KENTUCKY DOWNS · Race 7 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $12,500 Three Times Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Optional, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or Claiming Price $100,000. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. Non-winners Of $60,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since July 11 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (races Where Entered For $80,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 7 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
110Lute Warm$10.12$4.98$3.78
27Justifiable Belle$5.10$3.78
39Strikingly Spun$5.98
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta10-7$28.29
Trifecta10-7-9$90.74
Superfecta10-7-9-12$62.99
Allowance Optional Claiming1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $210,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Join the Dance

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Join the Dance.

Lute Warm

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lute Warm.

Lute Warm

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$40,150

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lute Warm.

Justifiable Belle

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,598.30

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Justifiable Belle.

1Join the Dance124 lbLJohn Velazquez54.01016/145/4

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.7
Finish
4.1
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
103.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
101 · 103
Power
96.7 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
27: 3-7-6
Wins
11.1%
Earnings
$331,752
Per start
$12,287.11

Connections and form

Jockey
John Velazquez
Trainer
Dallas Stewart 3/23
Weight · days off
124 · 66d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfIndiana General Assembly Distaff H.3980.0Mike Smith118
Thu 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2910.0Julien Leparoux122
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfModesty S. presented by Derby City Gaming & Hotel10890.0John Velazquez118
Sat 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfTom Benson Memorial S.21030.0John Velazquez
Sat 17 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAlbert M. Stall Memorial S.5980.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMarie G. Krantz Memorial S.21010.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 23 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfBlushing K. D. S.3970.0Joel Rosario124
Sat 2 SepMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfViolet S.5840.0Jose Ferrer124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2She's Lookin Luckyscratched3/1
3Misread124 lbLJoel Rosario54.1968/14

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
3.2
Finish
3.3
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
102.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
96 · 103
Power
102.9 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$20,554.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Joel Rosario
Trainer
Thomas Drury, Jr. 1/5
Weight · days off
124 · 66d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfIndiana General Assembly Distaff H.8940.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.124
Sun 30 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAnchorage Overnight S.not runJoel Rosario118
Sun 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfOld Forester Mint Julep S.51000.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 20 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance11020.0Luis Saez118
Sun 27 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfEllis Park Turf S.5960.0Edgar Morales
Sun 23 JulELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance1900.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Sun 25 JunELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance2870.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Fri 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance2920.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Liberty Belle124 lbLJason Simpson55.18930/1108/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.2
Middle
3.8
Finish
4.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
— · 76.0
Class, average · last
89 · 83
Power
66.1 · 15th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,583.36

Connections and form

Jockey
Jason Simpson
Trainer
Michelle Winters 7/56
Weight · days off
124 · 26d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 25 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight6680.0
Fri 16 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4520.0
Thu 15 AugTHISTLEDOWN1 Mile · DirtAllowance178.0Jason Simpson119
Thu 25 JulTHISTLEDOWN6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance474.0Jason Simpson119
Mon 8 JulTHISTLEDOWN6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance565.0Jason Simpson123
Mon 10 JunTHISTLEDOWN6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance375.0Rocco Bowen119
Sat 18 MayTHISTLEDOWN6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runJason Simpson119
Sat 24 FebMAHONING VALLEY RACE COURSE1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Bracho

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Valentina Day124 lbLGerardo Corrales54.610120/164/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
4.3
Finish
5.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
96.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
101 · 100
Power
89.8 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
23: 3-0-3
Wins
13.0%
Earnings
$196,972
Per start
$8,564

Connections and form

Jockey
Gerardo Corrales
Trainer
Kara McGuire 0/1
Weight · days off
124 · 50d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 26 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfEllis Park Turf S.not runGerardo Corrales122
Mon 22 JulPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming6770.0Sophie Doyle122
Thu 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3910.0Gerardo Corrales122
Sun 21 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance6930.0Gerardo Corrales118
Fri 8 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming5760.0Luan Machado124
Sat 19 AugWOODBINE7 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming4800.0Emma-Jayne Wilson122
Sun 23 JulWOODBINE1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackTrillium S. Presented by Stella Artois5900.0Emma-Jayne Wilson123
Thu 15 JunELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4930.0Luan Machado122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Not So Close124 lbLRicardo Santana, Jr.53.810010/19

Probability

Pace

Early
1.4
Middle
1.5
Finish
4.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
102.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
100 · 102
Power
95.8 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Trainer
Norm Casse 25/111
Weight · days off
124 · 27d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 14 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming5950.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3950.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122
Sat 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfLongines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile S.10660.0Luis Saez118
Sat 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfTom Benson Memorial S.31020.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Sat 17 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAlbert M. Stall Memorial S.6950.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 21 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance4910.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Fri 29 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfNoble Damsel S.not runJose Lezcano122
Sat 23 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfNoble Damsel S.not runJose Lezcano122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Justifiable Belle124 lbLLuis Saez54.4918/143/11

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
98.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
91 · 98
Power
89.7 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$20,495.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 2/11
Weight · days off
124 · 114d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 19 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1960.0Luis Saez124
Sun 12 MayGULFSTREAM PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight5680.0
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLuis Saez122
Fri 26 AprGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming10630.0
Sat 13 AprGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Optional Claiming3670.0
Sun 7 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance1930.0Luis Saez122
Sat 16 MarGULFSTREAM PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Optional Claiming2850.0
Fri 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming5670.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Safeenscratched8/1
9Strikingly Spun124 lbLLanfranco Dettori53.29915/154/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
5.8
Finish
4.6
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.2
Career best · average
96.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
99 · 102
Power
92.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
25: 3-3-5
Wins
12.0%
Earnings
$402,320
Per start
$16,092.80

Connections and form

Jockey
Lanfranco Dettori
Trainer
Joe Sharp 2/3
Weight · days off
124 · 27d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 14 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7940.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfIndiana General Assembly Distaff H.7940.0Jaime Torres124
Sun 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1880.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Thu 11 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance4800.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Wed 1 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2940.0Tyler Gaffalione
Thu 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3970.0John Velazquez118
Fri 4 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfFasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.5850.0Luis Saez121
Sat 8 JulBELMONT PARK1 1/4 Miles · Inner turfFasig-Tipton Belmont Oaks Invitational S.8900.0Jose Ortiz121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Lute Warm124 lbLFlorent Geroux53.2824/141/10

Probability

Pace

Early
4.7
Middle
3.9
Finish
1.6
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.2
Career best · average
96.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
82 · 95
Power
92.9 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$31,060.22

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Brittany Russell
Weight · days off
124 · 47d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · TurfJeff Ruby One Dreamer S.not runFlorent Geroux124
Thu 25 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance Optional Claiming183.0Jevian Toledo123
Wed 19 JunDELAWARE PARKAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance192.0Sheldon Russell120
Sun 12 MayPIMLICO1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight169.0Sheldon Russell126
Sun 21 AprLAUREL PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight274.0Sheldon Russell126
Sat 30 MarREMINGTON PARK300 Yards · DirtMaiden1730.0
Fri 15 MarLAUREL PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight361.0Sheldon Russell126

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Best Cupcakescratched30/1
12Watch This Birdie124 lbLJose Ortiz54.19712/123/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
6.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
2.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
101.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
97 · 102
Power
91.1 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$252,801
Per start
$11,490.95

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Ignacio Correas IV 9/30
Weight · days off
124 · 27d

6yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 14 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming398.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sun 21 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance881.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfTom Benson Memorial S.996.0James Graham
Sat 17 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAlbert M. Stall Memorial S.3100.0James Graham118
Sat 30 DecFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 Mile · TurfPago Hop S.394.0James Graham116
Fri 24 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMrs. Revere S.not runVincent Cheminaud
Wed 1 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming198.0Vincent Cheminaud

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Heavenly Appointed124 lbLFlavien Prat54.78910/17/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
5.8
Finish
3.1
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
88.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
89 · 103
Power
95.1 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
12: 3-2-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$109,249
Per start
$9,104.08

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
H. Motion 4/13
Weight · days off
124 · 108d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfKeertana S.4800.0Kevin Gomez118
Sun 21 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance4980.0Flavien Prat120
Sun 25 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1990.0Kevin Gomez121
Sun 21 JanTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance1870.0Kevin Gomez
Fri 8 DecTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1750.0Kevin Gomez121
Sun 19 NovLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runKevin Gomez124
Thu 5 OctDELAWARE PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight2740.0Kevin Gomez120
Thu 7 SepDELAWARE PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight3770.0William Humphrey

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Be Like Waterscratched30/1
15Insensitivescratched20/1
16Dear Lady124 lbLJaime Torres53.69420/144

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
5.0
Finish
8.8
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
75.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
94 · 93
Power
68.6 · 14th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Michael Maker 7/22
Weight · days off
124 · 45d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Ortiz121
Sat 27 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4760.0Colby Hernandez122
Sat 27 JanSAM HOUSTON1 1/16 Miles · DirtHouston Ladies Classic S.41030.0David Cohen
Mon 1 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1920.0Francisco Arrieta
Sun 26 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance1890.0Francisco Arrieta
Thu 16 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance4850.0Francisco Arrieta
Sat 14 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance4800.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Sat 30 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

15 running · 5 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate