CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 7 · Allowance

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Since August 30 Allowed 2 Lbs.

Race 7 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
19Jack's Promise$27.34$10.24$5.38
21Northern Chill$4.80$3.74
32Dreaminblue$3.94
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta9-1$2.00$196.32
Trifecta9-1-2$0.50$216.14
Superfecta9-1-2-6$0.10$213.05
Super high five9-1-2-6-8$1.00$15063.07
Allowance6 Furlongs · Dirt · Sloppy · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Northern Chill121 lbLTyler Gaffalione56.7997/224/7

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.3
Finish
3.6
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.7
Career best · average
103.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
99 · 98
Power
92.8 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
23: 3-3-5
Wins
13.0%
Earnings
$240,983
Per start
$10,477.52

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Matt Shirer
Weight · days off
121 · 60d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAllowance4900.0Joel Rosario121
Sun 3 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3980.0Joel Rosario124
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance4890.0Cristian Torres125
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runCristian Torres125
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1850.0Cristian Torres123
Sat 26 AprOAKLAWN PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5920.0Emmanuel Esquivel124
Fri 21 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming21010.0Martin Chuan124
Fri 7 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1970.0Martin Chuan121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Dreaminblue118 lbLLuan Machado56.19710/121/4

Probability

Pace

Early
5.9
Middle
5.6
Finish
3.2
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.1
Career best · average
104.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
97 · 98
Power
97.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
14: 3-2-3
Wins
21.4%
Earnings
$393,027
Per start
$28,073.36

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Randy Morse 0/1
Weight · days off
118 · 60d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runEdgar Morales118
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAllowance1078.0Edgar Morales118
Fri 4 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfDade Park Dash S.785.0Cristian Torres118
Sun 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaxfield S.not runCristian Torres118
Fri 6 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtAllowance297.0Cristian Torres118
Fri 21 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming387.0Cristian Torres122
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtRebel S.985.0Francisco Arrieta
Sat 22 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtRebel S.not runFrancisco Arrieta

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Hymn118 lbLLuis Saez53.8944/117/4

Probability

Pace

Early
2.7
Middle
2.5
Finish
4.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
101.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
94 · 99
Power
93.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$227,247
Per start
$20,658.82

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Ron Moquett 4/17
Weight · days off
118 · 41d

4yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 9 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runLuis Saez118
Thu 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance21000.0Luis Saez118
Thu 3 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5850.0Edgar Morales
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10750.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 17 MayPIMLICO1 1/16 Miles · DirtSpendthrift Farm Sir Barton S.not runLuis Saez118
Sat 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtBathhouse Row S.4900.0Luis Saez118
Wed 9 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runJose Ortiz118
Fri 14 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2810.0Rafael Bejarano119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Obelisk203d off121 lbLJavier Padron-Barcenas53.49520/136/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.4
Middle
7.2
Finish
2.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
79.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
95 · 104
Power
80.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Javier Padron-Barcenas
Trainer
Ed Moger, Jr. 2/21
Weight · days off
121 · 203d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 25 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowancenot runJavier Padron-Barcenas122
Thu 22 MayHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runAndres Calleja122
Wed 9 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance790.0James Graham118
Wed 5 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight199.0Andres Calleja119
Wed 15 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight478.0Andres Calleja115

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Nicholai118 lbLCorey Lanerie55.79120/124/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.4
Middle
3.9
Finish
4.5
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
92.0 · 58.0
Class, average · last
91 · 97
Power
63.4 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$34,629.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Thomas Vance 5/27
Weight · days off
118 · 157d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11not runCristian Torres121
Sat 19 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance484.0Walter De La Cruz120
Sun 13 AprTAMPA BAY7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming720.0
Sat 29 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight180.0Walter De La Cruz120
Fri 21 MarTAMPA BAY1 mile 40 Yards · DirtClaiming3800.0
Fri 14 MarTAMPA BAY6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming6740.0
Fri 21 FebTAMPA BAY7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3730.0
Sun 26 JanTAMPA BAY6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming6670.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Map to the Stars121 lbLEdgar Morales55.7948/132/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.1
Middle
4.1
Finish
3.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
98.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
94 · 99
Power
93.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$13,742.76

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Paul McGee 2/13
Weight · days off
121 · 41d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance4880.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.121
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance6950.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Sun 15 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2980.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Fri 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance3910.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.124
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2920.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.
Tue 4 MarFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2980.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.121
Thu 30 JanFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3900.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Risk It121 lbLKeith Asmussen57.3995/135/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.3
Career best · average
96.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
99 · 96
Power
88.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$13,565.85

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 51/563
Weight · days off
121 · 41d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming289.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Fri 8 AugELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance485.0Tyler Gaffalione
Sun 13 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance679.0Corey Lanerie122
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance293.0Jose Ortiz123
Tue 29 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance381.0Flavien Prat124
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance490.0Flavien Prat118
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runFlavien Prat
Tue 4 MarFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance591.0Jose Ortiz121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8B Sudd121 lbLFrancisco Arrieta55.610012/135/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
4.4
Finish
4.1
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
103.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
100 · 101
Power
86.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$464,555
Per start
$13,663.38

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Donnie Von Hemel 3/23
Weight · days off
121 · 126d

7yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance6700.0Abel Cedillo123
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3960.0Abel Cedillo123
Sat 22 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5790.0Francisco Arrieta120
Sun 23 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance8670.0Francisco Arrieta
Sat 22 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Optional Claimingnot runFrancisco Arrieta
Sun 19 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance2930.0Francisco Arrieta124
Sat 14 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance11030.0Francisco Arrieta
Sun 24 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runFrancisco Arrieta120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Jack's Promise118 lbLVincent Cheminaud53.39012/138/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.9
Middle
6.9
Finish
4.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
91.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
90 · 92
Power
72.5 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$17,933.24

Connections and form

Jockey
Vincent Cheminaud
Trainer
Dale Romans 3/35
Weight · days off
118 · 22d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 7 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2870.0Vincent Cheminaud119
Thu 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runVincent Cheminaud118
Sun 3 AugSARATOGA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1890.0Junior Alvarado120
Sun 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10120.0Vincent Cheminaud121
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10210.0Junior Alvarado122
Sun 6 AprKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1950.0Luis Saez
Fri 28 FebGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming1910.0Junior Alvarado118
Sat 15 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Claiming8730.0Junior Alvarado118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Subito120 lbLJaime Torres55.7893/12

Probability

Pace

Early
1.3
Middle
1.3
Finish
1.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
93.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
89 · 89
Power
101.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
5: 1-1-1
Wins
20.0%
Earnings
$97,417
Per start
$19,483.40

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
William Mott 7/34
Weight · days off
120 · 46d

Colt · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1910.0Jose Ortiz121
Fri 4 JulSARATOGA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2860.0Jose Lezcano119
Fri 20 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer turfMaiden Special Weightnot runJose Lezcano118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate