CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 1 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since August 11 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 1 of 8

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
16Air of Defiance$3.30$2.54$2.56
21Daddy Justify$6.06$4.80
35Paynter's Canvas$15.18
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta6-1$2.00$19.52
Trifecta6-1-5$0.50$134.03
Superfecta6-1-5-4$0.10$193.69
Claiming1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $45,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Daddy Justify122 lbLGabriel Saez53.6925/146/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.5
Finish
3.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
95.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
92 · 89
Power
85.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$83,237
Per start
$4,380.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Gabriel Saez
Trainer
Carlos Santamaria 0/15
Weight · days off
122 · 23d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 18 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming382.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Sat 2 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance1079.0Nik Juarez
Thu 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming388.0Rafael Bejarano118
Wed 30 AprHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtClaiming183.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Fri 4 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaimingnot runRafael Bejarano122
Thu 27 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming767.0Angel Serpa125
Sat 25 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming191.0Corey Lanerie120
Sun 1 DecDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming195.0Juan Hernandez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Ember122 lbLKeith Asmussen53.19712/139/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.1
Career best · average
102.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
97 · 93
Power
78.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 49/535
Weight · days off
122 · 40d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 1 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming584.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.
Sun 27 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runSamuel Camacho, Jr.
Sat 19 JulELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claimingnot runSamuel Camacho, Jr.123
Sun 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming572.0Lanfranco Dettori118
Thu 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance475.0Lanfranco Dettori120
Sun 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowancenot runLanfranco Dettori
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance193.0Lanfranco Dettori118
Sat 29 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance865.0Jose Ortiz117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Mission Mike122 lbLLuan Machado51.78715/120/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
3.7
Finish
2.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.7
Career best · average
86.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
87 · 89
Power
89.7 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$64,080
Per start
$2,563.20

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Steven Cahill
Weight · days off
122 · 23d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 18 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming8720.0Victor Lebron124
Fri 25 JulBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming1890.0Victor Lebron125
Sat 12 JulBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming1750.0Victor Lebron123
Fri 20 JunBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · TurfClaiming7740.0Vernon Bush123
Wed 28 MayBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming3750.0Vernon Bush123
Sat 12 AprTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming1830.0Sonny Leon124
Wed 12 MarTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming3780.0Sonny Leon122
Sun 23 FebTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfClaiming9760.0Samuel Marin119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Agent Creed122 lbLEdgar Morales53.010112/137

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
3.4
Finish
5.5
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.0
Career best · average
97.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
101 · 91
Power
84.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,742.05

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Niccolo Troiani 1/15
Weight · days off
122 · 19d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 22 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming478.0Edgar Morales
Thu 7 AugBELTERRA PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance381.0John McKee122
Mon 28 JulELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claimingnot runEdgar Morales
Wed 25 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Optional Claiming477.0Fernando De La Cruz122
Wed 11 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming567.0Edgar Morales118
Mon 19 MayHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runMarcelino Pedroza, Jr.122
Thu 17 AprKEENELAND1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance1091.0Edgar Morales118
Tue 4 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfStarter Allowance597.0Declan Cannon122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Paynter's Canvas122 lbLJane Elliott52.59620/1116/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.8
Middle
6.9
Finish
5.8
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.5
Career best · average
90.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
96 · 82
Power
69.2 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jane Elliott
Trainer
Michael Lauer 1/12
Weight · days off
122 · 28d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 13 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Optional Claiming573.0Joseph Bealmear122
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming852.0James Graham118
Tue 29 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming585.0Edgar Morales118
Sun 23 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming867.0Richard Eramia124
Sat 25 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance755.0Joseph Bealmear116
Sun 19 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowancenot runRichard Eramia121
Sun 5 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 3/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance583.0Joseph Bealmear119
Sat 4 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runJoseph Bealmear119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Air of Defiance122 lbLJulien Leparoux54.7935/211/17

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.8
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
87.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
93 · 88
Power
86.1 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Joe Sharp 2/6
Weight · days off
122 · 37d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 4 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1850.0Julien Leparoux
Thu 3 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1720.0Jaime Torres
Wed 18 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4660.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.123
Sat 10 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming6690.0Irving Moncada
Sat 12 AprAQUEDUCT7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5840.0Luis Rivera, Jr.121
Sat 18 JanAQUEDUCT6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance8690.0Sahin Civaci121
Thu 9 JanAQUEDUCT6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runSahin Civaci
Sat 7 DecAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtAllowance6750.0Luis Rivera, Jr.118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Proven Hope122 lbLCristian Torres53.71003/149/8

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.4
Finish
3.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
104.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
100 · 99
Power
80.6 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Robertino Diodoro 5/40
Weight · days off
122 · 19d

7yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 22 AugREMINGTON PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance481.0Luis Reyes120
Wed 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance482.0Cristian Torres118
Thu 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance288.0Cristian Torres118
Sun 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance589.0Cristian Torres
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance392.0Gabriel Saez120
Sat 1 MarSAM HOUSTON1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance1104.0Lindey Wade
Sat 8 FebSAM HOUSTON1 Mile · DirtAllowance496.0Lindey Wade
Sat 11 JanSAM HOUSTON6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance385.0Lindey Wade

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Nikolaouscratched20/1
9Synthesis122 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.11029/235/6

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
6.7
Finish
5.9
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
98.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
102 · 109
Power
67.8 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
David Jacobson 5/14
Weight · days off
122 · 159d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runFlorent Geroux118
Fri 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaimingnot runSamuel Camacho, Jr.118
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.118
Fri 4 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance5860.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.117
Sat 8 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3910.0Amanda Poston109
Thu 23 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5880.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Mon 20 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runRicardo Santana, Jr.
Sat 4 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming10860.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.115

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Noahs Ark122 lbLYarmarie Correa53.39230/164/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
4.6
Finish
3.5
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
84.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
92 · 83
Power
78.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$88,342
Per start
$4,907.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Yarmarie Correa
Trainer
Mike Norris 0/2
Weight · days off
122 · 18d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 23 AugBELTERRA PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming472.0Yarmarie Correa123
Sun 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance1076.0Gabriel Saez124
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming376.0Gabriel Saez118
Sat 19 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJames Graham118
Sat 29 MarTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackClaiming669.0Angel Serpa121
Thu 13 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming279.0Fernando De La Cruz121
Wed 26 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming181.0Santo Sanjur120
Sat 18 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming983.0Luan Machado121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Succession Gold122 lbLOscar Villarreal51.08130/175/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
4.3
Finish
4.4
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.0
Career best · average
85.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
81 · 85
Power
73.5 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Oscar Villarreal
Trainer
Jose Orantes 1/4
Weight · days off
122 · 18d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 23 AugBELTERRA PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming1800.0Thiago Canuto123
Wed 13 AugBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · TurfClaiming4650.0Thiago Canuto123
Fri 9 MayBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming4470.0Laureano Sosa123
Sat 26 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaimingnot runJann Hernandez125
Thu 20 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming2850.0Jann Hernandez125
Sat 1 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming8530.0Jann Hernandez125
Fri 17 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming3730.0Gerardo Corrales121
Fri 3 JanAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight2860.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Sittin On Go122 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.29312/129/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
5.8
Finish
5.5
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
90.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
93 · 88
Power
80.0 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,765.92

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Chris Hartman 2/12
Weight · days off
122 · 59d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 13 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming5770.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.123
Fri 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtClaiming4770.0Cristian Torres118
Thu 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4750.0Joseph Ramos118
Sat 3 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 3/4 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance10640.0Tyler Bacon120
Sun 6 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming6790.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Sat 5 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtClaimingnot runRicardo Santana, Jr.
Sun 23 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming3780.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 8 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming7760.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate