CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 6 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Three Year Olds. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since October 13 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $80,000. (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One And One Sixteenth Mile.) (rail At 24 Feet).

←Race 6 of 10→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Big to Do$9.96$5.48$3.38
23Mission Improbable—$11.84$3.98
31Aspenite——$3.40
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-3$2.00$132.74
Trifecta7-3-1$0.50$114.84
Superfecta7-3-1-5$0.10$53.84
Super high five——refunded
Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $83,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Aspenite121 lbLKeith Asmussen56.91045/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
4.3
Finish
5.1
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.9
Career best · average
105.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
104 · 101
Power
101.8 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
22: 3-3-4
Wins
13.6%
Earnings
$588,865
Per start
$26,766.59

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 54/578
Weight · days off
121 · 13d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 30 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7670.0Keith Asmussen122
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3940.0Erik Asmussen121
Sun 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7950.0Keith Asmussen122
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfKY Downs Preview Mint Millions Turf Mile S.81050.0Erik Asmussen—
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2980.0Keith Asmussen122
Sat 21 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming6900.0Flavien Prat122
Fri 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runKeith Asmussen122
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming10840.0Lanfranco Dettori122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Governing Partyscratched—————6/1—
3Mission Improbable118 lbLAxel Concepcion53.68112/158/3

Probability

Pace

Early
7.5
Middle
7.4
Finish
4.1
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
90.0 · 65.0
Class, average · last
81 · 103
Power
79.5 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,151.70

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 20d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance384.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Sun 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance777.0Luan Machado118
Mon 25 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfClaiming189.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.118
Fri 31 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackStarter Allowance674.0Alex Achard120
Fri 8 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance—not runFlorent Geroux120
Mon 7 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Claiming171.0Jose Ortiz122
Wed 25 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming357.0Alex Achard120
Sat 17 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming—not runAlex Achard119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Unleash the Powerscratched—————3/1—
5Factor Analysis121 lbLLuis Saez54.9995/27/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
5.0
Finish
4.0
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
103.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
99 · 108
Power
94.4 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$132,576
Per start
$7,798.59

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 14/75
Weight · days off
121 · 31d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance5102.0Luis Saez122
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming493.0Luis Saez122
Sat 26 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance Optional Claiming585.0Ben Curtis122
Sat 21 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming790.0Ben Curtis122
Sat 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7102.0Ben Curtis—
Sat 8 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance185.0Antonio Gallardo122
Fri 20 DecTAMPA BAY1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight188.0Antonio Gallardo120
Sun 20 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 3/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight594.0Flavien Prat120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Mackadoo118 lbLBen Curtis54.0818/141/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.4
Finish
1.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
92.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
81 · 87
Power
82.3 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Gregory Foley 0/3
Weight · days off
118 · 18d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 25 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtUnreachable Star H.883.0Mitchell Murrill122
Thu 2 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming191.0Mitchell Murrill119
Tue 16 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance175.0Mitchell Murrill118
Thu 28 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance—not runMitchell Murrill117
Wed 6 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance182.0Edgar Morales118
Wed 30 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtGovernor's H.581.0Edgar Morales118
Sat 5 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfSnack H.290.0Edgar Morales120
Wed 25 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance—not runMitchell Murrill115

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Big to Do121 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.54.210410/14/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.3
Finish
5.4
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
100.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
104 · 108
Power
102.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$11,845.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Glenn Wismer
Weight · days off
121 · 31d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance1179.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.122
Thu 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 3/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming497.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.122
Sun 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming498.0Lanfranco Dettori122
Mon 11 AugPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackAvery Whisman Memorial S.779.0Addiel Ayala123
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runChris Landeros—
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runSophie Doyle—
Sun 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 3/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7105.0Chris Landeros122
Sun 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1086.0Fernando De La Cruz—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Villain121 lbLJose Ortiz55.010010/15/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
3.6
Finish
4.9
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
101.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
100 · 96
Power
85.6 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$85,382
Per start
$6,098.71

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Lindsay Schultz 3/10
Weight · days off
121 · 47d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 26 SepLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming785.0Forest Boyce123
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming987.0Nik Juarez122
Wed 6 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming583.0Axel Concepcion122
Fri 4 JulDELAWARE PARKAbout 1 Mile 70 Yards · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming390.0Carol Cedeno120
Sat 7 JunLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming591.0J.G. Torrealba123
Thu 27 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming787.0Sophie Doyle124
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance8101.0Paco Lopez120
Fri 30 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfSaranac S.485.0Junior Alvarado118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Not Falling Backscratched—————12/1—
6 running · 3 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate