CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 10 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $18,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of Tworaces At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 10 of 12

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Bourbon Resolve$40.22$14.54$8.42
210Baton Rouge$8.14$4.78
34San Siro$3.04
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-10$126.05
Trifecta2-10-4$232.81
Superfecta2-10-4-11$212.82
Allowance Optional Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $134,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Winters Lion

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Winters Lion.

Black Powder

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Black Powder.

Yellow Brick

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

6yo · Mare

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Yellow Brick.

Northern Chill

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
23: 3-3-5
Wins
13.0%
Earnings
$240,983
Per start
$10,477.52

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Northern Chill.

Baba Voss

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Baba Voss.

Black Powder

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,048.06

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Black Powder.

Baton Rouge

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,780.20

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Baton Rouge.

1Coinage122 lbRicardo Santana, Jr.55.88112/112/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.6
Middle
2.2
Finish
1.0
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
92.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
81 · 89
Power
87.3 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
33: 4-0-7
Wins
12.1%
Earnings
$416,008
Per start
$12,606.30

Connections and form

Jockey
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Trainer
Mark Casse 14/42
Weight · days off
122 · 35d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1920.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122
Sat 12 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runRicardo Santana, Jr.122
Fri 30 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfAllowance Optional Claiming7830.0Victor Carrasco121
Fri 2 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Outer TrackAllowance Optional Claimingnot runHoracio Karamanos122
Sat 13 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3840.0Mychel Sanchez123
Sun 9 JunSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtKingston S.not runJunior Alvarado120
Sun 15 OctWOODBINEAbout 7 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming10690.0Sahin Civaci123
Sun 1 OctWOODBINE6 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4950.0Sahin Civaci123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Bourbon Resolve122 lbFrancisco Arrieta53.68820/119/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.7
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.6
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
77.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
88 · 89
Power
73.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Ian Wilkes 2/10
Weight · days off
122 · 35d

Ridgling

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7980.0Francisco Arrieta121
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runFrancisco Arrieta122
Sun 15 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10840.0Tyler Gaffalione124
Mon 29 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance1900.0Chris Landeros122
Thu 27 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance4910.0Jareth Loveberry124
Sun 18 FebGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2870.0Edgar Perez121
Fri 19 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3980.0Edgar Perez
Sun 26 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3960.0Luis Saez

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Baba Voss122 lbLuan Machado52.98515/138/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.6
Middle
2.0
Finish
4.6
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
54.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
85 · 89
Power
68.1 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 1/10
Weight · days off
122 · 28d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 29 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLanfranco Dettori121
Sat 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6910.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 18 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3810.0Jareth Loveberry122
Fri 12 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5810.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Mon 12 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance11030.0Jareth Loveberry
Fri 22 DecTURFWAY PARK1 1/4 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming4930.0Declan Cannon118
Sun 5 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance7850.0Tyler Gaffalione
Sat 28 OctKEENELAND1 3/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runTyler Gaffalione

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4San Siro122 lbEdgar Morales54.27512/118/7

Probability

Pace

Early
1.0
Middle
1.0
Finish
1.0
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
90.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
75 · 75
Power
90.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 6/31
Weight · days off
122 · 42d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4101.0Edgar Morales120
Thu 26 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtAllowance194.0Edgar Morales118
Sat 24 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfAllowance886.0Edgar Morales118
Wed 10 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runEdgar Morales120
Sat 9 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight192.0Edgar Morales122
Sat 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight379.0James Graham122
Sat 23 DecFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight775.0Declan Cannon120
Sat 25 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight487.0Declan Cannon

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Yellow Brick122 lbRamon Vazquez54.6764/131/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
1.9
Finish
1.8
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
87.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
76 · 89
Power
83.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$273,001
Per start
$9,750.04

Connections and form

Jockey
Ramon Vazquez
Trainer
Michael Maker 0/3
Weight · days off
122 · 35d

6yo · Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 10 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance1960.0Ramon Vazquez121
Wed 16 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance5960.0Flavien Prat122
Thu 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance31010.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowance8670.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 20 JulDEL MAR6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2860.0Umberto Rispoli122
Sat 27 AprSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming51050.0Umberto Rispoli124
Sat 23 MarSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2980.0Kazushi Kimura122
Sat 24 FebSANTA ANITA7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1980.0Kazushi Kimura124

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Winters Lion122 lbTyler Gaffalione53.68120/135/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
3.3
Finish
4.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
— · 67.0
Class, average · last
81 · 86
Power
63.5 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Joe Sharp 0/9
Weight · days off
122 · 22d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 21 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runErik Asmussen116
Fri 18 OctREMINGTON PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtOklahoma Classics Cup S.385.0David Cabrera
Sat 21 SepPARX RACING1 1/16 Miles · DirtCotillion S.41030.0
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming991.0Dylan Davis122
Fri 23 AugCHARLES TOWN7 Furlongs · DirtCharles Town Oaks11080.0
Mon 22 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming696.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Thu 4 JulBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtVictory Ride S.2960.0
Fri 17 MayPIMLICO6 Furlongs · DirtMiss Preakness S.1910.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Nyquick122 lbLuis Saez52.98110/154/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
2.7
Finish
1.2
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
— · 78.0
Class, average · last
81 · 88
Power
78.5 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$20,407.78

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brad Cox 8/48
Weight · days off
122 · 56d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 17 NovARAPAHOE5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1860.0
Sat 19 OctARAPAHOE1 1/16 Miles · DirtColumbine S.5330.0
Fri 6 SepGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming4710.0
Fri 9 AugGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming3780.0
Sun 7 JulGULFSTREAM PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7640.0
Thu 6 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4940.0Cristian Torres124
Sun 28 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance1880.0Cristian Torres
Sun 21 AprSUNRAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1960.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Grand Aspenscratched7/2
9Hero Status122 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.53.4818/119/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.2
Middle
2.1
Finish
1.8
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
89.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
81 · 89
Power
90.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$15,065

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Grant Forster 8/17
Weight · days off
122 · 27d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 20 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6960.0Luis Saez122
Sun 28 JulDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming21080.0Mike Smith123
Sat 4 MaySANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11020.0Mike Smith124
Fri 8 MarSANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4810.0Flavien Prat124
Fri 28 AprKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6620.0Jose Ortiz118
Sat 1 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtOaklawn Mile S.4910.0Cristian Torres117
Sat 18 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtRazorback H.5880.0Mike Smith116
Sun 15 JanSANTA ANITA1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11080.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Baton Rouge122 lbRafael Bejarano53.9808/16/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.5
Middle
1.6
Finish
2.8
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 77.0
Class, average · last
80 · 89
Power
94.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
11: 3-2-2
Wins
27.3%
Earnings
$286,849
Per start
$26,077.18

Connections and form

Jockey
Rafael Bejarano
Trainer
Chris Hartman
Weight · days off
122 · 27d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming31010.0Rafael Bejarano121
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4980.0Rafael Bejarano124
Sun 15 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3930.0Rafael Bejarano124
Sat 24 AugELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance11000.0Rafael Bejarano123
Sun 21 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance4910.0Rafael Bejarano123
Fri 7 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance21010.0Rafael Bejarano125
Sun 5 MayOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1880.0Rafael Bejarano124
Fri 15 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4900.0Rafael Bejarano125

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Piroli122 lbFlorent Geroux53.0643/118/5

Probability

Pace

Early
1.2
Middle
1.0
Finish
2.2
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.0
Career best · average
73.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
64 · 81
Power
64.7 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
24: 4-5-2
Wins
16.7%
Earnings
$375,111
Per start
$15,629.63

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Michael McCarthy 1/2
Weight · days off
122 · 37d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 29 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtClark S. presented by Norton Healthcarenot runEdgar Morales121
Sun 20 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11070.0John Velazquez122
Fri 23 AugCHARLES TOWN1 1/8 Miles · DirtCharles Town Classic S.9770.0Luis Saez119
Sun 7 JulPLEASANTON1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtPleasanton Mile S.41060.0Jeremy Laprida121
Sat 4 MaySANTA ANITA1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming41000.0Jeremy Laprida122
Sat 30 SepSANTA ANITA1 1/8 Miles · DirtAwesome Again S.8660.0Umberto Rispoli122
Sat 2 SepDEL MAR1 1/4 Miles · DirtFanDuel Racing Pacific Classic S.7940.0Umberto Rispoli124
Sun 30 JulDEL MAR1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming41010.0Kent Desormeaux121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Black PowderJunior Alvarado53.630/161/2

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.6
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$365,982
Per start
$16,635.55

Connections and form

Jockey
Junior Alvarado
Trainer
Michael Maker
Weight · days off

6yo · Horse

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 15 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming395.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Fri 18 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming391.0Luis Saez121
Sun 22 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming290.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming596.0Jaime Torres122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming564.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Wed 19 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming289.0Axel Concepcion118
Fri 24 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming480.0Keith Asmussen123
Sun 21 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming588.0Luis Fuentes

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

18 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate