CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 1 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

Race 1 of 12

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
18Sticker Shock$8.48$5.64$3.26
29Miss Milky Way$23.90$8.20
311Search Party$2.38
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta8-9$2.00$148.26
Trifecta8-9-11$0.50$112.52
Superfecta8-9-11-5$0.10$78.40
Super high five8-9-11-5-2$1.00$2398.44
Maiden Special Weight1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Glow of a Rosescratched3/1
2Dream From Within119 lbCorey Lanerie8220/140/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.7
Middle
5.0
Finish
6.0
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 76.0
Class, average · last
82 · 82
Power
84.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Dale Romans 17/114
Weight · days off
119 · 27d

Filly

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 1 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming6660.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runCorey Lanerie

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Dancin in Old Townscratched8/1
4Thistooshallpassscratched20/1
5All About You119 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.8815/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
1.7
Middle
1.9
Finish
2.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
72.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
81 · 85
Power
77.5 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,953.33

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 35/216
Weight · days off
119 · 28d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5710.0Emmanuel Esquivel119
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJulien Leparoux119
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.119
Wed 22 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runEmmanuel Esquivel119
Sun 28 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight3740.0Javier Castellano119
Sat 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119
Sun 31 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3760.0Luis Rivera, Jr.119
Sat 16 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2700.0Luis Rivera, Jr.

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Viking Questscratched20/1
7Bisclavret119 lbTyler Gaffalione7712/18

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
4.0
Finish
7.0
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 70.0
Class, average · last
77 · 77
Power
84.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
George Weaver 4/16
Weight · days off
119 · 112d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJohn Velazquez119
Fri 8 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight7610.0Manuel Franco119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Sticker Shock119 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.824/113/4

Probability

Pace

Early
2.6
Middle
2.7
Finish
2.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 68.0
Class, average · last
82 · 82
Power
77.4 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 28/112
Weight · days off
119 · 37d

Filly

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 22 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight360.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Miss Milky Way119 lbLuan Machado54.87820/129/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
7.9
Finish
5.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
66.0 · 56.0
Class, average · last
78 · 80
Power
70.1 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,564.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Thomas Drury, Jr. 3/13
Weight · days off
119 · 33d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight466.0Edgar Morales
Tue 21 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runMitchell Murrill120
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight749.0Irving Moncada

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Theoretical119 lbJunior Alvarado54.97815/114/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
6.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
— · 64.0
Class, average · last
78 · 82
Power
46.5 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,081.75

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Norm Casse 0/4
Weight · days off
119 · 37d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 22 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight553.0Jose Ortiz119
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0Junior Alvarado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Search Party119 lbJose Ortiz54.4767/222/15

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.5
Finish
3.7
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
77.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
76 · 80
Power
70.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$516,711
Per start
$64,588.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Mark Casse 28/120
Weight · days off
119 · 33d

3yo · Filly

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight377.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight271.0Cristian Torres
Mon 14 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight468.0Cristian Torres119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Fancy Footwork119 lbLuis Saez54.67920/124

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
6.9
Finish
5.4
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
42.0 · 57.0
Class, average · last
79 · 83
Power
57.6 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Amelia Green 1/8
Weight · days off
119 · 61d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 28 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight942.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.119
Fri 29 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight471.0John Velazquez119
Fri 8 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weightnot runJohn Velazquez119
Sat 12 JulSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight359.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate