CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

Race 8 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Music Burst$18.56$7.74$3.54
212Paradise$5.58$3.00
313Betty's Pearl$2.18
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-12$2.00$86.00
Trifecta1-12-13$0.50$59.31
Superfecta1-12-13-9$0.10$39.41
Super high five1-12-13-9-4$1.00$1672.52
Maiden Special Weight6 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Music Burst119 lbLuis Saez848/125/3

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
5.8
Finish
5.0
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
67.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
70.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
3: 1-1-0
Wins
33.3%
Earnings
$90,384
Per start
$30,128

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 10/46
Weight · days off
119 · 25d

3yo · Filly

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 18 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight667.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Volatile Spark119 lbDanny Sheehy20/142

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Danny Sheehy
Trainer
William Gallagher
Weight · days off
119 · —

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Volatile Spark.

3Tap This Wayscratched10/1
4Dolladoro119 lbCristian Torres10/149/3

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Philip D'Amato 1/3
Weight · days off
119 · —

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Dolladoro.

5Speightress119 lbTyler Gaffalione6/129/4

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
3: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$1,191
Per start
$397

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Dallas Stewart 0/6
Weight · days off
119 · —

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Speightress.

6She's So Coal119 lbFrancisco Arrieta15/143/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Lindsay Schultz 3/27
Weight · days off
119 · —

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for She's So Coal.

7Lady Law119 lbAxel Concepcion7615/166/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
6.0
Finish
8.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
39.0 · 39.0
Class, average · last
76 · 76
Power
52.3 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
W. Calhoun 10/62
Weight · days off
119 · 87d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 17 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight8430.0Edgar Morales
Mon 11 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runEdgar Morales

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Stay in Tune119 lbKeith Asmussen8412/132/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.3
Middle
7.5
Finish
6.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
46.0 · 46.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
54.2 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,975

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 54/578
Weight · days off
119 · 25d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 18 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight847.0Jose Ortiz119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Funny Bunny119 lbLuan Machado7410/155/3

Probability

Pace

Early
8.6
Middle
6.9
Finish
7.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
47.0 · 47.0
Class, average · last
74 · 74
Power
54.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,790

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 1/1
Weight · days off
119 · 48d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight10480.0Luis Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Victor Valley119 lbAndres Calleja8615/130/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.0
Middle
8.2
Finish
4.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 68.0
Class, average · last
86 · 86
Power
67.8 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Andres Calleja
Trainer
Israel Acevedo 1/24
Weight · days off
119 · 26d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 17 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight577.0Andres Calleja119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Determined Acescratched3/1
12Paradise119 lbIrad Ortiz, Jr.4/119/5

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-1
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$198,800
Per start
$49,700

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brad Cox 22/87
Weight · days off
119 · —

3yo · Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Paradise.

13Betty's Pearl119 lbLuis Saez845/25/6

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
2.0
Finish
2.0
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
74.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
75.3 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-2-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$134,430
Per start
$19,204.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brian Lynch 6/29
Weight · days off
119 · 38d

3yo · Filly

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 5 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2720.0Luis Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Smoked Peachscratched15/1
15Aunt Sherylscratched10/1
16Emporiumscratched12/1
11 running · 5 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate