CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 5 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 118 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One And One Eighth Mile.) (rail At 12 Feet).

Race 5 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Sneakily$7.16$4.30$3.32
23Paseo$6.18$4.14
31Vow to Resiliency$2.70
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-3$2.00$54.74
Trifecta7-3-1$0.50$35.41
Superfecta7-3-1-10$0.10$201.54
Maiden Special Weight1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Vow to Resiliency118 lbLJose Ortiz55.0905/13

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
6.8
Finish
4.2
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
97.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
90 · 95
Power
84.4 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Philip D'Amato 56/502
Weight · days off
118 · 15d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight284.0Joel Rosario126
Sun 5 AprSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight285.0Tiago Pereira126
Sun 8 MarSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight387.0Tiago Pereira126
Thu 13 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight279.0Paco Lopez118
Wed 8 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Claiming4660.0Javier Castellano118
Sat 23 NovGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight10660.0Miguel Vasquez118
Sun 13 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight5680.0Katie Davis119
Sun 15 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight5710.0Katie Davis119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2American Debutante (IRE)118 lbLTyler Gaffalione54.4974/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.0
Finish
2.5
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
103.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
97 · 97
Power
88.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-4
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$36,084
Per start
$9,021

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 18/84
Weight · days off
118 · 27d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight382.0Tyler Gaffalione
Thu 23 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJose Ortiz126
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runLanfranco Dettori120
Fri 19 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 3/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight362.0Kendrick Carmouche120
Sun 3 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight385.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight380.0Tyler Gaffalione118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Paseo118 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.31049/26

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
4.4
Finish
5.8
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
— · 78.0
Class, average · last
104 · 95
Power
87.6 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,603.20

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 0/5
Weight · days off
118 · 47d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 4 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sun 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight284.0Edgar Perez122
Fri 23 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight369.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Fri 14 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight871.0Luan Machado119
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight480.0Luan Machado119
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight768.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4That Wasn't Me118 lbLAdam Beschizza54.110015/110

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
4.3
Finish
4.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
— · 79.0
Class, average · last
100 · 96
Power
66.5 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,000

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
Kelsey Danner 0/2
Weight · days off
118 · 29d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runAdam Beschizza
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight387.0Adam Beschizza119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Minstrellyscratched30/1
6Munny Reigns118 lbLDanny Sheehy54.310020/167

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.6
Finish
5.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
89.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
100 · 95
Power
94.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Danny Sheehy
Trainer
Michael McCarthy 1/14
Weight · days off
118 · 15d

Filly · L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight777.0Danny Sheehy
Sat 28 FebSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight682.0Victor Espinoza122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Sneakily118 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.54.51043/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
5.2
Finish
6.1
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
81.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
104 · 101
Power
78.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
1: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$19,748
Per start
$19,748

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 7/41
Weight · days off
118 · 20d

3yo · Filly · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 3 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.119
Sat 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runLuan Machado119
Mon 18 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight271.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Temeraire118 lbLJaime Torres54.6988/116

Probability

Pace

Early
4.1
Middle
4.6
Finish
5.3
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
77.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
98 · 92
Power
88.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Riley Mott 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 42d

Filly · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 18 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight783.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sun 7 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight465.0Junior Alvarado120
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight274.0Junior Alvarado119
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight776.0Junior Alvarado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9StarlaLuis Saez12/135/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brendan Walsh
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Starla.

10RoilingDylan Machado52.430/192/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,924.80

Connections and form

Jockey
Dylan Machado
Trainer
Darrin Miller
Weight · days off
Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runDylan Machado126
Fri 6 MarTURFWAY PARK1 1/4 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight269.0Dylan Machado
Thu 12 FebTURFWAY PARK1 1/8 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight356.0Dylan Machado
Sun 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight943.0Chase Miller124
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight666.0Chase Miller124
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight578.0Chase Miller124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Emerald SpunFlorent Geroux53.410/19

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
3.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$30,211
Per start
$7,552.75

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset
Weight · days off

3yo · Filly

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight284.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Wed 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight365.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.120
Thu 26 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight570.0Dylan Machado
Thu 12 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weightnot runLuan Machado
Thu 8 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight370.0Dylan Machado120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate