CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 12 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts).

Race 12 of 12
Maiden Special Weight6 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
off6:26 PM
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Thunder Roll122 lbLJunior Alvarado54.88615/165/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
3.8
Finish
6.7
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
— · 68.0
Class, average · last
86 · 87
Power
60.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$54,525
Per start
$5,452.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
William Mott 57/284
Weight · days off
122 · 15d

4yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 12 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1129.0Luis Saez122
Thu 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight4810.0Jaime Torres120
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight5760.0Flavien Prat120
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJaime Torres120
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight6790.0Jaime Torres
Sat 28 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight5560.0Junior Alvarado119
Sat 24 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight2800.0Junior Alvarado119
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4670.0Junior Alvarado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Pitkin233d off122 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.6917/221/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
4.4
Finish
2.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
— · 88.0
Class, average · last
91 · 96
Power
80.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 7/31
Weight · days off
122 · 233d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight476.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.
Sat 15 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight291.0Joe Bravo118
Sat 25 JanGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight290.0Joe Bravo118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Homestyle122 lbLGabriel Saez12/162

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
1: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$1,275
Per start
$1,275

Connections and form

Jockey
Gabriel Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 0/7
Weight · days off
122 · —

Colt · L

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Homestyle.

4Sea Vista334d off122 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.56.1835/215/7

Probability

Pace

Early
6.1
Middle
4.8
Finish
2.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.1
Career best · average
86.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
83 · 85
Power
74.9 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$118,005
Per start
$16,857.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 27/110
Weight · days off
122 · 334d

4yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 8 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runLuan Machado122
Sat 28 DecTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight575.0Luan Machado119
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight286.0Florent Geroux119
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight277.0Florent Geroux119
Mon 29 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runFlorent Geroux119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Classic Rockscratched12/1
6Vital Mind243d off122 lbLJose Ortiz906/116/9

Probability

Pace

Early
1.0
Middle
1.0
Finish
1.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
91.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
90 · 90
Power
79.7 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-2-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$183,800
Per start
$45,950

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 38/160
Weight · days off
122 · 243d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 29 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight289.0Jose Ortiz122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Run Tzu122 lbLAdam Beschizza15/127/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
Edward Vaughan 0/16
Weight · days off
122 · —

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runAdam Beschizza122
Sat 1 MarTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weightnot runAdam Beschizza120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Mizzou122 lbLTyler Gaffalione53.8873/139/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
3.3
Finish
4.9
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
73.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
87 · 91
Power
82.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$56,370
Per start
$7,046.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
George Weaver 4/16
Weight · days off
122 · 19d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 8 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4750.0Jose Ortiz122
Fri 3 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2940.0Jose Ortiz121
Sat 24 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight7460.0Manuel Franco119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Shallus124 lbLJoseph Ramos53.39020/161/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
5.9
Finish
4.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
91.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
90 · 84
Power
80.5 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Ramos
Trainer
Rogelio Labra 0/12
Weight · days off
124 · 17d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 10 NovHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight261.0Joseph Ramos124
Wed 29 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight380.0Chris Landeros124
Tue 7 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weight281.0Chris Landeros125
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight680.0Chris Landeros124
Mon 25 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight566.0Fernando De La Cruz124
Mon 28 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight473.0Fernando De La Cruz124
Thu 10 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runAlberto Burgos124
Tue 1 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight378.0Alberto Burgos124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10En Fuego122 lbLLuis Saez8910/16

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
3.8
Finish
6.9
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
74.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
89 · 89
Power
84.4 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
1: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 8/44
Weight · days off
122 · 75d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 22 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runAxel Concepcion120
Sat 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight974.0Luis Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate