CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 10 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

Race 10 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Incredibolt$6.08$3.78$3.20
22Carson Street$10.38$8.66
36Sartorial$13.10
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-2$2.00$62.34
Trifecta1-2-6$0.50$165.64
Superfecta1-2-6-7$0.10$172.93
Super high five1-2-6-7-10$1.00$11867.02
Maiden Special Weight1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Incredibolt119 lbJaime Torres809/235/17

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.4
Finish
3.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 71.0
Class, average · last
80 · 80
Power
75.1 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$498,681
Per start
$83,113.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Riley Mott 11/51
Weight · days off
119 · 36d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 22 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4730.0Jaime Torres

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Carson Street119 lbEdgar Morales786/116/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.6
Middle
1.7
Finish
2.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 68.0
Class, average · last
78 · 78
Power
75.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 12/93
Weight · days off
119 · 23d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight368.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Time to Strikescratched5/1
4Saudi Panther119 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.15/19

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 43/278
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Saudi Panther.

5Graced119 lbLuan Machado8/122/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
J. Sweezey 0/7
Weight · days off
119 · —

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Graced.

6Sartorial119 lbGabriel Saez12/171/2

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Gabriel Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Vaporetti119 lbTyler Gaffalione813/14/5

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
4.5
Finish
2.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
81.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
81 · 81
Power
81.9 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
1: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$9,685
Per start
$9,685

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brad Cox 9/37
Weight · days off
119 · 34d

3yo · Colt

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 24 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight381.0Tyler Gaffalione

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Mountain Grandeur119 lbBen Curtis10/149/1

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,159.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 8/58
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Mountain Grandeur.

9Large Risk119 lbFlorent Geroux6/137/3

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,593.40

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Brad Cox 59/230
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Large Risk.

10Wicked Gun119 lbAxel Concepcion54.38010/121/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.3
Middle
4.4
Finish
6.3
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
73.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
80 · 81
Power
76.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 0/4
Weight · days off
119 · 34d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 24 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight569.0Erik Asmussen
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight839.0Keith Asmussen119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate