CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 2 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One And One Sixteenth Mile.).

←Race 2 of 11→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
16Notgonnacatchher$52.72$15.50$9.24
211Novo Mesto—$3.46$2.72
32Rumbelievable——$4.82
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta6-11$2.00$155.60
Trifecta6-11-2$0.50$242.39
Superfecta6-11-2-7$0.10$254.98
Maiden Special Weight1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Special Butterfly119 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.———6/17/2

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 79/277
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Special Butterfly.

2Rumbelievable119 lbCristian Torres54.1818/19

Probability

Pace

Early
5.3
Middle
4.6
Finish
3.8
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
75.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
81 · 83
Power
87.8 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 1/21
Weight · days off
119 · 56d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight575.0Cristian Torres119
Sun 26 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · Dirt—568.0——
Sat 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight568.0Cristian Torres119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3She Ran119 lbVictor Carrasco53.57930/136

Probability

Pace

Early
6.9
Middle
6.9
Finish
6.2
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
61.0 · 61.0
Class, average · last
79 · 79
Power
70.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Victor Carrasco
Trainer
George Arnold II 3/16
Weight · days off
119 · 29d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight861.0Victor Carrasco119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Que Sera119 lbEdgar Morales53.36720/136

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
6.1
Finish
4.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
63.0 · 55.0
Class, average · last
67 · 79
Power
72.1 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Thomas Drury, Jr. 3/21
Weight · days off
119 · 29d

Filly

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight763.0Cristian Torres119
Sun 6 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner TrackMaiden Optional Claiming547.0Orlando Bocachica119
Sun 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runOrlando Bocachica119
Mon 17 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming—not runBen Curtis119
Fri 14 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming—not runBen Curtis—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Paciano119 lbJaime Torres53.7638/16

Probability

Pace

Early
8.8
Middle
7.8
Finish
2.2
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
64.0 · 64.0
Class, average · last
63 · 63
Power
67.8 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
William Walden 4/10
Weight · days off
119 · 17d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 7 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight264.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Notgonnacatchher119 lbLuis Saez54.18020/125

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
6.4
Finish
8.2
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
50.0 · 50.0
Class, average · last
80 · 80
Power
70.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brian Lynch 19/44
Weight · days off
119 · 36d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight950.0Victor Carrasco119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Daddy's Nugget119 lbFlavien Prat———5/17

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 3/14
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Daddy's Nugget.

8She's Icy119 lbJose Ortiz52.9816/16

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
8.3
Finish
8.3
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
— · 40.0
Class, average · last
81 · 81
Power
47.7 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 31/122
Weight · days off
119 · 43d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 11 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1040.0Jaime Torres119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Doozie Do119 lbAxel Concepcion53.37520/146

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
6.7
Finish
6.7
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
57.0 · 57.0
Class, average · last
75 · 75
Power
72.6 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Kelsey Danner 4/23
Weight · days off
119 · 47d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 21 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runLuis Saez119
Wed 7 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runAdam Beschizza120
Mon 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight857.0Umberto Rispoli119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Just a Song119 lbDanny Sheehy54.86915/120

Probability

Pace

Early
8.2
Middle
9.2
Finish
5.0
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
65.0 · 65.0
Class, average · last
69 · 69
Power
67.8 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Danny Sheehy
Trainer
Chris Hartman 1/16
Weight · days off
119 · 23d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 1 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight665.0Mitchell Murrill120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Novo Mesto119 lbFrancisco Arrieta55.9807/28/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
5.5
Finish
1.8
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
84.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
80 · 80
Power
88.1 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 4/35
Weight · days off
119 · 36d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 21 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runFrancisco Arrieta119
Fri 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight284.0Francisco Arrieta119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Glassingscratched—————6/1—
13Goldbuttonthursdayscratched—————6/1—
14Anywhere With You (IRE)scratched—————3/1—
15Girl On a Tearscratched—————8/1—
16Play Alongscratched—————10/1—
11 running · 5 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate