CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 11 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Fillies Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).

Race 11 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Golden Gamble$7.10$2.86$2.68
23Girl Math$2.22$2.10
34Seraphia$3.46
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-3$8.01
Trifecta7-3-4$21.16
Superfecta7-3-4-5$13.31
Super high five7-3-4-5-2$702.27
Maiden Special Weight1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Madeline's Promise

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Madeline's Promise.

Golden Gamble

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
15: 2-1-2
Wins
13.3%
Earnings
$18,582
Per start
$1,238.80

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Mare

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Golden Gamble.

Golden Gamble

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,625

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Golden Gamble.

Calamity

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Calamity.

Tater Tot

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Tater Tot.

1Ceebee119 lbEdgar Morales8320/166/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
5.5
Finish
7.3
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 41.0
Class, average · last
83 · 83
Power
54.6 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
George Arnold II 1/11
Weight · days off
119 · 41d

Filly

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight840.0John Velazquez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Lobby Rendezvous119 lbCristian Torres8120/166/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
6.0
Finish
8.0
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 64.0
Class, average · last
81 · 81
Power
65.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,889.63

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Matt Shirer 0/10
Weight · days off
119 · 20d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight867.0Adam Beschizza119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Girl Math119 lbFlavien Prat54.9792/15/7

Probability

Pace

Early
4.0
Middle
4.1
Finish
2.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.9
Career best · average
87.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
79 · 85
Power
80.8 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Flavien Prat
Trainer
Rodolphe Brisset 9/24
Weight · days off
119 · 26d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight283.0Tyler Gaffalione119
Sun 22 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight284.0Luan Machado119
Sun 25 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight467.0Luan Machado119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Seraphia119 lbTyler Gaffalione783/121/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.8
Finish
2.5
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 63.0
Class, average · last
78 · 78
Power
65.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 15/68
Weight · days off
119 · 35d

Filly

Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 18 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight368.0Cristian Torres119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Calamity119 lbLuis Saez4/125/3

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$182,400
Per start
$13,028.57

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Brad Cox 8/29
Weight · days off
119 · —

4yo · Filly

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 13 NovTURF PARADISE5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1850.0
Sat 21 SepPRAIRIE MEADOWS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1850.0
Mon 2 SepPRAIRIE MEADOWS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1740.0
Mon 29 JulPRAIRIE MEADOWS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming3670.0
Sat 29 JunPRAIRIE MEADOWS1 Mile · DirtClaiming4460.0
Fri 31 MayPRAIRIE MEADOWS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3560.0
Thu 2 MayTURF PARADISE1 1/16 Miles · DirtGene Fleming Breeders' Derby3730.0
Mon 29 AprTURF PARADISE1 Mile · TurfClaiming5670.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Madeline's Promise119 lbCorey Lanerie8412/143/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
4.5
Finish
4.5
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 69.0
Class, average · last
84 · 84
Power
72.7 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,912.20

Connections and form

Jockey
Corey Lanerie
Trainer
Dale Romans 10/58
Weight · days off
119 · 29d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 24 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5640.0Corey Lanerie119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Golden Gamble119 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.857/218/7

Probability

Pace

Early
6.0
Middle
7.0
Finish
3.0
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
77.0 · 77.0
Class, average · last
85 · 85
Power
77.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 44/284
Weight · days off
119 · 26d

Filly

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight3800.0Julien Leparoux119
Thu 24 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119
Sun 22 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119
Fri 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119
Sun 1 SepSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Bottomless Mimosa119 lbJulien Leparoux55.08110/114/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.9
Middle
6.0
Finish
4.4
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.0
Career best · average
— · 62.0
Class, average · last
81 · 84
Power
68.1 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 18/121
Weight · days off
119 · 26d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 27 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4660.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119
Fri 18 OctKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.119
Thu 26 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight4550.0Kendrick Carmouche119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Heart's Compass119 lbLuan Machado53.97420/179/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.7
Middle
8.3
Finish
9.2
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 35.0
Class, average · last
74 · 74
Power
40.6 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Eddie Kenneally 0/7
Weight · days off
119 · 75d

Filly

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 8 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight1130.0Luis Saez119
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runLuis Saez119
Sat 3 AugELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1144.0Jareth Loveberry119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate