FAIR GROUNDS · Race 5 · Allowance

For Four Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Waiver Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Weight, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since November 22 Allowed 2 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 5 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Original Sin$9.00$3.60$2.20
25Crisis Manager$3.00$2.40
33Tre Italiani$2.10
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-5$1.00$11.90
Trifecta1-5-3$0.50$12.50
Superfecta1-5-3-2$0.10$5.36
Allowance1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $55,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Original Sin120 lbLBen Curtis53.3919/27/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
7.5
Finish
3.2
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
93.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
91 · 97
Power
82.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 11/68
Weight · days off
120 · 52d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 30 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance383.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Thu 30 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1940.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Fri 13 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight3730.0Ramon Vazquez120
Wed 23 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight6650.0Florent Geroux119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Contribution120 lbLAxel Concepcion52.7925/223/8

Probability

Pace

Early
7.5
Middle
7.5
Finish
1.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.7
Career best · average
86.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
92 · 98
Power
103.7 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$34,600
Per start
$6,920

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Brad Cox 2/6
Weight · days off
120 · 25d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfAllowance398.0Axel Concepcion117
Wed 29 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight188.0Fernando De La Cruz122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Tre Italiani120 lbLJareth Loveberry55.6942/112/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
1.8
Finish
2.3
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
97.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
94 · 97
Power
93.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jareth Loveberry
Trainer
Larry Rivelli 24/127
Weight · days off
120 · 32d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 8 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowancenot runWalter Rodriguez121
Sat 20 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance398.0Walter Rodriguez118
Sun 30 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance2890.0Walter Rodriguez118
Sun 2 NovHAWTHORNE6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2900.0Jareth Loveberry119
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5980.0Walter Rodriguez120
Mon 25 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1860.0Walter Rodriguez122
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runFlorent Geroux

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Shepherd120 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.56.4956/133/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.2
Middle
6.3
Finish
5.3
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.4
Career best · average
95.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
95 · 97
Power
73.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 32/202
Weight · days off
120 · 144d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 30 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance6580.0Sheldon Russell118
Wed 13 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance6660.0Emmanuel Esquivel120
Sat 21 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6880.0Corey Lanerie118
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7780.0Emmanuel Esquivel123
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming1910.0Jose Ortiz118
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight7830.0Sheldon Russell120
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runSheldon Russell
Sat 8 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight8790.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Crisis Manager120 lbLJose Ortiz53.4924/18/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
5.4
Finish
4.5
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
97.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
92 · 107
Power
90.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Thomas Amoss 23/66
Weight · days off
120 · 40d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 12 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance9860.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122
Thu 20 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight1940.0Jose Ortiz121
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight4880.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.120
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight8730.0Dylan Davis
Sat 22 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runDylan Davis
Sat 4 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight2740.0Cristian Torres120
Sun 29 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runRafael Bejarano120
Thu 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight6680.0Edgar Morales

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Face the Futurescratched6/1
5 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate