CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 7 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $18,000 Three Times Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or Claiming Price $100,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since September 9 Allowed 2 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (races Where Entered For $80,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One Mile.) (rail At 12 Feet).

Race 7 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
16Poster$7.60$4.40$3.86
27Judge Davis$5.24$3.30
31Noises Off$3.34
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta6-7$2.00$32.16
Trifecta6-7-1$0.50$27.27
Superfecta6-7-1-4$0.10$15.10
Super high fiverefunded
Allowance Optional Claiming1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $141,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Noises Off121 lbLJose Ortiz55.41094/115/4

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
3.8
Finish
3.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.4
Career best · average
108.0 · 96.0
Class, average · last
109 · 110
Power
95.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Paulo Lobo 0/1
Weight · days off
121 · 59d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7930.0John Velazquez124
Sun 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfHandicap51000.0Evin Roman116
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · TurfKeeneland Sales Tapit S.not runCristian Torres122
Sun 13 JulELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2940.0Cristian Torres122
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runCristian Torres122
Sat 14 DecTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackPrairie Bayou S.5940.0Evin Roman
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.9950.0Cristian Torres126
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfHandicap21080.0Cristian Torres116

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Surly Furiousscratched12/1
3Smokey Mandate214d off121 lbLLuis Saez53.11066/113/4

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
3.4
Finish
2.6
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.1
Career best · average
113.0 · 100.0
Class, average · last
106 · 112
Power
92.1 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$15,738.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Maker 25/146
Weight · days off
121 · 214d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance21140.0Luis Saez120
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runLuis Saez
Sat 22 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMuniz Memorial Classic S. Presented by Horse Racing Nation11980.0Jareth Loveberry118
Sat 22 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming11050.0Jareth Loveberry120
Sat 15 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · DirtFasig-Tipton Risen Star S.5860.0
Mon 27 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Ortiz120
Sat 25 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSouthwest S.7910.0
Thu 23 JanFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Ortiz

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Miranda Rights121 lbLVincent Cheminaud55.01095/117/4

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.2
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
112.0 · 97.0
Class, average · last
109 · 112
Power
104.5 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$387,607
Per start
$16,150.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Vincent Cheminaud
Trainer
Michelle Nihei 1/5
Weight · days off
121 · 21d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 18 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance2106.0Vincent Cheminaud122
Sat 21 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming5920.0Florent Geroux122
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3970.0Florent Geroux122
Tue 29 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming71110.0Jose Ortiz123
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runJose Ortiz
Sat 29 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJoel Rosario120
Sat 19 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfHandicapnot runLuan Machado117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Idratherbeblessed121 lbLBen Curtis53.51105/125/3

Probability

Pace

Early
1.8
Middle
1.7
Finish
3.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
107.0 · 97.0
Class, average · last
110 · 114
Power
94.2 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$661,332
Per start
$17,873.84

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Chris Hartman 4/45
Weight · days off
121 · 175d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 17 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfLouisville S.752.0Ben Curtis120
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfOld Forester Bourbon Turf Classic S.not runBen Curtis123
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 1/2 Miles · TurfVisitLEX Elkhorn S.10101.0Ben Curtis118
Sat 22 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMuniz Memorial Classic S. Presented by Horse Racing Nation1110.0Ben Curtis118
Sat 15 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · TurfFair Grounds S. Presented by Horse Racing Nation4111.0Ben Curtis118
Mon 27 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runBen Curtis120
Thu 23 JanFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runBen Curtis
Sat 18 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtColonel E. R. Bradley S.297.0Ben Curtis118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Poster231d off118 lbLTyler Gaffalione54.7895/214/5

Probability

Pace

Early
1.6
Middle
1.6
Finish
1.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
84.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
89 · 98
Power
71.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Eoin Harty 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 231d

Colt · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 1/8 Miles · All Weather TrackJeff Ruby Steaks4890.0John Velazquez123
Sat 8 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · DirtSam F. Davis S.3950.0Antonio Gallardo124
Sat 7 DecAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtRemsen S.1900.0Flavien Prat120
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance1840.0Rafael Bejarano122
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfCastle & Key Bourbon S.not runRafael Bejarano118
Mon 19 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight1760.0Rafael Bejarano119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Judge Davis121 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.58.21027/219/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
5.9
Finish
3.1
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
58.2
Career best · average
105.0 · 97.0
Class, average · last
102 · 105
Power
93.4 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Michael Maker 4/28
Weight · days off
121 · 42d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1105.0Jose Ortiz122
Sat 5 JulSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming493.0Joel Rosario122
Sun 1 JunLAUREL PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runSheldon Russell123
Fri 25 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance499.0Vincent Cheminaud121
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2104.0Vincent Cheminaud123
Sat 27 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfAllowance Optional Claiming198.0Vincent Cheminaud121
Sun 23 JunMONMOUTH PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming487.0Vincent Cheminaud121
Sat 25 MayMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming687.0Vincent Cheminaud121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate