CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 3 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 20 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $30,000.

Race 3 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
19Expect the Best$6.76$3.48$2.70
21Morunning$3.18$2.54
38Weaponized$3.82
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta9-1$2.00$19.40
Trifecta9-1-8$0.50$18.58
Superfecta9-1-8-2$0.10$9.42
Super high five9-1-8-2-3$1.00$94.58
Claiming1 Mile · Dirt · Muddy · Purse $62,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Morunning121 lbLFlorent Geroux54.8975/217/10

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
5.0
Finish
4.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
83.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
97 · 88
Power
80.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Christopher Davis 0/8
Weight · days off
121 · 67d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming2850.0Luis Saez122
Sun 3 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3720.0Luan Machado
Mon 14 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming5710.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Thu 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance6720.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance3780.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Sun 19 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance8380.0Ramon Vazquez116
Sat 4 JanTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance8820.0Gerardo Corrales121
Sun 24 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance2900.0Tyler Gaffalione118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Handsome Pants118 lbLJose Ortiz54.1914/119/8

Probability

Pace

Early
4.4
Middle
3.9
Finish
5.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
87.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
91 · 91
Power
79.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Joe Sharp 53/224
Weight · days off
118 · 42d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 8 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming6600.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Wed 3 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfAllowance7790.0Emmanuel Esquivel120
Sat 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowance6890.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sun 27 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtClaiming4780.0Luis Rivera, Jr.120
Fri 11 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6790.0Kendrick Carmouche120
Fri 14 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6460.0Emmanuel Esquivel117
Mon 17 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3770.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119
Sun 26 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4750.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Army Hero121 lbLFrancisco Arrieta53.68712/129/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.3
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
88.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
87 · 88
Power
73.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Steve Manley 0/2
Weight · days off
121 · 19d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming468.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Thu 9 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming460.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Sat 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming670.0Abel Cedillo122
Sat 16 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming478.0Rafael Bejarano
Sat 26 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming955.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Thu 26 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming289.0Andres Calleja124
Thu 22 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming188.0Jose Ortiz125
Thu 10 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming673.0Lanfranco Dettori125

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Odoricoscratched30/1
5Whiskey Shotscratched7/2
6Wind Rider121 lbLTyler Bacon54.49615/159/3

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
5.8
Finish
7.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
— · 72.0
Class, average · last
96 · 81
Power
73.4 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$86,153
Per start
$7,832.09

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Bacon
Trainer
Chris Hartman 12/78
Weight · days off
121 · 17d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 2 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming857.0Luis Saez120
Sat 29 MarTURFWAY PARK1 1/2 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1141.0Corey Lanerie125
Sat 22 FebTURFWAY PARK1 1/4 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming389.0Corey Lanerie125
Thu 30 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfClaiming683.0Luca Panici122
Sat 4 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming983.0Luca Panici120
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance676.0Corey Lanerie118
Sun 26 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight183.0Colby Hernandez
Tue 7 NovHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight359.0Colby Hernandez122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Barca Billy121 lbLSophie Doyle53.57330/172/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
5.4
Finish
4.6
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
61.0 · 51.0
Class, average · last
73 · 71
Power
51.6 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Sophie Doyle
Trainer
Robert Pompell 0/1
Weight · days off
121 · 16d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 3 NovHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4580.0Alvin Ortiz121
Tue 14 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming7120.0Alberto Burgos122
Wed 30 AprHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5600.0Rodney Prescott122
Wed 16 AprHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4600.0Rodney Prescott
Mon 26 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming1610.0Rodney Prescott117
Mon 5 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight7350.0Reynier Arrieta120
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4390.0Alexander Bendezu120
Thu 20 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4630.0Alexander Bendezu120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Weaponized118 lbLJaime Torres53.8916/17/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.1
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.4
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
78.0 · 66.0
Class, average · last
91 · 103
Power
72.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Riley Mott 14/65
Weight · days off
118 · 27d

Gelding · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance867.0John Velazquez120
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming178.0Junior Alvarado120
Wed 20 AugDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight378.0Jaime Rodriguez118
Sat 22 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1144.0Edwin Gonzalez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Expect the Best118 lbLLuis Saez54.6883/112/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
5.5
Finish
4.5
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
62.0 · 79.0
Class, average · last
88 · 93
Power
76.3 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Jose D'Angelo 11/61
Weight · days off
118 · 21d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 29 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming3770.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Sat 11 OctGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6870.0Leonel Reyes118
Fri 29 AugGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3850.0Emisael Jaramillo118
Fri 22 AugGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runEmisael Jaramillo118
Fri 6 JunGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackAllowance7620.0Emisael Jaramillo121
Thu 24 AprGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance4710.0Emisael Jaramillo120
Sun 30 MarGULFSTREAM PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming1800.0Emisael Jaramillo122
Sun 19 JanGULFSTREAM PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weightnot runEdgar Perez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate