CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 10 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

←Race 10 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Asap$20.42$10.02$3.90
29Ferrous—$11.50$5.16
33Hickory——$3.68
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-9$2.00$150.44
Trifecta1-9-3$0.50$209.90
Superfecta1-9-3-7$0.10$175.91
Maiden Special Weight1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Sloppy · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Asap119 lbAxel Concepcion54.58015/19

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
8.0
Finish
4.0
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
— · 61.0
Class, average · last
80 · 80
Power
63.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Dallas Stewart 2/17
Weight · days off
119 · 100d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · Dirt—461.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Fiestabowlforemike119 lbJareth Loveberry54.18320/117

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
3.7
Finish
4.3
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
— · 62.0
Class, average · last
83 · 86
Power
59.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jareth Loveberry
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 8/44
Weight · days off
119 · 38d

Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight647.0Jaime Torres119
Sat 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runTyler Gaffalione119
Sat 8 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight277.0Francisco Arrieta119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Hickory119 lbTyler Gaffalione53.3836/15

Probability

Pace

Early
7.6
Middle
8.0
Finish
4.4
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
70.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
83 · 84
Power
74.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 0/6
Weight · days off
119 · 72d

Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runTyler Gaffalione119
Sun 23 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight570.0Jaime Torres119
Fri 17 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt—567.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Belzoniscratched—————3/1—
5Better Quality119 lbJames Graham53.58830/125

Probability

Pace

Early
8.0
Middle
7.8
Finish
5.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
35.0 · 61.0
Class, average · last
88 · 90
Power
61.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
J. Desormeaux 14/113
Weight · days off
119 · 9d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 25 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1135.0James Graham119
Sat 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight286.0James Graham119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Intermediation119 lbKeith Asmussen54.4828/18

Probability

Pace

Early
4.1
Middle
3.8
Finish
5.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
— · 64.0
Class, average · last
82 · 85
Power
56.1 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 45/418
Weight · days off
119 · 23d

Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 11 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight475.0Keith Asmussen119
Sun 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight666.0Keith Asmussen119
Sun 26 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · Dirt—752.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Mr. Popover119 lbJose Ortiz———7/22

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Kelsey Danner
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Mr. Popover.

8Ragged Sky119 lbAbel Cedillo53.78330/131

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
5.6
Finish
5.6
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
50.0 · 59.0
Class, average · last
83 · 86
Power
62.1 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Abel Cedillo
Trainer
Lindsay Schultz 6/55
Weight · days off
119 · 52d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight850.0Abel Cedillo119
Sat 8 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight568.0Abel Cedillo119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Ferrous119 lbCristian Torres53.4765/19

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
4.3
Finish
4.3
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
42.0 · 66.0
Class, average · last
76 · 82
Power
69.4 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 6/50
Weight · days off
119 · 25d
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 9 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight286.0Cristian Torres119
Sun 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight472.0Cristian Torres119
Sat 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runCristian Torres119
Sat 15 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runRamon Vazquez119
Sun 19 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · Turf—365.0——
Wed 17 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS7 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight342.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Frozenknife119 lbMario Gutierrez54.9864/19/5

Probability

Pace

Early
1.7
Middle
1.8
Finish
1.8
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
— · 76.0
Class, average · last
86 · 86
Power
79.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Mario Gutierrez
Trainer
Brad Cox 1/4
Weight · days off
119 · 45d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight276.0Mario Gutierrez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate