FAIR GROUNDS · Race 8 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Three Years Old. Weight, 120 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Their Last 3 Starts).

Race 8 of 13

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Reagan's Honor$16.20$8.00$5.60
29Kelz$65.40$24.60
312Ocelli$3.80
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-9$1.00$525.80
Trifecta7-9-12$0.50$2160.25
Superfecta7-9-12-5$0.10$3360.58
Maiden Special Weight1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $60,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1El Capo120 lbRafael Hernandez52.97915/143/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.4
Middle
3.0
Finish
3.9
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
69.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
79 · 76
Power
69.1 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Rafael Hernandez
Trainer
Preston Ferris
Weight · days off
120 · 55d

Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 NovFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0C.J. McMahon120
Sun 26 OctWOODBINE1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight275.0Rafael Hernandez
Sun 28 SepWOODBINE7 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight366.0Jose Campos121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Gethsemane120 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.8210/117/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
6.3
Finish
6.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 70.0
Class, average · last
82 · 82
Power
74.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$18,678.33

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 37/138
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight567.0Luis Saez120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Liberty Valance120 lbLLuis Saez54.0897/25/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.1
Middle
5.7
Finish
1.9
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
82.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
89 · 91
Power
75.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$16,800

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 11/50
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight382.0Axel Concepcion120
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight276.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sat 4 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight267.0Flavien Prat119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4La Norme de Jour120 lbAxel Concepcion55.08120/156/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
4.8
Finish
4.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 75.0
Class, average · last
81 · 85
Power
63.9 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
W. Calhoun 13/91
Weight · days off
120 · 63d

Colt

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 14 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight11730.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2740.0Corey Lanerie
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2710.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Silver Shot120 lbPaco Lopez9110/125/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
4.2
Finish
4.2
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
67.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
91 · 91
Power
70.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,662.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Paco Lopez
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 4/21
Weight · days off
120 · 70d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight568.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Roguishness120 lbLJose Ortiz53.4845/15

Probability

Pace

Early
7.4
Middle
6.5
Finish
3.9
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
82.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
84 · 91
Power
75.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 32/133
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

Colt · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight481.0Jose Ortiz120
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight382.0Jose Ortiz
Sun 14 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight276.0Jose Ortiz119
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight748.0Declan Cannon119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Reagan's Honor120 lbLFlavien Prat828/143/6

Probability

Pace

Early
7.0
Middle
7.5
Finish
5.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 78.0
Class, average · last
82 · 82
Power
81.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$87,925
Per start
$21,981.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 0/4
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

3yo · Colt · L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight476.0Ben Curtis120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Sunset Skip120 lbLOriel Chavez7850/1167/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.4
Middle
9.2
Finish
9.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
78 · 78
Power
27.0 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$3,430
Per start
$490

Connections and form

Jockey
Oriel Chavez
Trainer
Nathan Hatcher
Weight · days off
120 · 49d

3yo · Colt · L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 28 NovFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight11not runJames Graham120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Kelz120 lbLColby Hernandez54.69320/186/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.9
Middle
9.2
Finish
6.9
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
65.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
93 · 91
Power
67.8 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$6,250

Connections and form

Jockey
Colby Hernandez
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 4/36
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight964.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Thu 27 NovFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight981.0Declan Cannon120
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runDeclan Cannon
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJulien Leparoux
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runDeclan Cannon

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10He's a Charmer120 lbC.J. McMahon54.49212/172/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.8
Finish
4.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
— · 83.0
Class, average · last
92 · 97
Power
67.1 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
C.J. McMahon
Trainer
Ethan West 0/3
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

Gelding

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight790.0C.J. McMahon120
Thu 27 NovFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight585.0C.J. McMahon120
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight577.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Market Runner120 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.53.8885/134/7

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
3.8
Finish
3.5
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
83.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
88 · 91
Power
74.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$34,600
Per start
$6,920

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Thomas Amoss 1/8
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

3yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 8 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJose Ortiz120
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight578.0Declan Cannon120
Sat 29 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight4720.0Joel Rosario119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Ocelli120 lbLBen Curtis55.1904/17/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
5.0
Finish
1.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
85.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
90 · 91
Power
82.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$91,225

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 4/26
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight2840.0Ben Curtis120
Sun 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3820.0Joseph Ramos119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate