CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 11 · Starter Allowance

For Two Year Olds Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less Or Which Have Broken Their Maiden In A Maiden Auction Race And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Waiver Claiming. Weight, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 22 Allowed 2 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances)(starter Races For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).

Race 11 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Sleepingonfreedom$3.92$2.86$2.64
21Vitruvian Man$8.60$4.76
36Big Apple Patrick$3.44
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-1$2.00$23.30
Trifecta2-1-6$0.50$23.52
Superfecta2-1-6-11$0.10$38.72
Super high five2-1-6-11-8$1.00$2237.51
Starter Allowance1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Muddy · Purse $83,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Vitruvian Man120 lbTyler Gaffalione54.9758/134/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
3.3
Finish
1.0
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
74.0 · 63.0
Class, average · last
75 · 86
Power
76.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-2
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$142,345
Per start
$23,724.17

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Doug O'Neill 0/4
Weight · days off
120 · 34d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 18 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight172.0Joel Rosario119
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight569.0Adam Beschizza119
Sat 9 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming462.0Rafael Bejarano

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Sleepingonfreedom120 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.56.4859/220/21

Probability

Pace

Early
3.5
Middle
2.9
Finish
1.4
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.4
Career best · average
— · 84.0
Class, average · last
85 · 83
Power
69.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 38/222
Weight · days off
120 · 41d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 11 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight186.0Jose Ortiz119
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight285.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Collectingscratched20/1
4Brazilian Conexaoscratched12/1
5Just Asap120 lbJose Ortiz54.0857/24/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
88.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
85 · 97
Power
73.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$51,443
Per start
$12,860.75

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Mark Casse 28/118
Weight · days off
120 · 48d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 4 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtChampagne S.936.0Florent Geroux122
Sat 30 AugMONMOUTH PARK1 Mile · DirtSapling S.288.0Cristian Torres118
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming181.0Cristian Torres

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Big Apple Patrick120 lbWalter Rodriguez866/116/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
5.5
Finish
1.0
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 80.0
Class, average · last
86 · 86
Power
77.0 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Walter Rodriguez
Trainer
Daniel Leitch 1/3
Weight · days off
120 · 23d

Colt

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 29 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1790.0Walter Rodriguez119
Sun 26 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Tisumscratched30/1
8Horse of the Sea120 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.51.7674/133/4

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
4.8
Finish
3.3
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.7
Career best · average
71.0 · 56.0
Class, average · last
67 · 72
Power
66.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$100,708
Per start
$14,386.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 25/102
Weight · days off
120 · 10d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 11 NovHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtAllowance2700.0Fernando De La Cruz118
Fri 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming1650.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119
Tue 5 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight4330.0Fernando De La Cruz120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Seal Bay120 lbSamuel Bermudez54.27630/133/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
5.6
Finish
4.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
72.0 · 63.0
Class, average · last
76 · 70
Power
67.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,751

Connections and form

Jockey
Samuel Bermudez
Trainer
Ed Moger, Jr. 0/1
Weight · days off
120 · 19d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 2 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming169.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Fri 12 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight454.0Ben Curtis119
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight662.0Edgar Morales
Sun 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1053.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Politics120 lbLuis Saez54.3786/143/4

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
4.3
Finish
1.4
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
73.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
78 · 78
Power
70.1 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$59,782
Per start
$11,956.40

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael McCarthy 1/14
Weight · days off
120 · 55d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight172.0Ben Curtis
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight749.0Luis Saez119
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJohn Velazquez119
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJaime Torres

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Colt Forty Seven120 lbCorey Lanerie53.3686/147/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.1
Middle
7.0
Finish
5.1
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
— · 50.0
Class, average · last
68 · 69
Power
58.7 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,267

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
J. Desormeaux 2/7
Weight · days off
120 · 14d
Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming167.0James Graham118
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runJames Graham118
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance966.0James Graham120
Wed 3 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Claiming157.0Gavin Ashton119
Sat 23 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Optional Claiming361.0Gavin Ashton119
Sat 2 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Optional Claiming645.0Gavin Ashton119
Mon 16 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight9190.0Jaime Torres120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running · 3 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate