DEL MAR · Race 11 · Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

For Three-year-olds And Upward. Northern Hemisphere Three-year-olds, 123 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. Southern Hemisphere Three-year-olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. All Fillies And Mares Allowed 3 Lbs. $15,000 To Pre-enter, $15,000 To Enter, With Guaranteed $1,000,000 Purse Including Travel Awards Of Which 52% To The Owner Of The Winner, 17% To Second, 9% To Third, 5% To Fourth, 3% To Fifth, 2% To Sixth, 1% To Seventh, 1% To Eighth, 1% To Ninth, 1% To Tenth; Plus Travel Awards To Starters Not Based In California. The Maximum Number Of Starters Is Fourteen With Four Also Eligibles.

←Race 11 of 12→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
13Nysos$3.40$2.40$2.10
27Citizen Bull—$5.20$4.00
38Chancer McPatrick——$4.80
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta3-7$1.00$7.70
Trifecta3-7-8$0.50$24.20
Superfecta3-7-8-5$0.10$34.50
Super high five3-7-8-5-6$0.50$311.85
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $1,000,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Will Take It126 lbMike Smith55.010430/146/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
4.3
Finish
3.6
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
108.0 · 96.0
Class, average · last
104 · 108
Power
92.4 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$678,619
Per start
$28,275.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Mike Smith
Trainer
Dallas Stewart
Weight · days off
126 · 34d

5yo · Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAck Ack S.6850.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.—
Sun 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtHanshin S. Presented by JRA1990.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Thu 22 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11060.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Fri 25 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming21030.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 8 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1850.0Edgar Morales120
Sat 1 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2990.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sat 4 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance11050.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfCommonwealth Turf S.8920.0Cristian Torres118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Goal Oriented123 lbLuis Saez55.01036/119/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
3.2
Finish
2.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
109.0 · 104.0
Class, average · last
103 · 108
Power
114.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$89,208.57

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Bob Baffert
Weight · days off
123 · 41d
Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 SepPARX RACING1 1/8 Miles · DirtPennsylvania Derby31080.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 19 JulMONMOUTH PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtNYRA Bets Haskell S.31060.0Flavien Prat119
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO1 3/16 Miles · DirtPreakness S.4980.0Flavien Prat126
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11010.0Flavien Prat118
Sun 6 AprSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1950.0Juan Hernandez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Nysos126 lbFlavien Prat56.01138/57/10

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
4.2
Finish
1.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
112.0 · 111.0
Class, average · last
113 · 114
Power
118.3 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 3-1-0
Wins
75.0%
Earnings
$4,738,500
Per start
$526,500

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Bob Baffert 7/19
Weight · days off
126 · 97d

5yo · Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 30 AugDEL MAR1 1/4 Miles · DirtPacific Classic S.—not runFlavien Prat124
Sat 26 JulDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · DirtSan Diego H.1110.0Flavien Prat124
Sat 31 MaySANTA ANITA7 Furlongs · DirtTriple Bend S.1115.0Juan Hernandez126
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtChurchill Downs S. presented by Ford2100.0Flavien Prat123
Sun 3 MarSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtDK Horse San Felipe S.—not runFlavien Prat—
Sat 3 FebSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtRobert B. Lewis S.1115.0Flavien Prat120
Sun 19 NovDEL MAR7 Furlongs · DirtBob Hope S.1105.0Flavien Prat120
Sat 21 OctSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1104.0Kyle Frey120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Mystik Danscratched—————6/1—
5Tumbarumba126 lbTyler Gaffalione55.510820/130

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
4.0
Finish
3.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
109.0 · 98.0
Class, average · last
108 · 108
Power
93.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brian Lynch 6/16
Weight · days off
126 · 34d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAck Ack S.197.0Tyler Gaffalione—
Sun 10 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtR.A. "Cowboy" Jones S.199.0Tyler Gaffalione—
Sun 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtHanshin S. Presented by JRA493.0Luis Saez118
Thu 22 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3106.0Luis Saez122
Sun 4 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtWestchester S.785.0John Velazquez118
Sat 25 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtFred W. Hooper S. presented by Ketel One Vodka389.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 21 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtHarlan's Holiday S.2104.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 2 NovDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtBig Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile4109.0Luis Saez126

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Full Serrano (ARG)126 lbJoel Rosario54.71127/233/8

Probability

Pace

Early
1.5
Middle
1.3
Finish
1.7
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
117.0 · 110.0
Class, average · last
112 · 115
Power
114.2 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$57,972.52

Connections and form

Jockey
Joel Rosario
Trainer
John Sadler 1/6
Weight · days off
126 · 34d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 SepSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · DirtGoodwood S.2104.0Juan Hernandez—
Mon 1 SepDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1112.0Juan Hernandez121
Sat 30 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfDel Mar Mile S.—not runJuan Hernandez126
Sat 2 NovDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtBig Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile1117.0Joel Rosario126
Sat 31 AugDEL MAR1 1/4 Miles · DirtFanDuel Racing Pacific Classic S.2113.0Reylu Gutierrez124
Sat 3 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming198.0Hector Berrios125
Sat 3 FebSIAbout 1 1/4 Miles · Turf—7not run——
Sat 13 JanSIAbout 1 1/4 Miles · Turf—2not run——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Citizen Bull123 lbJuan Hernandez54.010110/15

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.6
Finish
3.3
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
112.0 · 96.0
Class, average · last
101 · 103
Power
107.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
10: 5-1-1
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$1,726,000
Per start
$172,600

Connections and form

Jockey
Juan Hernandez
Trainer
Bob Baffert 70/165
Weight · days off
123 · 61d

Colt

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 31 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtShared Belief S.11010.0Juan Hernandez124
Sat 7 JunSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtWoody Stephens S. Presented by Mohegan Sun41000.0Mike Smith124
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtKentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve15580.0Martin Garcia126
Sat 5 AprSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · DirtSanta Anita Derby4920.0Martin Garcia124
Sat 1 FebSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtRobert B. Lewis S.11050.0Martin Garcia124
Fri 1 NovDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · DirtFanDuel Breeders' Cup Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance11060.0Martin Garcia122
Sat 5 OctSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtAmerican Pharoah S. Presented by DK Horse1990.0Martin Garcia122
Sun 8 SepDEL MAR7 Furlongs · DirtDel Mar Futurity3880.0Mike Smith120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Chancer McPatrick123 lbJose Ortiz54.59815/122

Probability

Pace

Early
7.5
Middle
6.2
Finish
3.4
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
95.0 · 96.0
Class, average · last
98 · 109
Power
98.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Chad Brown 1/11
Weight · days off
123 · 69d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 23 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtH. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.4101.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.124
Thu 24 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtCurlin S. Presented by Casamigos1102.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.124
Sat 7 JunSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtWoody Stephens S. Presented by Mohegan Sun7102.0Flavien Prat124
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtToyota Blue Grass S.698.0Flavien Prat123
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtToyota Blue Grass S.—not runFlavien Prat—
Sat 8 MarTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtLambholm South Tampa Bay Derby293.0Flavien Prat124
Fri 1 NovDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · DirtFanDuel Breeders' Cup Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance695.0Flavien Prat122
Sat 5 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtChampagne S.194.0Flavien Prat122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Touch of Destiny (URU)123 lbLuis Caceres——8420/130/1

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
106.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
84 · 99
Power
112.4 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Caceres
Trainer
Michael McCarthy
Weight · days off
123 · 124d
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 29 JunMRNAbout 1 Mile · Dirt—1not run——
Sun 1 JunMRNAbout 7 Furlongs · Dirt—1not run——
Sun 27 AprMRNAbout 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt—1not run——
Sun 2 MarMRNAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt—1not run——
Sun 2 FebMRN——1not run——
Sun 12 JanMRN——1not run——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10White Abarrioscratched—————8/1—
8 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate