CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 9 · Allowance

For Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Sweepstakes On The Turf In 2024 Allowed 2 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter On The Turf In 2024 Allowed 4 Lbs. (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At Five And A Half Furlongs.) (rail At 12 Feet).

Race 9 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
13Run Carson$5.58$3.60$3.06
26Joe Shiesty$5.88$4.36
32Coppola$3.72
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta3-6$14.60
Trifecta3-6-2$34.33
Superfecta3-6-2-1$35.06
Super high five3-6-2-1-7$2385.27
Allowance5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Firm · Purse $148,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Run Carson

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$21,695.85

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Run Carson.

Let My People Go

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Let My People Go.

Durante

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Durante.

Stitched

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Stitched.

Masseto (GB)

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,081.40

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Masseto (GB).

Joe Shiesty

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Joe Shiesty.

1Dhabab (IRE)120 lbLAdam Beschizza55.71078/19/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.5
Middle
6.8
Finish
4.6
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
110.0 · 97.0
Class, average · last
107 · 110
Power
101.6 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
Edward Vaughan 1/13
Weight · days off
120 · 49d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 22 NovFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtJoseph R. Peluso Memorial S.3800.0
Sat 5 OctWOODBINE6 Furlongs · TurfNearctic S. Presented by The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance21030.0Ryan Munger121
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming5960.0Jamie Spencer123
Sat 3 AugEVANGELINE5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtD. S. Shine Young Futurity1780.0
Mon 29 JulPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1960.0Antonio Gallardo122
Fri 14 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1840.0
Fri 19 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance9980.0Adam Beschizza118
Sat 30 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackHoliday Cheer S.9830.0Tyler Conner120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Coppola124 lbLTyler Gaffalione58.61093/117/4

Probability

Pace

Early
3.2
Middle
3.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
58.6
Career best · average
110.0 · 99.0
Class, average · last
109 · 107
Power
97.9 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Dale Romans 0/1
Weight · days off
124 · 49d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWoodford S. Presented by FanDuel496.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAinsworth Turf Sprint S.872.0Corey Lanerie121
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Turf Sprint S.3113.0Edgard Zayas126
Fri 5 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtWilliam Garrett H.1104.0Emmanuel Esquivel125
Sat 8 JunSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfJaipur S. Presented by Resolute Racing4105.0Edgard Zayas120
Sat 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfTwin Spires Turf Sprint S. presented by Sentient Jet495.0Martin Garcia121
Sat 6 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfShakertown S.994.0Edgard Zayas122
Sat 9 MarGULFSTREAM PARK5 Furlongs · TurfSilks Run S.1110.0Edgard Zayas122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Run Carson122 lbLFlavien Prat57.9987/29/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.4
Middle
2.9
Finish
2.4
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.9
Career best · average
106.0 · 96.0
Class, average · last
98 · 101
Power
107.4 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$402,540
Per start
$23,678.82

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Kelsey Danner
Weight · days off
122 · 36d

5yo · Horse · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 18 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer turfCarle Place S.11050.0John Velazquez120
Sun 6 OctWOODBINE1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight4770.0
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance6960.0Adam Beschizza118
Sat 7 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfDa Hoss S.not runJevian Toledo118
Sun 11 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMahony S.21030.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Thu 11 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfAllowance1930.0Antonio Gallardo118
Thu 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance3930.0Adam Beschizza118
Fri 17 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3930.0Adam Beschizza120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Charcoal124 lbLAxel Concepcion58.01076/115/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
5.0
Finish
3.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
58.0
Career best · average
104.0 · 92.0
Class, average · last
107 · 107
Power
99.4 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Tracey Wisner 1/5
Weight · days off
124 · 49d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 NovDEL MAR5 Furlongs · TurfPrevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprintnot runAxel Concepcion126
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWoodford S. Presented by FanDuel2970.0Axel Concepcion121
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfAinsworth Turf Sprint S.5950.0Axel Concepcion121
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Turf Sprint S.11140.0Axel Concepcion122
Fri 5 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · DirtWilliam Garrett H.5750.0Fernando De La Cruz121
Sat 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · TurfMighty Beau S.4970.0Axel Concepcion122
Mon 6 MayHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4880.0Samuel Bermudez122
Sat 2 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance5900.0Julien Leparoux122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Durante120 lbLSamuel Camacho, Jr.56.510615/151/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.4
Middle
1.4
Finish
5.9
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.5
Career best · average
107.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
106 · 107
Power
85.0 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Samuel Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
David Jacobson 15/58
Weight · days off
120 · 65d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 13 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtClaimingnot runRamon Vazquez121
Thu 19 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming664.0Manuel Franco121
Thu 29 AugDELAWARE PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming195.0Samuel Camacho, Jr.121
Thu 22 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runSamuel Camacho, Jr.118
Sun 11 AugLAUREL PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming379.0Angel Cruz123
Sun 28 JulSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runRider TBA118
Fri 19 JulLAUREL PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runAngel Cruz123
Sun 26 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runRamon Vazquez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Joe Shiesty122 lbLAbel Cedillo57.9995/116/3

Probability

Pace

Early
1.5
Middle
1.4
Finish
4.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.9
Career best · average
108.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
99 · 108
Power
105.5 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$946,927
Per start
$47,346.35

Connections and form

Jockey
Abel Cedillo
Trainer
Eric Foster 9/54
Weight · days off
122 · 20d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 3 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance21020.0Luan Machado122
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance11090.0Luan Machado122
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAristocrat Franklin-Simpson S.12880.0Abel Cedillo122
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Turf Sprint S.71030.0Gerardo Corrales120
Thu 4 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtDade Park Dash S.not runCristian Torres122
Wed 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWilliam Walker S.11040.0Abel Cedillo118
Sat 23 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAnimal Kingdom S.5880.0Abel Cedillo118
Fri 8 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1900.0Abel Cedillo122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Let My People Go120 lbLLuan Machado57.410720/149/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.1
Middle
5.4
Finish
5.3
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.4
Career best · average
104.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
107 · 107
Power
87.6 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 0/8
Weight · days off
120 · 49d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 25 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowancenot runAxel Concepcion121
Sat 5 OctWOODBINE6 Furlongs · TurfNearctic S. Presented by The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliancenot runWalter Rodriguez121
Sat 5 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWoodford S. Presented by FanDuel991.0Luan Machado121
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance395.0Joel Rosario123
Sat 20 JulMONMOUTH PARKAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWolf Hill S.696.0Lanfranco Dettori124
Mon 1 JulPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackKarl Boyes S.1102.0Axel Concepcion118
Fri 14 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming683.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Fri 24 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLuis Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Sosua Summer124 lbLArcelio Flaco57.810520/198/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.3
Middle
5.0
Finish
4.4
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.8
Career best · average
107.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
105 · 108
Power
84.0 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Arcelio Flaco
Trainer
Rafael Ramos 0/7
Weight · days off
124 · 31d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 23 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance786.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance494.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 10 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtTroy S.not runJoel Rosario122
Sat 3 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfTroy S.not runJoel Rosario122
Sat 8 JunSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfJaipur S. Presented by Resolute Racing1188.0Luis Saez120
Sat 6 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfShakertown S.1188.0Luis Saez122
Sat 17 FebFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtColonel Power S.not runLuis Saez124
Sat 20 JanFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfDuncan F. Kenner S.1101.0Luis Saez118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Double Clutch122 lbLLuis Saez55.3986/15/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.7
Middle
4.0
Finish
2.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.3
Career best · average
104.0 · 95.0
Class, average · last
98 · 103
Power
106.0 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
25: 3-4-3
Wins
12.0%
Earnings
$390,040
Per start
$15,601.60

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
George Arnold II 14/41
Weight · days off
122 · 37d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 17 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance11020.0Jose Ortiz121
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming21020.0Jose Ortiz121
Sat 3 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfKY Downs Preview Mint Millions Turf Mile S.6870.0Corey Lanerie122
Sun 30 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance11040.0Jose Ortiz124
Fri 31 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance3960.0Jose Ortiz124
Sun 21 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance4930.0Jose Ortiz124
Fri 15 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming4850.0Martin Garcia
Sat 18 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2870.0Julien Leparoux

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Bling117 lbLEdgar Morales55.810430/158/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.9
Middle
5.6
Finish
4.4
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
104.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
104 · 102
Power
90.8 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 0/1
Weight · days off
117 · 30d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance9540.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.121
Sun 13 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfFranklin S.not runLuis Saez121
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfExacta Systems Ladies Turf Sprint S.4920.0John Velazquez121
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLuan Machado123
Sat 3 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Mint Ladies Turf Sprint S.31080.0Luan Machado122
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming4940.0Luan Machado122
Sun 12 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming6770.0Lanfranco Dettori122
Thu 18 AprKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowancenot runJoel Rosario123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Bear Riverscratched20/1
12Stitched120 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.55.011215/126/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.3
Middle
2.4
Finish
5.9
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 100.0
Class, average · last
112 · 103
Power
100.2 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$43,440.41

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Gregory Foley 2/20
Weight · days off
120 · 175d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 23 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowancenot runFlavien Prat123
Sun 29 SepHAWTHORNE1 Mile · TurfCarey Memorial H.not runMarcelino Pedroza, Jr.120
Sat 1 JunWOODBINE7 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming10850.0Kazushi Kimura126
Sat 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfArlington S.not runTyler Gaffalione118
Thu 2 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfOpening Verse S.7990.0Florent Geroux120
Sat 11 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfRiver City S.121040.0Florent Geroux
Sat 7 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.71080.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.126
Sat 2 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMint Millions S.21070.0Florent Geroux126

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

17 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate