CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 10 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At Five Furlongs.) (rail At 24 Feet).

Race 10 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
112Spring Dancer$27.30$13.60$8.20
211Aurora Sky$13.94$8.10
31Justine$4.26
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta12-11$2.00$507.24
Trifecta12-11-1$0.50$851.43
Superfecta12-11-1-2$0.10$1096.74
Maiden Special Weight5 Furlongs · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Justine122 lbLJose Ortiz849/223/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
7.5
Finish
8.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
47.0 · 47.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
59.4 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Wesley Ward 1/11
Weight · days off
122 · 83d

Filly · L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 21 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1046.0Victor Espinoza119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Classy Beach122 lbLBen Curtis848/149/4

Probability

Pace

Early
1.2
Middle
1.1
Finish
6.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 57.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
68.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,217.17

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 9/63
Weight · days off
122 · 26d

L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 17 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight6490.0Luis Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Evie's Eyebrows122 lbLJoseph Bealmear30/198/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Bealmear
Trainer
Ron Isbell, Jr.
Weight · days off
122 · —

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claimingnot runCristian Torres119
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runTyler Gaffalione119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Hissyfitterscratched12/1
5Contemplate122 lbLAxel Concepcion54.88012/16

Probability

Pace

Early
1.3
Middle
2.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
17.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
— · 59.0
Class, average · last
80 · 87
Power
51.7 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Eoin Harty 1/3
Weight · days off
122 · 31d

Filly · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5450.0Jose Ortiz121
Sat 23 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runWalter Rodriguez
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runLuan Machado119
Fri 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2710.0Luan Machado119
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5500.0Rafael Bejarano119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Dear Scarlett124 lbLIrving Moncada56.78115/193/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.3
Middle
7.9
Finish
6.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.7
Career best · average
77.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
81 · 77
Power
59.2 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
10: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$8,883
Per start
$888.30

Connections and form

Jockey
Irving Moncada
Trainer
Ian Wilkes
Weight · days off
124 · 30d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 13 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight7560.0Jane Elliott125
Mon 22 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJane Elliott124
Tue 2 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight6590.0Jane Elliott124
Thu 7 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJulien Leparoux124
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight7480.0Chris Landeros124
Thu 3 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runChris Landeros
Thu 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight5780.0Chris Landeros124
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight10600.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Tempting Evescratched3/1
8Loriebeth122 lbLMario Gutierrez20/180/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,829.83

Connections and form

Jockey
Mario Gutierrez
Trainer
Alvin Taylor 0/1
Weight · days off
122 · —

L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 13 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runMario Gutierrez122
Mon 22 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runAxel Concepcion120
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runMario Gutierrez

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9One Happy Island122 lbLJames Graham54.58230/118/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
— · 71.0
Class, average · last
82 · 89
Power
83.2 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-3
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$105,570
Per start
$7,038

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
Matt Kordenbrock 0/2
Weight · days off
122 · 20d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 23 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight682.0James Graham120
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight374.0James Graham121
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight956.0Albin Jimenez120
Thu 6 FebTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight277.0Albin Jimenez120
Thu 2 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight482.0Corey Lanerie120
Thu 12 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight574.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight378.0Corey Lanerie119
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runCorey Lanerie119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Candy Mine210d off122 lbLLuis Saez55.1797/28/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.7
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
82.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
79 · 83
Power
75.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 10/46
Weight · days off
122 · 210d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runEdgar Morales118
Sat 7 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runEdgar Morales118
Fri 9 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runEdgar Morales118
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight282.0Edgar Morales
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight273.0Edgar Morales119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Aurora Sky122 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.10/138/3

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Joe Sharp 9/36
Weight · days off
122 · —

Filly · L

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Aurora Sky.

12Spring Dancer194d off122 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.0836/138/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.3
Finish
2.8
Post draw
2.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 77.0
Class, average · last
83 · 81
Power
60.0 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 3-0-0
Wins
75.0%
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Randy Morse 1/4
Weight · days off
122 · 194d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 2 MayOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4580.0Cristian Torres120
Sat 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runRafael Bejarano122
Mon 24 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5800.0Ramon Vazquez122
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runRamon Vazquez
Sat 18 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0Ramon Vazquez120
Sun 15 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0Ramon Vazquez120
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2670.0Martin Garcia119
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3780.0Martin Garcia119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Taverna122 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.2819/221/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
3.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
— · 75.0
Class, average · last
81 · 87
Power
69.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-3
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$50,732
Per start
$8,455.33

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 27/146
Weight · days off
122 · 31d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight387.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.121
Sat 16 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight380.0Edgar Morales
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight372.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Fri 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sat 3 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight271.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Velveteenscratched15/1
15Once Upon a Time122 lbLKeith Asmussen7610/155/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
6.3
Finish
6.3
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 64.0
Class, average · last
76 · 76
Power
68.4 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Michelle Dalton
Weight · days off
122 · 40d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 OctGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Claimingnot runEdgard Zayas121
Fri 3 OctGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight563.0Edgard Zayas121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

16Oathscratched20/1
12 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate