CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 4 · Maiden Claiming

For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.

Race 4 of 12

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
18Chica Arma$6.60$3.36$2.46
27Starcourt$3.10$2.38
33Candy Cause$3.10
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta8-7$7.28
Trifecta8-7-3$10.81
Superfecta8-7-3-6$4.29
Super high fiverefunded
Maiden Claiming6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Muddy · Purse $42,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Kentucky Starlet

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
33: 5-4-6
Wins
15.2%
Earnings
$324,328
Per start
$9,828.12

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Kentucky Starlet.

Chica Arma

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
7: 1-1-0
Wins
14.3%
Earnings
$39,433
Per start
$5,633.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Chica Arma.

Kentucky Starlet

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
16: 1-0-1
Wins
6.3%
Earnings
$7,260
Per start
$453.75

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Kentucky Starlet.

Chica Arma

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,892.95

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Chica Arma.

Chica Arma

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-0-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$56,386
Per start
$1,566.28

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

5yo · Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Chica Arma.

1Smooth Marriagescratched15/1
2Eight Days Sober115 lbLOscar Villarreal51.58615/15

Probability

Pace

Early
3.5
Middle
3.8
Finish
5.4
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.5
Career best · average
72.0 · 49.0
Class, average · last
86 · 99
Power
82.5 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,490

Connections and form

Jockey
Oscar Villarreal
Trainer
Anna Navarrete 1/1
Weight · days off
115 · 35d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 23 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight11340.0Edgar Morales120
Fri 11 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runJareth Loveberry121
Wed 7 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight11260.0Walter Rodriguez
Wed 27 DecTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight3720.0Walter Rodriguez119
Fri 24 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runTyler Conner

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Candy Cause122 lbLLuis Saez53.5746/144/15

Probability

Pace

Early
1.3
Middle
2.5
Finish
1.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.5
Career best · average
— · 59.0
Class, average · last
74 · 64
Power
55.9 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,384.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 16/92
Weight · days off
122 · 130d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 20 JulBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight7620.0Jane Elliott119
Tue 4 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight8580.0Declan Cannon120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Cruise Missilescratched5/2
5Bella Estrelascratched10/1
6Kentucky Starlet122 lbLWalter Rodriguez8112/16/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.7
Middle
7.7
Finish
3.1
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
68.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
81 · 81
Power
70.8 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Walter Rodriguez
Trainer
Michelle Nihei 3/14
Weight · days off
122 · 34d

L

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming4640.0Walter Rodriguez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Starcourt122 lbLFrancisco Arrieta55.6794/113/6

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
3.9
Finish
4.0
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
80.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
79 · 75
Power
66.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Michael Puhich 0/10
Weight · days off
122 · 27d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 8 NovDELTA DOWNS1 Mile · DirtDelta Mile S.7930.0
Thu 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming365.0Francisco Arrieta122
Sun 29 SepREMINGTON PARK6 Furlongs · DirtDavid M. Vance S.2960.0
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming362.0Luan Machado121
Wed 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runLuan Machado121
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1064.0Luan Machado118
Sat 6 JulGULFSTREAM PARK6 Furlongs · DirtSmile Sprint S.21030.0
Fri 5 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming465.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Chica Arma117 lbLErik Asmussen53.4813/116/7

Probability

Pace

Early
4.4
Middle
4.5
Finish
5.8
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
78.0 · 60.0
Class, average · last
81 · 81
Power
81.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$74,910
Per start
$4,161.67

Connections and form

Jockey
Erik Asmussen
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 108/635
Weight · days off
117 · 34d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming2740.0Erik Asmussen116
Sun 29 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming5600.0Erik Asmussen116
Wed 4 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight8490.0Erik Asmussen115
Tue 3 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runErik Asmussen115
Fri 12 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight9570.0Keith Asmussen
Sat 25 NovFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight6670.0Jaime Torres120
Sat 19 AugDEL MAR6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight8450.0Victor Espinoza120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Princess Pom Pomscratched6/1
10Redheadedstranger122 lbLAlvin Ortiz53.06615/139/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
3.5
Finish
4.1
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.0
Career best · average
60.0 · 50.0
Class, average · last
66 · 82
Power
42.0 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$51,679
Per start
$1,566.03

Connections and form

Jockey
Alvin Ortiz
Trainer
Amy Nesbitt 0/4
Weight · days off
122 · 21d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 6 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming6440.0Alvin Ortiz
Sat 19 OctFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight3460.0Uriel Lopez120
Sat 21 SepFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2480.0Uriel Lopez120
Sat 31 AugFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2570.0Uriel Lopez118
Sat 6 JulFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4330.0Javier Diego118
Sun 9 JunHAWTHORNE1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Claiming3550.0Alexander Bendezu119
Tue 21 MayFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2590.0Alexander Bendezu118
Tue 7 MayFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2580.0Alexander Bendezu118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate