CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 5 · Starter Allowance

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 25 Allowed 2 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

←Race 5 of 10→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Air of Defiance$2.62$2.20$2.10
25Saltwater Cowboy—$3.86$3.38
37Dr. Storm——$3.16
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-5$2.00$9.94
Trifecta4-5-7$0.50$7.26
Superfecta4-5-7-2$0.10$2.54
Super high five——refunded
Starter Allowance7 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $60,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Air Invasion121 lbLAxel Concepcion55.5966/121

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
5.9
Finish
4.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
95.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
96 · 103
Power
89.0 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$110,454
Per start
$5,522.70

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Martin Paramo 0/1
Weight · days off
121 · 33d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtHandicap495.0Cipriano Gil118
Sun 19 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer turf—964.0——
Sun 24 MayGULFSTREAM PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming571.0Miguel Vasquez123
Thu 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtSt. Matthews Overnight S.776.0Gaddiel Martinez118
Sat 28 MarTAMPA BAY6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming194.0Gaddiel Martinez118
Sat 28 FebTAMPA BAY7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming383.0Gaddiel Martinez118
Sat 31 JanTAMPA BAY7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming783.0Gaddiel Martinez118
Sun 25 JanTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfAllowance—not runGaddiel Martinez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Unload121 lbLKeith Asmussen54.39612/17

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
4.4
Finish
3.7
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
88.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
96 · 98
Power
85.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$13,548.63

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 52/446
Weight · days off
121 · 12d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance384.0Keith Asmussen122
Wed 26 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming394.0Jose Ortiz123
Fri 26 JunLONE STAR6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt—488.0——
Sat 2 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 3/4 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance585.0Erik Asmussen126
Sun 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance188.0Erik Asmussen124
Fri 27 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance387.0Erik Asmussen124
Fri 13 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance197.0Erik Asmussen—
Thu 26 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming482.0Joseph Bealmear118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Bloodlinescratched—————30/1—
4Air of Defiance121 lbLFrancisco Arrieta56.5991/11/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.6
Middle
2.6
Finish
2.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.5
Career best · average
106.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
99 · 103
Power
97.4 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
S. Cunningham 4/14
Weight · days off
121 · 39d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 16 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance299.0Gabriel Saez122
Sun 12 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt—399.0——
Thu 11 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1106.0Gabriel Saez120
Fri 15 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1103.0Gabriel Saez—
Wed 22 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance399.0Gabriel Saez118
Sat 14 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance297.0Francisco Arrieta124
Thu 5 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance198.0Francisco Arrieta118
Fri 30 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance—not runFrancisco Arrieta—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Saltwater Cowboy121 lbLLuis Saez53.5954/19/2

Probability

Pace

Early
2.6
Middle
2.2
Finish
4.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
— · 79.0
Class, average · last
95 · 98
Power
68.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Carlos David 5/15
Weight · days off
121 · 12d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance776.0Jaime Torres122
Sat 8 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming183.0Axel Concepcion121
Fri 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming370.0H. Hoskins108
Wed 10 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming668.0Axel Concepcion118
Thu 6 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming—not runDanilo Grisales Rave120
Wed 17 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming282.0Cristian Torres122
Mon 26 MayLONE STAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming774.0Ramon Vazquez—
Fri 25 AprLONE STAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance1101.0Luis Reyes—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Prayforpeacescratched—————6/1—
7Dr. Storm121 lbLSummer Pauly53.81028/113

Probability

Pace

Early
8.5
Middle
7.1
Finish
3.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
97.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
102 · 98
Power
78.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$179,759
Per start
$8,170.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Summer Pauly
Trainer
Ismael Bahena 5/20
Weight · days off
121 · 12d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance678.0Walter Rodriguez122
Thu 6 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · Turf—580.0——
Sun 26 JulELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · Turf—882.0——
Fri 1 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming398.0Geovanni Franco—
Sat 28 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance388.0Cristian Torres118
Sat 7 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance298.0Eduardo Gallardo117
Sun 1 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance—not runCristian Torres118
Thu 5 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance386.0Eduardo Gallardo118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Highly Flammable121 lbLFernando De La Cruz56.39520/116

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
4.8
Finish
4.0
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
102.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
95 · 101
Power
88.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,029.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Fernando De La Cruz
Trainer
Sergio Donjuan 0/3
Weight · days off
121 · 10d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 14 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming779.0Evin Roman122
Sun 9 AugMOUNTAINEER6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming859.0Deshawn Parker124
Fri 17 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · Dirt—679.0——
Thu 11 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance—not runGerardo Corrales118
Fri 15 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance296.0Fernando De La Cruz—
Wed 29 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming289.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Thu 19 MarTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaiming1102.0Fernando De La Cruz—
Thu 26 FebTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaiming286.0Fernando De La Cruz—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate