CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 4 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $18,000 Four Times Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Not Won $29,905 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since July 4, 2024 Or Claiming Price $175,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Graded Sweepstakes At A Mile Or Over On The Turf In 2025 Allowed 2 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since December 25 Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $175,000 (races Where Entered For $100,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One Mile.) (rail At 36 Feet).

←Race 4 of 9→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Kupuna$32.44$11.98$4.78
24Northern Invader—$4.28$2.32
35Epic Ride——$2.16
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-4$2.00$127.10
Trifecta2-4-5$0.50$86.31
Superfecta2-4-5-1$0.10$63.13
Super high five——refunded
Allowance Optional Claiming1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $148,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Strong Quality121 lbLFlorent Geroux54.611012/127/2

Probability

Pace

Early
2.1
Middle
2.1
Finish
5.5
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
109.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
110 · 104
Power
109.7 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$25,797.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Mark Casse 3/26
Weight · days off
121 · 20d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 17 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance Optional Claiming21050.0Dylan Davis—
Fri 12 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming41030.0Ben Curtis122
Sat 26 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming—not runBen Curtis122
Thu 19 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming6910.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.121
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance6390.0Jose Ortiz—
Fri 31 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming21090.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMint Millions S.—not runFlorent Geroux126
Sun 11 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfFanDuel Fourstardave H.4970.0Dylan Davis119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Kupuna121 lbLFrancisco Arrieta55.010715/146/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
4.2
Finish
4.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 101.0
Class, average · last
107 · 106
Power
75.4 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Norm Casse
Weight · days off
121 · 39d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming41040.0Axel Concepcion122
Sat 5 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMichael G. Schaefer Memorial S.41020.0Mitchell Murrill121
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6920.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtKnicks Go Overnight S. presented by L&N Federal Credit Union31000.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 5 AprEVANGELINE1 Mile · DirtEvangeline Mile S.21000.0Mitchell Murrill119
Sat 22 FebSAM HOUSTON6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11060.0Jose Alvarez—
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMichael G. Schaefer Memorial S.5960.0Mitchell Murrill125
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfJonathan B. Schuster Memorial S.—not runMitchell Murrill118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Quatrocentoscratched—————5/2—
4Northern Invader121 lbLJose Ortiz55.71115/12

Probability

Pace

Early
3.1
Middle
3.1
Finish
3.9
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
112.0 · 106.0
Class, average · last
111 · 106
Power
108.2 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 32/132
Weight · days off
121 · 69d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 29 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfBernard Baruch S.31090.0Joel Rosario120
Sun 20 JulWOODBINE7 Furlongs · Turfbet365 Connaught Cup S.2980.0Rafael Hernandez121
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1990.0Jose Ortiz122
Fri 11 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaker's Mark Mile S.41080.0Jose Ortiz123
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance—not runJose Ortiz118
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance—not runJose Ortiz—
Sat 1 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfTampa Bay S.21120.0Edwin Gonzalez118
Sat 18 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtColonel E. R. Bradley S.—not runLuis Saez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Epic Ride125 lbLTyler Gaffalione57.41102/17/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.1
Middle
2.3
Finish
3.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.4
Career best · average
115.0 · 105.0
Class, average · last
110 · 118
Power
106.5 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
18: 5-5-3
Wins
27.8%
Earnings
$1,957,264
Per start
$108,736.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
John Ennis 0/1
Weight · days off
125 · 33d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 4 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.81130.0Edgar Morales126
Sat 6 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfFanDuel TV Mint Millions Invitational S.11140.0Edgar Morales122
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfKY Downs Preview Mint Millions Turf Mile S.21150.0Edgar Morales—
Sat 7 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · TurfMighty Beau S.4950.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO6 Furlongs · DirtMaryland Sprint S.21130.0Flavien Prat120
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtCommonwealth S.4910.0Luan Machado118
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtCommonwealth S.—not runLuan Machado—
Sun 23 FebTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming11080.0Luan Machado123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Emmanuel123 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.55.51127/216/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
113.0 · 102.0
Class, average · last
112 · 113
Power
110.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$36,411.21

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Michael Maker 4/28
Weight · days off
123 · 39d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 28 SepHAWTHORNE1 Mile · TurfCarey Memorial S.1110.0Emmanuel Esquivel—
Sun 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfHandicap797.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119
Fri 15 AugPENN NATIONAL1 1/16 Miles · TurfPA Governor's Cup S.197.0Jomar Torres120
Sat 28 JunLONE STAR1 1/8 Miles · TurfTexas Turf Classic S.4107.0Francisco Arrieta—
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming—not runFlavien Prat122
Sat 3 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtLake Ouachita S.499.0Ramon Vazquez119
Sat 29 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtOaklawn Mile S.—not runRicardo Santana, Jr.117
Sat 25 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackHandicap1191.0Luis Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Paros121 lbLLuis Saez56.01095/115/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
4.4
Finish
3.6
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
112.0 · 101.0
Class, average · last
109 · 113
Power
106.8 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$560,941
Per start
$20,033.61

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Maker 25/146
Weight · days off
121 · 39d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 28 SepHAWTHORNE1 Mile · TurfCarey Memorial S.2109.0Jareth Loveberry—
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile 70 Yards · TurfKeeneland Sales Tapit S.896.0Joel Rosario122
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 1/8 Miles · All Weather TrackTwinSpires Kentucky Cup Classic S.786.0Juan Hernandez120
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfCanadian Turf S.594.0Edgard Zayas120
Sat 1 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfTampa Bay S.699.0Antonio Gallardo120
Sat 25 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfPegasus World Cup Turf Invitational S. presented by Qatar Racing—not runJavier Castellano123
Sat 14 DecTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackPrairie Bayou S.1104.0Luis Saez—
Sat 19 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance1112.0Luis Saez124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate