CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Allowance

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Over A Mile On The Turf Since September 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One And One Eighth Mile.).

Race 8 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
19Caviar Breakfast$17.06$7.06$4.84
211Celtic Charm$8.62$6.26
38Birkin Girl$13.44
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta9-11$2.00$106.40
Trifecta9-11-8$0.50$488.15
Superfecta9-11-8-6$0.10$626.82
Allowance1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Hear the Queen118 lbLAxel Concepcion53.5875/213/16

Probability

Pace

Early
3.4
Middle
5.0
Finish
1.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
94.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
87 · 93
Power
100.2 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Brad Cox 1/1
Weight · days off
118 · 28d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 3 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance2940.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Fri 11 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance3880.0Luan Machado118
Wed 26 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackStarter Allowance1930.0Luan Machado120
Thu 12 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight1850.0Florent Geroux119
Wed 13 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4670.0Florent Geroux119
Sun 20 OctPLEASANTON1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming2740.0
Sat 28 SepFRESNO1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance4750.0
Sun 15 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5730.0Tyler Gaffalione119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2El Joury118 lbLDanny Sheehy54.58515/142/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.6
Finish
5.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
88.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
85 · 90
Power
81.6 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Danny Sheehy
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 1/18
Weight · days off
118 · 21d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 10 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance9820.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sun 14 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione118
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance7850.0Edgar Morales
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance3890.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 8 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming8670.0Edgard Zayas120
Sat 26 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1780.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight6640.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Mon 19 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight6650.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Bijou Baby121 lbLSamuel Bermudez54.09220/171/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
5.9
Finish
3.4
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
88.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
92 · 96
Power
92.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Samuel Bermudez
Trainer
Jamie Grubbs 0/1
Weight · days off
121 · 43d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runEmmanuel Esquivel122
Fri 10 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runEmmanuel Esquivel122
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runEmmanuel Esquivel122
Thu 18 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming197.0Emmanuel Esquivel122
Fri 8 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming496.0Samuel Bermudez122
Thu 17 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runFernando De La Cruz122
Thu 26 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming577.0Emmanuel Esquivel122
Thu 19 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Optional Claimingnot runEmmanuel Esquivel122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Love Song118 lbLJaime Torres53.4887/241/7

Probability

Pace

Early
7.5
Middle
5.1
Finish
2.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
83.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
88 · 93
Power
91.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Michael Stidham
Weight · days off
118 · 57d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance298.0Axel Concepcion118
Wed 23 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance283.0Axel Concepcion118
Fri 13 JunDELAWARE PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming5840.0Julio Hernandez120
Wed 21 MayDELAWARE PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weight192.0Axel Concepcion118
Wed 23 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight483.0Axel Concepcion118
Sat 22 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight288.0Axel Concepcion120
Thu 20 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight569.0Axel Concepcion117
Sun 19 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight279.0Axel Concepcion120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Annellescratched6/1
6Meg's a Star118 lbLDeclan Cannon56.29312/127/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.4
Middle
8.2
Finish
6.5
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.2
Career best · average
90.0 · 85.0
Class, average · last
93 · 100
Power
94.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,348.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Declan Cannon
Trainer
Jack Sisterson 0/3
Weight · days off
118 · 7d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance8910.0Declan Cannon118
Sun 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfAllowance6800.0Declan Cannon118
Sat 6 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowancenot runDeclan Cannon119
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance11830.0Declan Cannon
Fri 11 OctDUN1not run
Fri 11 OctDUN7 Furlongs · All Weather Track1not run

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Faire Plaisir121 lbLJulien Leparoux54.09120/173/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
6.7
Finish
5.0
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
84.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
91 · 93
Power
81.4 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Barry King 1/19
Weight · days off
121 · 35d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJulien Leparoux122
Fri 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance290.0Julien Leparoux122
Fri 27 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runJulien Leparoux124
Thu 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance288.0Julien Leparoux124
Sun 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance387.0Julien Leparoux
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming684.0Julien Leparoux125
Fri 18 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJulien Leparoux118
Thu 10 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runJulien Leparoux118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Birkin Girl118 lbLLuan Machado55.08820/183/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
6.8
Finish
4.4
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
85.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
88 · 97
Power
77.5 · 14th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,755.19

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Ben Colebrook 8/56
Weight · days off
118 · 64d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 28 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance788.0James Graham118
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance984.0Luan Machado
Thu 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance592.0Micah Husbands113
Fri 6 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLuan Machado118
Thu 8 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming482.0Ben Curtis118
Sat 12 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance579.0Luan Machado118
Fri 11 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runLuan Machado118
Sat 1 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming468.0Rafael Hernandez122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Caviar Breakfast120 lbLEmmanuel Esquivel54.0859/215/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
4.4
Finish
3.5
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
94.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
85 · 89
Power
91.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Emmanuel Esquivel
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 20/111
Weight · days off
120 · 22d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight184.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.120
Fri 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight378.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Fri 29 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Claiming281.0Luis Rivera, Jr.118
Thu 14 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight379.0Sheldon Russell118
Sat 19 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 3/16 Miles · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight371.0Emmanuel Esquivel118
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight876.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Sat 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.
Thu 10 AprGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight866.0Renzo Rojas118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Malibu Smart121 lbLKeith Asmussen54.29020/129/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
5.0
Finish
1.8
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
89.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
90 · 93
Power
87.5 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Chris Hartman 1/3
Weight · days off
121 · 35d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 30 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaimingnot runFrancisco Arrieta122
Fri 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance574.0Ben Curtis122
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance298.0Ben Curtis122
Mon 21 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming274.0Rafael Bejarano123
Fri 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowancenot runRafael Bejarano124
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming283.0Rafael Bejarano124
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaimingnot runBen Curtis125
Fri 28 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance683.0Rafael Bejarano117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Celtic Charm121 lbLEdgar Morales53.8936/117/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.1
Middle
4.1
Finish
6.1
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
90.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
93 · 94
Power
82.8 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-3-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$135,198
Per start
$19,314

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Michael Maker 4/34
Weight · days off
121 · 89d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 24 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione122
Fri 10 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione122
Mon 1 SepSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowancenot runJunior Alvarado122
Sun 3 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowance592.0Junior Alvarado123
Sat 19 JulSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance685.0Junior Alvarado123
Wed 13 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming373.0Declan Cannon122
Sun 26 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione
Fri 27 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight185.0Tyler Gaffalione

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Heart Spinscratched20/1
13Calmate195d off118 lbLDanny Sheehy54.99015/190

Probability

Pace

Early
6.3
Middle
6.1
Finish
4.2
Post draw
3.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
84.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
90 · 96
Power
81.9 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,628.43

Connections and form

Jockey
Danny Sheehy
Trainer
Michael McCarthy 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 195d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance5760.0Florent Geroux118
Sun 16 FebSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1840.0Flavien Prat121
Mon 20 JanSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight4840.0Flavien Prat120
Thu 26 DecSANTA ANITA1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight6860.0Ricardo Gonzalez120
Fri 18 OctSANTA ANITA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claiming6370.0Umberto Rispoli120
Sat 21 SepLOS ALAMITOS THOROUGHBRED5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2760.0Umberto Rispoli120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Faith Understoodscratched15/1
15Feeling Beachyscratched8/1
16Kittens Stormy Gal120 lbLCorey Lanerie55.78420/154/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
4.4
Finish
5.4
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
71.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
84 · 79
Power
70.6 · 16th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$65,814
Per start
$7,312.67

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Walter Bindner, Jr.
Weight · days off
120 · 25d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 6 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1740.0James Graham122
Wed 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight9720.0James Graham121
Sat 23 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight5720.0James Graham
Sat 19 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight11610.0James Graham119
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight8630.0James Graham119
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJames Graham119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate