CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since August 26 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $80,000.

Race 8 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Escalation Clause$18.62$7.14$4.22
27Baytown Bruiser$4.80$3.32
35Mega Magic$4.22
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-7$2.00$64.18
Trifecta1-7-5$0.50$73.07
Superfecta1-7-5-2$0.10$81.10
Super high five1-7-5-2-4$1.00$3299.07
Claiming1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $82,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Escalation Clause348d off122 lbLFrancisco Arrieta54.3989/225/3

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.1
Finish
2.8
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
81.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
98 · 95
Power
77.1 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
5: 2-2-0
Wins
40.0%
Earnings
$116,634
Per start
$23,326.80

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Greg Compton 8/29
Weight · days off
122 · 348d

Gelding · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtAllowance2810.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 21 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5870.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 11 NovAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1870.0Dylan Davis121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Fielding120 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.52.9745/154/11

Probability

Pace

Early
1.0
Middle
1.0
Finish
1.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
92.0 · 62.0
Class, average · last
74 · 76
Power
92.1 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$42,466
Per start
$6,066.57

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Jonathan Maldonado
Weight · days off
120 · 11d

4yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 14 SepLAUREL PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming195.0J.G. Torrealba122
Fri 29 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runVictor Carrasco118
Wed 13 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfMaiden Claiming1233.0Sheldon Russell118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Nudge118 lbLJose Ortiz55.1892/18/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
3.2
Finish
3.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
85.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
89 · 101
Power
87.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,011.86

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Joe Sharp 53/200
Weight · days off
118 · 21d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 4 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance595.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 26 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance685.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sun 27 AprGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight185.0Joe Bravo118
Sun 30 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight675.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118
Thu 29 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfWith Anticipation S.486.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 20 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weight382.0Manuel Franco119
Sat 15 JunBELMONT AT THE BIG A5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight454.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4The Warden118 lbLJunior Alvarado56.3943/119/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
2.8
Finish
3.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
90.0 · 85.0
Class, average · last
94 · 98
Power
90.7 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
16: 1-2-3
Wins
6.3%
Earnings
$147,719
Per start
$9,232.44

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Ron Moquett 0/2
Weight · days off
118 · 26d

Colt · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 10 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJaime Torres118
Sat 30 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAllowance8830.0Javier Castellano118
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance9930.0Luan Machado
Sat 5 JulELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3970.0Jaime Torres120
Sat 7 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4930.0Julien Leparoux118
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance6790.0Julien Leparoux118
Fri 11 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3860.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122
Mon 24 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5740.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Mega Magic118 lbLLuis Saez54.89512/127/4

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
6.0
Finish
4.7
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
79.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
95 · 99
Power
68.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,251.70

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Albert Stall, Jr. 3/14
Weight · days off
118 · 25d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 31 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance107.0Luis Saez118
Sat 12 JulSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming286.0Luis Saez122
Fri 30 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming282.0Luan Machado118
Thu 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance983.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Fri 14 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming384.0Erica Murray119
Thu 13 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight185.0Erica Murray120
Thu 16 JanFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJareth Loveberry120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Express Line122 lbLCorey Lanerie54.49415/118/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.2
Finish
6.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.4
Career best · average
82.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
94 · 88
Power
81.6 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$43,222
Per start
$3,087.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Grant Forster 0/12
Weight · days off
122 · 40d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 16 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming576.0Jaime Torres
Sat 21 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance869.0Ben Curtis124
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance575.0Mitchell Murrill123
Fri 18 AprKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming378.0Corey Lanerie124
Sat 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming582.0Gerardo Corrales118
Mon 15 JanSANTA ANITA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming477.0Mike Smith122
Sun 3 DecDEL MAR6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming189.0Mike Smith122
Sun 23 JulDEL MAR5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight858.0Mike Smith120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Baytown Bruiser122 lbLWalter Rodriguez55.0946/114/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
4.7
Finish
4.7
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
93.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
94 · 93
Power
86.8 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,460.92

Connections and form

Jockey
Walter Rodriguez
Trainer
Barry King 0/2
Weight · days off
122 · 11d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 14 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming292.0Walter Rodriguez121
Sat 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer turfAllowance679.0Johan Rosado123
Wed 30 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfClaimingnot runBen Curtis123
Wed 9 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowancenot runBen Curtis122
Fri 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance775.0Martin Garcia124
Fri 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaimingnot runMartin Garcia124
Fri 30 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming868.0Martin Garcia124
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance477.0Martin Garcia123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Lou's Legacyscratched20/1
7 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate