CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 10 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At Five Furlongs.) (rail At 24 Feet).

←Race 10 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
112Spring Dancer$27.30$13.60$8.20
211Aurora Sky—$13.94$8.10
31Justine——$4.26
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta12-11$2.00$507.24
Trifecta12-11-1$0.50$851.43
Superfecta12-11-1-2$0.10$1096.74
Maiden Special Weight5 Furlongs · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Justine122 lbLJose Ortiz—849/223/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
7.5
Finish
8.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
47.0 · 47.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
59.4 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Wesley Ward 1/11
Weight · days off
122 · 83d

Filly · L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 21 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1046.0Victor Espinoza119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Classy Beach122 lbLBen Curtis—848/149/4

Probability

Pace

Early
1.2
Middle
1.1
Finish
6.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
— · 57.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
68.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,217.17

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 9/63
Weight · days off
122 · 26d

L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 17 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight6490.0Luis Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Evie's Eyebrows122 lbLJoseph Bealmear———30/198/1

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Bealmear
Trainer
Ron Isbell, Jr.
Weight · days off
122 · —

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming—not runCristian Torres119
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming—not runTyler Gaffalione119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Hissyfitterscratched—————12/1—
5Contemplate122 lbLAxel Concepcion54.88012/16

Probability

Pace

Early
1.3
Middle
2.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
— · 59.0
Class, average · last
80 · 87
Power
51.7 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Eoin Harty 1/3
Weight · days off
122 · 31d

Filly · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5450.0Jose Ortiz121
Sat 23 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runWalter Rodriguez—
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runLuan Machado119
Fri 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2710.0Luan Machado119
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5500.0Rafael Bejarano119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Dear Scarlett124 lbLIrving Moncada56.78115/193/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.3
Middle
7.9
Finish
6.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.7
Career best · average
77.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
81 · 77
Power
59.2 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
10: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$8,883
Per start
$888.30

Connections and form

Jockey
Irving Moncada
Trainer
Ian Wilkes
Weight · days off
124 · 30d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 13 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight7560.0Jane Elliott125
Mon 22 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runJane Elliott124
Tue 2 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight6590.0Jane Elliott124
Thu 7 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runJulien Leparoux124
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight7480.0Chris Landeros124
Thu 3 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runChris Landeros—
Thu 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight5780.0Chris Landeros124
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight10600.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Tempting Evescratched—————3/1—
8Loriebeth122 lbLMario Gutierrez———20/180/1

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,829.83

Connections and form

Jockey
Mario Gutierrez
Trainer
Alvin Taylor 0/1
Weight · days off
122 · —

L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 13 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runMario Gutierrez122
Mon 22 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runAxel Concepcion120
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runMario Gutierrez—

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9One Happy Island122 lbLJames Graham54.58230/118/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
— · 71.0
Class, average · last
82 · 89
Power
83.2 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-3
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$105,570
Per start
$7,038

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
Matt Kordenbrock 0/2
Weight · days off
122 · 20d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight682.0James Graham120
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight374.0James Graham121
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight956.0Albin Jimenez120
Thu 6 FebTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight277.0Albin Jimenez120
Thu 2 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight482.0Corey Lanerie120
Thu 12 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight574.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight378.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runCorey Lanerie119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Candy Mine210d off122 lbLLuis Saez55.1797/28/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
82.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
79 · 83
Power
75.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 10/46
Weight · days off
122 · 210d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runEdgar Morales118
Sat 7 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runEdgar Morales118
Fri 9 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight—not runEdgar Morales118
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight282.0Edgar Morales—
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight273.0Edgar Morales119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Aurora Sky122 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.———10/138/3

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Joe Sharp 9/36
Weight · days off
122 · —

Filly · L

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Aurora Sky.

12Spring Dancer194d off122 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.0836/138/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.3
Finish
2.8
Post draw
2.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 77.0
Class, average · last
83 · 81
Power
60.0 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Randy Morse 1/4
Weight · days off
122 · 194d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 2 MayOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4580.0Cristian Torres120
Sat 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight—not runRafael Bejarano122
Mon 24 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5800.0Ramon Vazquez122
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance—not runRamon Vazquez—
Sat 18 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0Ramon Vazquez120
Sun 15 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0Ramon Vazquez120
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2670.0Martin Garcia119
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3780.0Martin Garcia119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Taverna122 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.2819/221/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
3.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
— · 75.0
Class, average · last
81 · 87
Power
69.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-3
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$50,732
Per start
$8,455.33

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 27/146
Weight · days off
122 · 31d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight387.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.121
Sat 16 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight380.0Edgar Morales—
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight372.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Fri 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sat 3 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight271.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Velveteenscratched—————15/1—
15Once Upon a Time122 lbLKeith Asmussen—7610/155/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
6.3
Finish
6.3
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
— · 64.0
Class, average · last
76 · 76
Power
68.4 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Michelle Dalton
Weight · days off
122 · 40d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 OctGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Claiming—not runEdgard Zayas121
Fri 3 OctGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight563.0Edgard Zayas121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

16Oathscratched—————20/1—
12 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate