CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 3 · Allowance

For Two Year Olds Which Have Never Won Two Races. Weight, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter On The Turf Allowed 2 Lbs. (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At Five Furlongs.) (rail At 24 Feet).

←Race 3 of 10→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Nessy$98.88$29.84$11.44
25Allura—$5.48$3.34
33Trim Castle——$3.72
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-5$2.00$381.42
Trifecta4-5-3$0.50$553.76
Superfecta4-5-3-8$0.10$191.55
Super high five4-5-3-8-7$1.00$3755.76
Allowance5 Furlongs · Turf · Firm · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Into Music122 lbFausto Da Silva57.16130/147

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
3.3
Finish
1.7
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.1
Career best · average
67.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
61 · 61
Power
66.2 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Fausto Da Silva
Trainer
Tena Birdwell 5/46
Weight · days off
122 · 46d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 SepCANTERBURY PARK5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight167.0Jermaine Bridgmohan120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Skepticism120 lbLuis Saez55.76620/127

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
5.4
Finish
5.2
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
55.0 · 47.0
Class, average · last
66 · 66
Power
48.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Lauer 0/4
Weight · days off
120 · 28d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 30 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtCircle City S.359.0Yedsit Hazlewood118
Fri 4 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS5 Furlongs · Inner TrackMaiden Optional Claiming155.0Nik Juarez119
Sun 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight642.0Nik Juarez119
Sat 13 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight732.0Joseph Bealmear117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Trim Castle122 lbEdgar Morales54.48610/14

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
1.8
Finish
4.3
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
— · 77.0
Class, average · last
86 · 90
Power
83.0 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
John Ennis 7/56
Weight · days off
122 · 24d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfCastle & Key Bourbon S.1077.0Danny Sheehy118
Wed 9 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfKentucky Downs Juvenile Mile S.581.0Alex Achard120
Sat 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance378.0Alex Achard120
Sat 25 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turf—162.0——
Fri 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight380.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Thu 28 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight284.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sun 17 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming—not runAlex Achard124
Thu 16 AprKEENELAND4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight9not runEdgar Morales—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Nessy120 lbGerardo Corrales55.56315/148

Probability

Pace

Early
1.7
Middle
1.7
Finish
2.8
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
— · 60.0
Class, average · last
63 · 64
Power
56.9 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Gerardo Corrales
Trainer
Nestor Rivera 5/13
Weight · days off
120 · 38d
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 16 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming—not runGerardo Corrales122
Sun 20 SepMOUNTAINEER5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight177.0Luis Rivera119
Wed 2 SepPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · SyntheticMaiden Claiming—not runAngel Diaz120
Mon 27 JulPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS5 Furlongs · All Weather Track—461.0——
Mon 6 JulPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS5 Furlongs · All Weather Track—354.0——
Thu 25 JunTHISTLEDOWN5 Furlongs · Dirt—247.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Allura119 lbTyler Gaffalione57.4848/17/2

Probability

Pace

Early
1.3
Middle
1.3
Finish
3.1
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.4
Career best · average
80.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
84 · 87
Power
78.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Kelsey Danner 4/10
Weight · days off
119 · 25d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 3 OctWOODBINE5 Furlongs · Inner Trackbet365 Algonquin S.477.0Emma-Jayne Wilson117
Wed 26 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfBolton Landing S.280.0Flavien Prat122
Fri 3 JulSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf—175.0——
Mon 15 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runAdam Beschizza119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Ruivascratched—————4/5—
7Reza120 lbJose Ortiz58.1797/29/5

Probability

Pace

Early
8.3
Middle
6.7
Finish
1.7
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
58.1
Career best · average
— · 79.0
Class, average · last
79 · 79
Power
77.6 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Tareq Moubarak
Weight · days off
120 · 39d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 19 SepGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · SyntheticMaiden Special Weight179.0Leonel Reyes120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Cactus Closer122 lbJunior Alvarado56.1886/18/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.1
Career best · average
90.0 · 64.0
Class, average · last
88 · 103
Power
80.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Dale Romans 4/19
Weight · days off
122 · 24d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfIndian Summer S. Presented by Keeneland Select690.0Junior Alvarado118
Sat 3 OctBELMONT PARK6 Furlongs · Inner TrackFuturity S.—not runKendrick Carmouche122
Sun 30 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight186.0Junior Alvarado123
Sat 25 JulSARATOGA6 Furlongs · Dirt—717.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate