenario124 lbLFlavien Prat55.8876/15/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.4
Middle
8.8
Finish
1.3
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
81.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
87 · 87
Power
79.4 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Chad Brown 61/262
Weight · days off
124 · 56d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 8 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight187.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.124
Sat 11 FebGULFSTREAM PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight386.0Joel Rosario118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Paris Surprisescratched15/1
14Maui Strongscratched8/1
15Write Off Jerryscratched6/1
16Global Prosperityscratched20/1
11 running · 5 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate