COLONIAL DOWNS · Race 4 · Starter Allowance

(plus Up To 50% Vbf) For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2024 - 2025. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 21 Allowed 2 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) Preference To Stakes Winners In 2024-2025 Then By Highest Earnings In 2024-2025 (1st And 2nd Place Horses Automatically Qualify For Claiming Crown Glass Slipper At Churchill Downs).

←Race 4 of 12→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
15Next Girl$9.20$3.60$2.10
26Mercy Warren—$2.80$2.10
34Concrete Faze——$2.10
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta5-6$1.00$10.10
Trifecta5-6-4$0.50$11.75
Superfecta5-6-4-3$0.10$2.46
Starter Allowance1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $50,000
off12:30 PM
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Kestenna (GB)123 lbLGavin Ashton51.57430/167/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.9
Middle
6.8
Finish
4.5
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.5
Career best · average
81.0 · 56.0
Class, average · last
74 · 83
Power
67.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,510

Connections and form

Jockey
Gavin Ashton
Trainer
Javier Morzan
Weight · days off
123 · 21d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 30 JulMOUNTAINEER1 3/8 Miles · TurfStarter Allowance472.0Yuri Yaranga123
Sun 13 JulMOUNTAINEER1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance181.0Yuri Yaranga120
Mon 23 JunMOUNTAINEER1 Mile · DirtClaiming1640.0Yuri Yaranga120
Mon 5 MayMOUNTAINEER1 Mile · DirtClaiming176.0Yuri Yaranga120
Mon 21 AprMOUNTAINEER5 Furlongs · DirtClaiming352.0Yuri Yaranga120
Thu 20 MarPENN NATIONAL1 Mile · DirtClaiming540.0Shirley Yancapallo Gomocio121
Wed 19 FebPENN NATIONAL1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming445.0Shirley Yancapallo Gomocio121
Thu 13 FebPENN NATIONAL1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming—not runShirley Yancapallo Gomocio121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Ambitiously Placedscratched—————9/2—
3Sunny Isle Beach123 lbLEmmanuel Esquivel52.99010/18/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.2
Middle
4.8
Finish
4.2
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
90.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
90 · 86
Power
66.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$10,631.95

Connections and form

Jockey
Emmanuel Esquivel
Trainer
Matt Shirer 2/9
Weight · days off
123 · 86d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 26 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming176.0Abel Cedillo—
Fri 18 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming661.0Adam Beschizza118
Fri 14 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming471.0Martin Chuan120
Sat 27 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming664.0Martin Chuan122
Sun 9 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming386.0Martin Chuan122
Sun 19 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runFrancisco Arrieta122
Tue 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming190.0Martin Chuan120
Fri 22 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming187.0Carlos Barbosa112

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Concrete Faze123 lbLJaime Rodriguez53.8857/52/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.1
Middle
3.4
Finish
2.7
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
91.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
85 · 84
Power
77.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,754.91

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer
Jamie Ness 104/408
Weight · days off
123 · 39d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 JulDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming1920.0Martin Chuan122
Fri 20 JunLAUREL PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance2750.0Jaime Rodriguez126
Sat 24 MayDELAWARE PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claiming1710.0Martin Chuan124
Sat 10 MayMONMOUTH PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance1910.0Paco Lopez121
Tue 29 AprPARX RACING6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming1850.0Ruben Silvera122
Fri 18 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance3850.0Ruben Silvera123
Fri 28 MarLAUREL PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1810.0Jaime Rodriguez126
Sun 9 MarLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance2680.0Jaime Rodriguez123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Next Girl123 lbLDenis Araujo54.1876/118/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
5.5
Finish
3.2
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
82.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
87 · 93
Power
78.1 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Denis Araujo
Trainer
W. Bailes 7/53
Weight · days off
123 · 18d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance Optional Claiming777.0Denis Araujo122
Thu 24 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer TrackAllowance Optional Claiming—not runDenis Araujo122
Fri 27 JunLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming479.0Denis Araujo123
Sat 21 JunLAUREL PARK6 Furlongs · TurfJameela S.—not runDenis Araujo120
Fri 6 JunLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming282.0Denis Araujo123
Sat 24 MayLAUREL PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming781.0Denis Araujo123
Sun 11 MayPIMLICO1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming—not runDenis Araujo123
Sat 7 DecLAUREL PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance190.0Denis Araujo122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Mercy Warren125 lbLPaco Lopez52.7913/24/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
2.4
Finish
4.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.7
Career best · average
102.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
91 · 85
Power
61.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-2-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$330,549
Per start
$9,444.26

Connections and form

Jockey
Paco Lopez
Trainer
Joe Sharp 1/2
Weight · days off
125 · 19d

7yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 1 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance1860.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.123
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming8280.0Jaime Torres122
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance5740.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Mon 26 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runBrian Hernandez, Jr.—
Fri 28 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtLapatourel Overnight S.6470.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.117
Sun 16 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runBrian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sun 19 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1970.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Fri 10 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance—not runCristian Torres—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate