CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Three Year Olds Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price $125,000. Weight, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since March 9 Allowed 2 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $125,000 (races Where Entered For $100,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track Atone And One Sixteenth Mile.) (rail At 36 Feet).

Race 8 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
15Tomasello$5.84$3.42$2.94
211Discreet Dancer$10.20$5.86
38Emergence$3.88
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta5-11$2.00$55.56
Trifecta5-11-8$0.50$85.07
Superfecta5-11-8-9$0.10$125.42
Allowance Optional Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1McIlroy118 lbLLuan Machado53.9944/117/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
4.7
Finish
2.1
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 84.0
Class, average · last
94 · 98
Power
101.1 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$8,988.09

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 4/23
Weight · days off
118 · 47d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 23 AprKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runFlavien Prat118
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight198.0Luan Machado120
Sat 8 FebTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight368.0Alex Achard120
Sat 28 DecGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1910.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Native Runnerscratched8/1
3Blue Coast118 lbLDeclan Cannon53.58312/130/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
3.4
Finish
3.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
74.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
83 · 90
Power
88.2 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,373.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Declan Cannon
Trainer
Conor Murphy 0/15
Weight · days off
118 · 62d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 7 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming473.0Luan Machado122
Fri 21 FebTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming275.0Declan Cannon
Fri 31 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackStarter Allowance183.0Declan Cannon120
Sat 25 JanTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackClaimingnot runLuan Machado120
Sat 28 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming682.0Abel Cedillo122
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance874.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance375.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sat 10 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming168.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Solid Left118 lbLFlorent Geroux53.38812/147/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.6
Middle
8.5
Finish
6.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
72.0 · 71.0
Class, average · last
88 · 91
Power
76.1 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Brian Lynch 1/8
Weight · days off
118 · 26d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance972.0Flavien Prat118
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtCoolmore Fountain of Youth S.not runLuis Saez119
Thu 27 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming571.0Luis Saez120
Sun 26 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight181.0Luis Saez118
Sat 28 DecGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight858.0Edgard Zayas118
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runLuis Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Tomasello120 lbLJose Ortiz55.5887/221/11

Probability

Pace

Early
1.7
Middle
1.7
Finish
1.3
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
92.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
88 · 93
Power
108.2 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Mark Casse 18/78
Weight · days off
120 · 30d

L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 8 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight191.0Jose Ortiz120
Sat 5 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJose Ortiz
Sat 22 FebGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight288.0Javier Castellano118
Sat 18 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight289.0Javier Castellano118
Sat 14 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight384.0Fernando De La Cruz
Sat 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight666.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Thermoscat118 lbLMartin Garcia53.48815/128

Probability

Pace

Early
3.0
Middle
3.2
Finish
2.8
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
87.0 · 56.0
Class, average · last
88 · 100
Power
74.2 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
6: 1-1-0
Wins
16.7%
Earnings
$44,015
Per start
$7,335.83

Connections and form

Jockey
Martin Garcia
Trainer
Shane Wilson
Weight · days off
118 · 53d

Colt · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 16 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance7160.0Mitchell Murrill115
Thu 13 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1880.0Jaime Torres120
Mon 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight2700.0Mitchell Murrill120
Thu 26 DecFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight7430.0Jose Guerrero
Fri 22 NovFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight6590.0Julio Ramirez, Jr.120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Enterdadragon118 lbLLuis Saez55.8863/116/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
5.3
Finish
4.6
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
92.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
86 · 99
Power
89.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$10,197.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Jose D'Angelo 11/52
Weight · days off
118 · 40d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 29 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtCurlin Florida Derby presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa1062.0Dylan Davis122
Thu 13 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowancenot runLuis Saez121
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfColonel Liam S.291.0Dylan Davis118
Sat 1 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfKitten's Joy S.488.0Rajiv Maragh118
Sat 4 JanTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming182.0Samy Camacho118
Fri 13 DecTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runSamy Camacho118
Fri 29 NovGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfPulpit S.780.0Luca Panici118
Sun 17 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLuis Saez122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Emergence118 lbLLanfranco Dettori54.6909/25/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
6.4
Finish
7.3
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
80.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
90 · 90
Power
97.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$168,715
Per start
$24,102.14

Connections and form

Jockey
Lanfranco Dettori
Trainer
Brad Cox 2/6
Weight · days off
118 · 68d

4yo · Colt · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfColonel Liam S.879.0Luis Saez118
Sat 1 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfBlack Gold S.not runMarcelino Pedroza, Jr.118
Sat 1 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight187.0Luis Saez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Mika118 lbLJaime Torres54.98515/139/2

Probability

Pace

Early
2.5
Middle
2.3
Finish
4.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
78.0 · 66.0
Class, average · last
85 · 91
Power
71.3 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Brittany Russell 3/11
Weight · days off
118 · 26d

Colt · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance7830.0Jaime Torres118
Sun 8 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfKentucky Downs Juvenile Mile S.11650.0Luis Saez120
Mon 22 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight1650.0Jaime Torres119
Fri 14 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight7540.0Luis Saez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Lazloscratched15/1
11Discreet Dancer118 lbLuis Saez54.8825/123/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.3
Middle
7.4
Finish
3.4
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
73.0 · 67.0
Class, average · last
82 · 90
Power
65.9 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$94,400
Per start
$5,900

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Antonio Sano 2/14
Weight · days off
118 · 40d

4yo · Colt

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAmerican Turf S. presented by Fordnot runJohn Velazquez122
Sat 29 MarGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfCutler Bay S.589.0Dylan Davis118
Fri 29 NovGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfPulpit S.481.0Reylu Gutierrez118
Sun 20 OctGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight173.0Joe Bravo118
Sat 28 SepGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackHollywood Beach S.658.0Joe Bravo118
Thu 29 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight942.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.119
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight761.0Eric Cancel119
Wed 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming21040.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate