CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 118 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

Race 8 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
13Tiernanogue$6.18$3.20$2.70
28Direct Strike$4.42$3.28
39Silver Shot$3.36
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta3-8$2.00$23.26
Trifecta3-8-9$0.50$23.75
Superfecta3-8-9-2$0.10$8.14
Super high five3-8-9-2-6$1.00$223.54
Maiden Special Weight1 1/4 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1King of Heat118 lbLJames Graham55.8856/143/4

Probability

Pace

Early
8.1
Middle
8.8
Finish
5.2
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
— · 66.0
Class, average · last
85 · 83
Power
83.7 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,272.80

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
J. Desormeaux 12/108
Weight · days off
118 · 49d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 7 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight377.0James Graham117
Sat 14 FebFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0James Graham
Mon 21 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJames Graham119
Sun 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight855.0James Graham119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Stompin Grapes126 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.3869/55/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.9
Finish
4.6
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
— · 79.0
Class, average · last
86 · 82
Power
76.7 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$23,160
Per start
$4,632

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 7/23
Weight · days off
126 · 36d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 20 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight279.0Edgard Zayas126
Sun 8 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight481.0Edgard Zayas123
Fri 19 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight681.0Edgard Zayas124
Thu 27 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight578.0John Velazquez122
Sat 21 DecGULFSTREAM PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight378.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Tiernanogue118 lbLTyler Gaffalione54.1867/22

Probability

Pace

Early
7.4
Middle
6.2
Finish
4.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
— · 75.0
Class, average · last
86 · 86
Power
79.1 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$89,725
Per start
$17,945

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 40/190
Weight · days off
118 · 35d

3yo · Colt · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight288.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sat 14 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight474.0Declan Cannon
Sat 29 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight669.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight9680.0Tyler Gaffalione119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Still Sober118 lbLJaime Torres53.38420/138/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.6
Middle
9.0
Finish
5.6
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
— · 69.0
Class, average · last
84 · 95
Power
90.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,993.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Eduardo Caramori 1/4
Weight · days off
118 · 14d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 11 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight483.0Jaime Torres120
Sat 14 MarCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight557.0Jaime Torres122
Sun 21 DecTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight672.0Vincent Cheminaud119
Sat 13 DecTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · SyntheticMaiden Special Weightnot runVincent Cheminaud119
Sun 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight585.0Mitchell Murrill119
Sat 25 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight873.0Luan Machado119
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runLuan Machado119
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight655.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5In Americascratched30/1
6Sartorial118 lbLEdgar Morales52.8908/143/3

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
6.9
Finish
4.4
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.8
Career best · average
— · 67.0
Class, average · last
90 · 96
Power
91.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
George Arnold II 3/36
Weight · days off
118 · 55d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight984.0Jonathan Ocasio122
Sat 10 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight730.0Jorge Ruiz122
Thu 20 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight474.0Gabriel Saez119
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez119
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez
Sun 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight381.0Gabriel Saez119
Fri 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Prayer126 lbLVictor Carrasco53.99820/144

Probability

Pace

Early
4.3
Middle
5.0
Finish
8.3
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 72.0
Class, average · last
98 · 89
Power
74.7 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Victor Carrasco
Trainer
George Arnold II
Weight · days off
126 · 31d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 25 MarTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight1155.0Edgar Morales
Sun 20 JulDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight679.0Kazushi Kimura120
Sun 15 JunSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight876.0Hector Berrios119
Sat 29 MarSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight790.0Kazushi Kimura122
Sat 22 FebSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight959.0Hector Berrios122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Direct Strike118 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.53.3839/23

Probability

Pace

Early
5.9
Middle
6.2
Finish
4.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
— · 76.0
Class, average · last
83 · 86
Power
71.9 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$35,137
Per start
$8,784.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 56/202
Weight · days off
118 · 35d

3yo · Colt · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight582.0Flavien Prat120
Sun 14 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight476.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight571.0Tyler Gaffalione

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Silver Shot118 lbLJose Ortiz53.1906/14

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
6.0
Finish
3.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.1
Career best · average
— · 76.0
Class, average · last
90 · 91
Power
72.5 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,662.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 33/123
Weight · days off
118 · 28d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 28 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight483.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 14 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight574.0Paco Lopez
Sat 17 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight480.0Paco Lopez120
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight568.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate