CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 1 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $18,000 Three Times Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Not Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred At A Mile Or Over Since August 22, 2024 Or Claiming Price $100,000. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since March 22 Allowed 2 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (races Where Entered For $80,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 1 of 8→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Will Take It$15.96$4.24$2.70
26Dragoon Guard—$2.70$2.10
35Tumbarumba——$2.40
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-6$2.00$42.22
Trifecta2-6-5$0.50$25.59
Superfecta2-6-5-4$0.10$19.16
Super high five——refunded
Allowance Optional Claiming1 Mile · Dirt · Fast · Purse $141,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Classic Car Wash122 lbLJose Ortiz55.11026/121/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.0
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
100.0 · 93.0
Class, average · last
102 · 107
Power
93.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Mark Casse 20/82
Weight · days off
122 · 68d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 14 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming397.0Isaac Castillo124
Fri 17 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming196.0Cristian Torres118
Sun 22 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming3580.0——
Fri 13 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming395.0Ramon Vazquez120
Fri 29 NovGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1560.0——
Sat 19 OctPARX RACING1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming3760.0——
Sat 19 OctGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtFTBOA Gil Campbell Memorial H.—not runMiguel Vasquez119
Fri 4 OctLAUREL PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming4720.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Will Take It122 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.54.01006/17/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
3.8
Finish
3.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
106.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
100 · 106
Power
98.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$678,619
Per start
$28,275.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Dallas Stewart 6/46
Weight · days off
122 · 26d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 25 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming21030.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 8 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1850.0Edgar Morales120
Sat 1 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2990.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sat 4 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance11050.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfCommonwealth Turf S.8920.0Cristian Torres118
Fri 18 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance3890.0Cristian Torres118
Thu 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance9920.0Francisco Arrieta118
Sat 24 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance2900.0Francisco Arrieta118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Frosted Departure124 lbLRafael Bejarano53.81075/133/2

Probability

Pace

Early
1.9
Middle
1.5
Finish
4.6
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
114.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
107 · 106
Power
94.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$27,240.53

Connections and form

Jockey
Rafael Bejarano
Trainer
Chris Hartman 29/166
Weight · days off
124 · 27d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11020.0Rafael Bejarano118
Fri 21 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7920.0Rafael Bejarano117
Sun 5 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtTinsel S.6770.0Tyler Bacon125
Sat 28 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtTinsel S.—not runWalter De La Cruz125
Sun 1 DecCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtCherokee Mile S.8770.0Joseph Ramos122
Thu 7 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runLuan Machado—
Fri 11 OctLAUREL PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfClaiming7750.0——
Sun 29 SepLAUREL PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming6540.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Arro Smash122 lbLJaime Torres55.210212/141/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
3.8
Finish
4.9
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
90.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
102 · 105
Power
89.3 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$296,881
Per start
$17,463.59

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Philip Bauer 3/26
Weight · days off
122 · 20d

6yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming495.0Jaime Torres121
Wed 19 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runJaime Torres120
Thu 6 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runJaime Torres120
Thu 13 FebFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2100.0Jaime Torres120
Fri 17 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming588.0Ramon Vazquez118
Fri 20 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1080.0Vincent Cheminaud122
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming799.0Jaime Torres120
Thu 12 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming884.0Joel Rosario123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Tumbarumba122 lbLLuis Saez54.21083/125/13

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
3.1
Finish
3.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
109.0 · 99.0
Class, average · last
108 · 114
Power
96.4 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brian Lynch 7/29
Weight · days off
122 · 17d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 4 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtWestchester S.785.0John Velazquez118
Sat 25 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtFred W. Hooper S. presented by Ketel One Vodka389.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 21 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtHarlan's Holiday S.2104.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 2 NovDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtBig Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile4109.0Luis Saez126
Sat 26 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtHagyard Fayette S.—not runLuis Saez122
Sat 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAck Ack S.295.0Luis Saez123
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight3720.0——
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMint Millions S.11150.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Dragoon Guard242d off122 lbLFlorent Geroux54.21022/16/7

Probability

Pace

Early
2.4
Middle
1.9
Finish
1.6
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
105.0 · 105.0
Class, average · last
102 · 104
Power
90.1 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-2-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$930,471
Per start
$77,539.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Brad Cox 66/259
Weight · days off
122 · 242d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 SepPARX RACING1 1/8 Miles · DirtPennsylvania Derby3107.0Florent Geroux124
Sun 4 AugMOUNTAINEER1 1/8 Miles · DirtWest Virginia Derby1105.0Florent Geroux120
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtIndiana Derby1105.0Florent Geroux124
Sun 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1102.0Florent Geroux118
Sun 21 AprKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1105.0Florent Geroux120
Fri 22 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight280.0Florent Geroux119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Injunctionscratched—————9/2—
6 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate