CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 1 · Maiden Claiming

For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $40,000.

Race 1 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
13Ultimate Strike$6.98$4.00$2.40
25Hope Joe's Right$4.28$2.44
34Come to Papa$2.16
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta3-5$11.60
Trifecta3-5-4$13.87
Superfectarefunded
Maiden Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Sloppy · Purse $54,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Come to Papa

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$7,495.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Come to Papa.

Ultimate Strike

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Ultimate Strike.

Awol

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Awol.

Awol

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,150.10

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Awol.

1Grand Kingdom121 lbFrancisco Arrieta53.47510/150/3

Probability

Pace

Early
8.6
Middle
7.1
Finish
7.1
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
39.0 · 54.0
Class, average · last
75 · 78
Power
60.9 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Manuel Chavez 0/1
Weight · days off
121 · 74d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 30 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runFernando De La Cruz120
Fri 25 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runIrving Moncada114
Sat 31 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight769.0Ismerio Villalobos119
Fri 23 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfMaiden Claiming371.0Ismerio Villalobos118
Sat 20 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight537.0Horacio Karamanos118
Fri 12 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner TrackMaiden Special Weightnot runKevin Gomez118
Sun 14 AprTAMPA BAY1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJorge Urdaneta120
Sat 6 AprTAMPA BAY1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJorge Urdaneta120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Wise Counselscratched3/1
3Ultimate Strike121 lbLFlorent Geroux53.8754/15/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
4.4
Finish
4.2
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.8
Career best · average
81.0 · 59.0
Class, average · last
75 · 84
Power
76.2 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,927.18

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Carlos Santamaria
Weight · days off
121 · 28d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 16 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming284.0Luan Machado120
Wed 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming575.0Mitchell Murrill120
Mon 26 AugELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Claiming577.0Mitchell Murrill118
Sat 10 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Claiming962.0Mitchell Murrill118
Mon 29 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Claimingnot runMitchell Murrill118
Fri 5 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claimingnot runRafael Bejarano118
Thu 23 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming828.0Francisco Arrieta
Thu 26 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Claiming257.0Francisco Arrieta

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Come to Papa121 lbLEdgar Morales54.7885/213/7

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
5.9
Finish
4.4
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.7
Career best · average
81.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
88 · 84
Power
81.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$121,781
Per start
$5,799.10

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Genaro Garcia 4/29
Weight · days off
121 · 14d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 30 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming379.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Sun 29 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight486.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight686.0Edgard Zayas121
Sat 10 AugGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight490.0Edgard Zayas118
Sat 13 JulGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight383.0Drayden Van Dyke118
Sat 15 JunSANTA ANITA6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight2830.0
Sun 9 JunGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight269.0Drayden Van Dyke118
Sat 8 JunSAM HOUSTON250 Yards · DirtMaiden3640.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Hope Joe's Right251d off121 lbLTyler Gaffalione52.6857/220/7

Probability

Pace

Early
8.5
Middle
7.0
Finish
6.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.6
Career best · average
65.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
85 · 86
Power
59.5 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$6,228.94

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Joe Sharp 26/117
Weight · days off
121 · 251d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 7 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming5790.0Jaime Torres122
Sun 21 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight5860.0Jaime Torres
Sat 13 JanFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJaime Torres120
Fri 15 DecFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight4710.0Edgar Morales121
Sun 12 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight9650.0Tyler Gaffalione
Sat 11 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight2800.0
Wed 11 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight12450.0
Thu 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · DirtAllowance3970.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Awol121 lbLLuis Saez53.1894/114/5

Probability

Pace

Early
8.1
Middle
8.2
Finish
6.4
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.1
Career best · average
67.0 · 71.0
Class, average · last
89 · 87
Power
81.2 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
22: 1-4-2
Wins
4.5%
Earnings
$58,298
Per start
$2,649.91

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Maker 30/172
Weight · days off
121 · 114d

Gelding · L

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 1 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 1/2 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runTyler Gaffalione121
Sun 18 AugELLIS PARK1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Claimingnot runJaime Torres118
Mon 22 JulELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight1078.0Gerardo Corrales118
Sun 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight765.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 25 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming2730.0
Sun 28 AprGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5540.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate