CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 7 · Allowance

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 127 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since February 28 Allowed 2 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One Mile.) (rail At 24 Feet).

Race 7 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Classic Q$7.86$4.68$3.02
27Expatriate$6.98$4.60
32Yes Indeed$4.26
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-7$43.02
Trifecta4-7-2$64.86
Superfecta4-7-2-3$52.94
Super high five4-7-2-3-9$1376.33
Allowance1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
1Likely Perspective (IRE)118 lbLLuan Machado54.28720/149/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
6.1
Finish
6.9
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
78.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
87 · 84
Power
73.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$26,469
Per start
$1,890.64

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Albert Stall, Jr. 4/18
Weight · days off
118 · 39d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 21 MarFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1070.0Jareth Loveberry119
Fri 11 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance678.0Jose Ortiz120
Mon 12 AugKEM7 Furlongs · All Weather Track1not run

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Yes Indeed304d off125 lbLLuis Saez53.68312/111/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
4.3
Finish
3.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
— · 75.0
Class, average · last
83 · 89
Power
63.9 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$81,333
Per start
$10,166.63

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Cherie DeVaux 1/16
Weight · days off
125 · 304d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 14 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfAllowancenot runLuis Saez120
Sat 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming288.0Luis Saez118
Sun 7 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming475.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Thu 14 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight184.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120
Sat 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight754.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Storm Miami (IRE)125 lbLJoel Rosario55.4946/122/3

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
4.6
Finish
3.0
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.4
Career best · average
98.0 · 88.0
Class, average · last
94 · 91
Power
81.7 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Joel Rosario
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 1/10
Weight · days off
125 · 52d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · DirtAllowancenot runJose Ortiz
Sat 8 MarTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming7720.0Gerardo Corrales124
Sat 9 NovWOODBINE7 Furlongs · All Weather TrackBessarabian S.4950.0Oisin Murphy119
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance2920.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Mon 5 AugPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackLady Erie S.3880.0Tyler Conner118
Sat 13 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfHorseshoe Indianapolis H.4980.0Declan Cannon119
Sat 8 JunSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming3860.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 20 AprGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4930.0Leonel Reyes118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Classic Q118 lbLJose Ortiz56.0913/132/11

Probability

Pace

Early
3.4
Middle
2.9
Finish
2.9
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
101.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
91 · 99
Power
99.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$1,074,865
Per start
$76,776.07

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Mark Casse 16/76
Weight · days off
118 · 31d

4yo · Filly · L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 29 MarGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfSanibel Island S.494.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 1 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfHerecomesthebride S.499.0Dylan Davis119
Sun 26 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight188.0Dylan Davis118
Sun 22 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight475.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5New Rome127 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.55.9914/131/3

Probability

Pace

Early
1.2
Middle
1.2
Finish
2.2
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
96.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
91 · 96
Power
96.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Jena Antonucci 1/2
Weight · days off
127 · 23d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · DirtAllowance464.0Luis Saez
Fri 7 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming196.0Javier Castellano118
Fri 26 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance590.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sat 16 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming194.0Javier Castellano120
Wed 14 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfStarter Allowance190.0Javier Castellano
Fri 19 JanLAUREL PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runDenis Araujo
Sun 26 NovLAUREL PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claimingnot runDenis Araujo124
Sat 18 NovLAUREL PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance470.0Denis Araujo121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Dream On Stormy125 lbWalter Rodriguez52.38620/170/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.0
Middle
4.8
Finish
5.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.3
Career best · average
— · 62.0
Class, average · last
86 · 91
Power
62.7 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
28: 4-0-1
Wins
14.3%
Earnings
$143,421
Per start
$5,122.18

Connections and form

Jockey
Walter Rodriguez
Trainer
Freddie Winston 0/1
Weight · days off
125 · 13d

Mare

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 16 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance976.0Walter Rodriguez
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1162.0Gavin Ashton125
Thu 27 FebTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming866.0Gavin Ashton124
Thu 20 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claimingnot runGavin Ashton
Thu 16 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowancenot runPerry Ouzts121
Sun 10 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runGavin Ashton120
Sat 26 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance973.0Gavin Ashton122
Thu 3 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance639.0Gavin Ashton122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Expatriate285d off125 lbLFlavien Prat50.4889/229/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
6.3
Finish
4.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
50.4
Career best · average
87.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
88 · 94
Power
78.2 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Chad Brown 55/208
Weight · days off
125 · 285d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · DirtAllowancenot runFlavien Prat
Thu 18 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming587.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Fri 17 MayPIMLICO1 Mile · TurfHilltop S.7not runFlavien Prat
Fri 12 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runIrad Ortiz, Jr.120
Wed 14 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight181.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Candy Cause120 lbLIrving Moncada52.37830/141/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.4
Middle
8.3
Finish
6.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.3
Career best · average
58.0 · 65.0
Class, average · last
78 · 89
Power
68.3 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,384.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Irving Moncada
Trainer
Linda Rice
Weight · days off
120 · 12d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 17 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4660.0Luan Machado124
Wed 12 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackClaiming1720.0Luan Machado127
Thu 16 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Claiming1740.0Luan Machado122
Thu 9 JanTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Claimingnot runLuan Machado
Thu 28 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming3620.0Luis Saez122
Sat 20 JulBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight7620.0Jane Elliott119
Tue 4 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight8580.0Declan Cannon120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Hope Mission127 lbLIrad Ortiz, Jr.52.6837/22/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.8
Middle
1.8
Finish
1.0
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.6
Career best · average
86.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
83 · 86
Power
87.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$16,910.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 6/17
Weight · days off
127 · 37d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1870.0Edgar Morales125
Thu 20 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight6660.0Declan Cannon125
Sat 25 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0Jaime Torres124
Sat 28 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weight2860.0Declan Cannon121
Sat 18 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runTyler Gaffalione

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Hay Stack125 lbLBen Curtis53.89315/125/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.8
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.6
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
92.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
93 · 96
Power
88.3 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,328.96

Connections and form

Jockey
Ben Curtis
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 3/9
Weight · days off
125 · 23d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · DirtAllowance7350.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Thu 30 JanTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming9670.0Gerardo Corrales121
Thu 26 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance3890.0Gerardo Corrales121
Fri 22 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance8820.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Sun 20 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance4910.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Sat 14 SepLAUREL PARK6 Furlongs · TurfSensible Lady Turf Dash S.4840.0Jevian Toledo120
Thu 25 JulSARATOGA1 3/8 Miles · Inner turfAllowance3860.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Fri 28 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance4920.0Jareth Loveberry124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Take Shape125 lbLLanfranco Dettori52.38820/143/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.6
Middle
1.2
Finish
5.8
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.3
Career best · average
— · 73.0
Class, average · last
88 · 90
Power
82.5 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$9,013.05

Connections and form

Jockey
Lanfranco Dettori
Trainer
Joe Sharp 6/21
Weight · days off
125 · 38d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 MarTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming3830.0Lanfranco Dettori125
Sat 26 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowance12500.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtAllowance8290.0Jose Ortiz122
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance3930.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Wed 14 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione123
Fri 19 JulSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowancenot runLuis Saez123
Sat 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance2820.0Axel Concepcion126
Wed 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5780.0Tyler Gaffalione125

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate