COLONIAL DOWNS · Race 9 · Virginia Derby Presented by New Kent County

For Three-year-olds.

Race 9 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Incredibolt$14.40$7.40$5.60
22Grittiness$24.60$10.40
38Confessional$6.80
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-2$1.00$152.30
Trifecta7-2-8$0.50$660.95
Superfecta7-2-8-1$0.10$429.70
Virginia Derby Presented by New Kent County1 1/8 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $500,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Buetane123 lbFlavien Prat56.2935/23/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
3.7
Finish
2.4
Post draw
20.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.2
Career best · average
97.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
93 · 96
Power
106.2 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Bob Baffert 12/28
Weight · days off
123 · 35d
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 6 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSouthwest S.397.0Joel Rosario117
Sat 31 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtHoly Bull S.not run
Sat 31 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSouthwest S.not runJoel Rosario
Sat 10 JanSANTA ANITA7 Furlongs · DirtSan Vicente S.296.0Juan Hernandez120
Mon 1 SepSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtSpendthrift Hopeful S.287.0Flavien Prat122
Sun 3 AugDEL MAR6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight189.0Juan Hernandez122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Grittiness123 lbRajiv Maragh53.98512/136

Probability

Pace

Early
7.6
Middle
6.8
Finish
4.7
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
82.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
85 · 93
Power
81.9 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-2-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$68,750
Per start
$13,750

Connections and form

Jockey
Rajiv Maragh
Trainer
Todd Pletcher 2/11
Weight · days off
123 · 35d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 6 FebAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtWithers S.282.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.123
Sat 31 JanAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtWithers S.not runRicardo Santana, Jr.
Sat 6 DecAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtRemsen S.581.0Jaime Rodriguez118
Sun 9 NovAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight276.0Flavien Prat119
Sat 30 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight663.0Jose Lezcano119
Sat 2 AugSARATOGA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight665.0Dylan Davis119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Epic Desire123 lbSheldon Russell53.58315/175/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.5
Middle
5.2
Finish
3.7
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
85.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
83 · 93
Power
87.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,103.57

Connections and form

Jockey
Sheldon Russell
Trainer
Todd Pletcher
Weight · days off
123 · 34d
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtSam F. Davis S.585.0Samy Camacho122
Fri 9 JanTAMPA BAY1 mile 40 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weight184.0Samy Camacho119
Thu 2 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight385.0John Velazquez119
Sun 10 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight462.0John Velazquez119
Fri 11 JulSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight279.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119
Fri 18 AprKEENELAND4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight667.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Work123 lbMychel Sanchez54.79320/156/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
4.6
Finish
7.3
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
— · 70.0
Class, average · last
93 · 91
Power
80.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Mychel Sanchez
Trainer
Doug O'Neill
Weight · days off
123 · 26d
Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 15 FebSANTA ANITA6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight192.0Armando Ayuso122
Sun 18 JanSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight583.0Edwin Maldonado122
Sun 30 NovDEL MAR1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight11750.0Kyle Frey122
Mon 13 OctSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight6310.0Kyle Frey122
Sat 27 SepSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5670.0Kyle Frey

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5High Camp123 lbJohn Velazquez55.7849/24

Probability

Pace

Early
2.7
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.6
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
— · 86.0
Class, average · last
84 · 88
Power
90.5 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
John Velazquez
Trainer
William Walden 4/22
Weight · days off
123 · 34d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 FebGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1920.0John Velazquez122
Sun 28 DecGULFSTREAM PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2800.0John Velazquez120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Lockstocknpharoah123 lbEdgar Morales55.5895/136/7

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
3.3
Finish
1.1
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
— · 93.0
Class, average · last
89 · 87
Power
101.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Thomas Drury, Jr. 2/17
Weight · days off
123 · 34d

Gelding

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming199.0Edgar Morales118
Fri 19 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight187.0Edgar Morales119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Incredibolt123 lbJaime Torres54.58810/125/4

Probability

Pace

Early
6.1
Middle
5.1
Finish
3.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
94.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
88 · 94
Power
79.9 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$498,681
Per start
$83,113.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Riley Mott 13/70
Weight · days off
123 · 41d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 31 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtHoly Bull S.650.0Jaime Torres124
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStreet Sense S.194.0Jaime Torres122
Sun 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1890.0Jaime Torres119
Fri 22 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4730.0Jaime Torres

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Confessional123 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.55.2894/18/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
3.4
Finish
3.9
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
81.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
89 · 93
Power
86.7 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$133,485
Per start
$33,371.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 44/172
Weight · days off
123 · 34d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtSam F. Davis S.781.0Flavien Prat122
Fri 2 JanGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming283.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Thu 16 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight197.0Axel Concepcion
Fri 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runFlorent Geroux119
Fri 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Ocelli123 lbJoseph Ramos53.99015/129/4

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.0
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
85.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
90 · 93
Power
88.4 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$91,225

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Ramos
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 4/43
Weight · days off
123 · 34d
Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtSam F. Davis S.6850.0Joseph Ramos122
Sat 17 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtLecomte S.not runJoseph Ramos122
Sat 17 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight3850.0Ben Curtis120
Sat 20 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight2840.0Ben Curtis120
Sun 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3820.0Joseph Ramos119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Clocker Special123 lbCristian Torres56.0838/155/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.4
Middle
2.9
Finish
2.3
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
79.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
83 · 85
Power
74.0 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 2/12
Weight · days off
123 · 33d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 8 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2790.0Cristian Torres116
Sun 1 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runCristian Torres
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1740.0Luan Machado119
Thu 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3720.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate