CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 12 · Allowance

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since September 30 Allowed 2 Lbs.

Race 12 of 12

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
19Johny's Rendezvous$15.34$8.82$5.62
25Tre Italiani$6.74$4.64
31Original Sin$4.58
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta9-5$2.00$96.08
Trifecta9-5-1$0.50$146.96
Superfecta9-5-1-11$0.10$392.27
Super high five9-5-1-11-ALL$1.00$7930.32
Allowance1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Original Sin120 lbLTyler Gaffalione53.2896/19/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
7.2
Finish
3.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.2
Career best · average
93.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
89 · 92
Power
85.5 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 29/150
Weight · days off
120 · 30d

L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 30 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1940.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Fri 13 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight3730.0Ramon Vazquez120
Wed 23 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight6650.0Florent Geroux119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Show of Force118 lbLAxel Concepcion55.19420/145/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.6
Finish
6.1
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
89.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
94 · 101
Power
88.2 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$11,187.60

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Genaro Garcia 1/6
Weight · days off
118 · 27d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runAxel Concepcion118
Sun 2 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance11690.0Edgar Morales118
Sun 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance4870.0Edgar Morales118
Fri 22 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance2910.0Edgar Morales
Sat 26 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance2900.0Edgar Morales120
Sat 28 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5830.0Reylu Gutierrez118
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7860.0Mario Gutierrez118
Fri 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowancenot runAbel Cedillo118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Barb118 lbLJose Ortiz54.0892/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.2
Middle
2.9
Finish
4.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
92.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
89 · 90
Power
89.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
11: 2-3-1
Wins
18.2%
Earnings
$183,752
Per start
$16,704.73

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Michael Maker 8/32
Weight · days off
118 · 24d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 5 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming193.0Jose Ortiz120
Fri 3 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight677.0Flavien Prat121
Mon 1 SepSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight474.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.120
Wed 16 JulSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight294.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.119
Sat 28 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming286.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 24 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming386.0Romero Maragh118
Sun 18 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer turfMaiden Claimingnot runRider TBA
Sat 19 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight665.0Romero Maragh118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Terrapin Station118 lbLVincent Cheminaud54.69412/131/4

Probability

Pace

Early
4.3
Middle
6.0
Finish
4.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
— · 80.0
Class, average · last
94 · 97
Power
71.7 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Vincent Cheminaud
Trainer
Dale Romans 3/38
Weight · days off
118 · 21d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 8 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming289.0Corey Lanerie118
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1062.0Corey Lanerie118
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runCorey Lanerie118
Sat 26 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtBowman Mill S.387.0Corey Lanerie118
Sat 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight182.0Corey Lanerie119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Tre Italiani118 lbLWalter Rodriguez55.3916/128/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.3
Finish
2.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.3
Career best · average
— · 93.0
Class, average · last
91 · 89
Power
77.8 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Walter Rodriguez
Trainer
Larry Rivelli 20/51
Weight · days off
118 · 27d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 2 NovHAWTHORNE6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2900.0Jareth Loveberry119
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5980.0Walter Rodriguez120
Mon 25 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1860.0Walter Rodriguez122
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runFlorent Geroux

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Toga d'Oro118 lbLLuis Saez53.69215/146/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
7.7
Finish
6.2
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
70.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
92 · 98
Power
74.5 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Maker 22/140
Weight · days off
118 · 35d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 25 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance10not runLanfranco Dettori118
Sun 25 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming774.0Flavien Prat
Sun 27 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJohn Velazquez122
Sun 6 AprAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming570.0Jose Lezcano122
Sun 30 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Lezcano122
Sat 1 MarAQUEDUCT7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight188.0Manuel Franco120
Fri 7 FebAQUEDUCT6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight745.0Jose Gomez120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Dettori120 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.55.8904/123/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.4
Middle
2.2
Finish
2.2
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
86.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
90 · 88
Power
87.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,498.36

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Joe Sharp 13/43
Weight · days off
120 · 57d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 1 NovBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfAllowancenot runJaime Rodriguez120
Fri 3 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1870.0Jaime Rodriguez120
Sat 15 MarCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight2800.0Sheldon Russell122
Sun 26 JanSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight2720.0Juan Hernandez121
Sat 28 DecSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight4890.0Lanfranco Dettori120
Sun 17 NovDEL MAR5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight3780.0Juan Hernandez120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Ripped118 lbLErik Asmussen55.3918/116/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.2
Middle
3.8
Finish
5.2
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.3
Career best · average
88.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
91 · 91
Power
85.7 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$236,793
Per start
$13,155.17

Connections and form

Jockey
Erik Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 104/641
Weight · days off
118 · 21d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 8 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight197.0Keith Asmussen122
Fri 3 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight489.0Keith Asmussen121
Sun 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight869.0Keith Asmussen121
Fri 1 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight381.0Keith Asmussen
Sun 27 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runKeith Asmussen
Fri 6 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight678.0Nik Juarez118
Sat 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight771.0Nik Juarez122
Fri 28 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight683.0Rafael Bejarano119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Johny's Rendezvous118 lbLJunior Alvarado55.39015/120/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.8
Middle
2.5
Finish
3.6
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.3
Career best · average
— · 82.0
Class, average · last
90 · 101
Power
77.3 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$213,503
Per start
$17,791.92

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Philip Bauer 1/7
Weight · days off
118 · 27d

4yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 2 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance876.0Luan Machado118
Sat 11 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance3960.0Luan Machado120
Thu 28 AugSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1950.0Javier Castellano118
Fri 8 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight2870.0Javier Castellano118
Fri 4 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight2960.0Luan Machado118
Sun 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight5810.0Jaime Torres118
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight2780.0Jaime Torres119
Sun 8 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight5650.0Luis Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Curlin's Gesture121 lbLCristian Torres55.010012/121/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
4.5
Finish
3.5
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
98.0 · 93.0
Class, average · last
100 · 106
Power
92.8 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
21: 3-4-2
Wins
14.3%
Earnings
$203,298
Per start
$9,680.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
David Jacobson 2/24
Weight · days off
121 · 22d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 27 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runRicardo Santana, Jr.120
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance595.0Luis Saez120
Wed 17 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance183.0Cristian Torres121
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfClaiming293.0Luis Saez124
Thu 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfStarter Allowance5800.0Mario Gutierrez124
Thu 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance394.0Florent Geroux124
Thu 10 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance287.0Luis Saez125
Sat 1 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance585.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Overstatement121 lbLLuan Machado54.79715/121/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.7
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
101.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
97 · 105
Power
88.7 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Kenneth Miller 1/4
Weight · days off
121 · 14d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 15 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance13640.0Luan Machado121
Wed 8 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance1980.0Luan Machado122
Fri 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance3860.0Luan Machado122
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance2930.0Edgar Morales
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance4800.0Luan Machado
Sat 8 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming7850.0Evin Roman125
Fri 17 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance4570.0Evin Roman120
Sat 28 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance4940.0Irving Moncada113

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate