CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Starter Allowance

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since September 28 Allowed 2 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 8 of 12
Starter Allowance6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $62,000
off4:25 PM
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Colormecairo120 lbLLuis Saez53.7828/164/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
3.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
83.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
82 · 87
Power
68.5 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,996.55

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Matt Shirer 4/10
Weight · days off
120 · 26d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 1 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming566.0Adam Beschizza122
Thu 11 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance371.0Luan Machado122
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming176.0Luan Machado122
Thu 16 JanTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaiming949.0Albin Jimenez120
Fri 20 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming477.0Gerardo Corrales118
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming469.0Jaime Torres118
Sat 2 NovBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtNashua S.880.0
Wed 9 OctDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtRocky Run S.2910.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Tizntshelovelyscratched20/1
3Carolina Candy120 lbLAdam Beschizza56.3855/19/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
3.1
Finish
3.5
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
90.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
85 · 90
Power
85.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
John Ennis 10/75
Weight · days off
120 · 20d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance390.0Luan Machado120
Sat 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runLuan Machado121
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance583.0Luan Machado
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runLuan Machado
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming289.0Luan Machado123
Wed 11 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance8640.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Fri 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runLuan Machado123
Thu 15 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance278.0Luan Machado123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Miss Elle118 lbLFrancisco Arrieta56.0854/115/8

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
3.5
Finish
4.7
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
86.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
85 · 86
Power
79.3 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Robert Medina 1/2
Weight · days off
118 · 41d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 17 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming186.0Francisco Arrieta118
Fri 10 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runFrancisco Arrieta118
Sat 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance586.0Junior Alvarado118
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance486.0Gabriel Saez
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runGabriel Saez
Sun 13 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance580.0Gabriel Saez120
Wed 4 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance280.0Emmanuel Esquivel120
Sat 26 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming176.0Emmanuel Esquivel122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5High Summerscratched10/1
6Creative Quality120 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.54.9875/149/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.3
Middle
4.3
Finish
4.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
89.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
87 · 90
Power
77.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
14: 2-1-2
Wins
14.3%
Earnings
$106,427
Per start
$7,601.93

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Eric Foster 0/3
Weight · days off
120 · 20d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance4840.0Cristian Torres120
Fri 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance4820.0Cristian Torres123
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance3800.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.124
Sat 29 MarTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaiming4850.0Javier Padron-Barcenas124
Fri 7 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaiming2850.0Luis Contreras124
Thu 13 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming5750.0Evin Roman125
Thu 30 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming7710.0Javier Padron-Barcenas121
Sun 1 DecCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance7670.0Javier Padron-Barcenas

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Miss Ellary120 lbLTyler Gaffalione53.7843/119/7

Probability

Pace

Early
3.1
Middle
2.5
Finish
4.0
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
62.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
84 · 90
Power
80.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
24: 2-9-3
Wins
8.3%
Earnings
$165,261
Per start
$6,885.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Lauren Robson 0/2
Weight · days off
120 · 12d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 15 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance287.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Fri 3 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance285.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Thu 11 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance277.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Thu 7 AugDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming286.0Angel Cruz120
Thu 31 JulDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claimingnot runSonny Leon120
Thu 10 JulDELAWARE PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Optional Claiming279.0Sonny Leon121
Wed 18 JunDELAWARE PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claiming3720.0Alexander Crispin120
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO1 Mile · TurfAllowance472.0Alexander Crispin123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Mezcalifornia118 lbLJose Ortiz55.9869/222/7

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.6
Finish
3.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
95.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
86 · 90
Power
83.2 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
George Weaver 0/4
Weight · days off
118 · 20d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance2860.0Jose Ortiz118
Thu 16 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming2780.0Jose Ortiz
Sat 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance3870.0Jose Ortiz118
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance3880.0Mario Gutierrez
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runMario Gutierrez
Sat 12 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runIrving Moncada113
Sun 6 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfPea Patch S.not runIrving Moncada118
Wed 4 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance7740.0Irving Moncada117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Little Dixie115 lbLAmir Mendoza52.48130/152/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.7
Finish
6.0
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.4
Career best · average
— · 65.0
Class, average · last
81 · 71
Power
55.7 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Amir Mendoza
Trainer
David Jacobson
Weight · days off
115 · 35d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 OctHAWTHORNE1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming258.0Israel Hernandez
Thu 25 SepHAWTHORNE1 Mile · TurfClaiming644.0Israel Hernandez
Fri 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runAbel Cedillo122
Sun 27 JulHAWTHORNE1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming4720.0Valentin Esquivel
Sun 6 JulPRAIRIE MEADOWS1 Mile · DirtClaiming3630.0Elvin Gonzalez120
Thu 17 AprHAWTHORNE1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance6600.0Jareth Loveberry122
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming10770.0Irving Moncada120
Thu 11 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance2840.0Tyler Gaffalione125

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Dozen Diamonds120 lbLFlorent Geroux53.89212/19/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.7
Middle
2.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
76.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
92 · 93
Power
86.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Chris Hartman 0/5
Weight · days off
120 · 11d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 16 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming9820.0Florent Geroux121
Thu 16 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance3790.0Florent Geroux
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runRafael Bejarano
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runRafael Bejarano
Thu 26 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runAlex Achard122
Sun 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming3840.0Luan Machado124
Fri 25 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance9890.0Lanfranco Dettori118
Thu 20 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming3820.0Lanfranco Dettori120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate