CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 9 · Allowance

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since September 13 Allowed 2 Lbs.

Race 9 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Chilled$11.12$5.08$4.08
212Lemon Muffin$7.76$5.86
31Little Jamie$5.60
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-12$65.30
Trifecta4-12-1$255.46
Superfecta4-12-1-8$592.42
Allowance1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Muddy · Purse $127,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Buttercream Babe

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Buttercream Babe.

Lemon Muffin

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,419.94

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lemon Muffin.

Let's Duet

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
41: 5-9-2
Wins
12.2%
Earnings
$57,796
Per start
$1,409.66

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Let's Duet.

Let's Duet

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Let's Duet.

Lemon Muffin

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lemon Muffin.

1Little Jamie118 lbLCristian Torres53.7904/120/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
3.6
Finish
3.6
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
100.0 · 85.0
Class, average · last
90 · 100
Power
87.3 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$16,236.82

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Robert Medina 6/45
Weight · days off
118 · 52d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtSeneca Overnight S.787.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 27 JulMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMonmouth Oaks391.0Jorge Vargas, Jr.116
Sat 6 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtIndiana Oaks299.0Corey Lanerie115
Sat 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming390.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming485.0Flavien Prat120
Sun 7 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming381.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 9 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight186.0Ramon Vazquez122
Fri 2 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight572.0Ramon Vazquez

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Connive118 lbLJose Ortiz55.78712/126/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.3
Middle
4.5
Finish
3.0
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.7
Career best · average
— · 85.0
Class, average · last
87 · 98
Power
72.0 · 12th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,960.25

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Thomas Drury, Jr. 1/6
Weight · days off
118 · 31d

L

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3810.0Jose Ortiz118
Thu 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Claiming1880.0Jose Ortiz121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Broughty Ferry118 lbLEdgar Morales52.68410/126/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.9
Middle
7.0
Finish
2.8
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.6
Career best · average
87.0 · 73.0
Class, average · last
84 · 91
Power
78.5 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
16: 3-5-1
Wins
18.8%
Earnings
$204,603
Per start
$12,787.69

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Thomas Amoss 27/155
Weight · days off
118 · 46d

Filly · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 6 NovPARX RACING1 Mile · DirtClaiming930.0
Tue 22 OctPARX RACING1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5920.0
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtAllowance2830.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Mon 23 SepPARX RACING1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7890.0
Thu 22 AugSARATOGA1 3/8 Miles · Inner turfAllowancenot runRider TBA118
Sun 21 JulSARATOGA1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance1830.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Wed 17 JulPARX RACING1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming21010.0
Wed 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming2830.0Tyler Gaffalione118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Chilled118 lbLLuis Saez53.9879/223/5

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
5.0
Finish
3.2
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
91.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
87 · 96
Power
88.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 1/28
Weight · days off
118 · 26d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 17 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance292.0Luis Saez118
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 5/16 Miles · TurfAllowance493.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 27 JulMONMOUTH PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtMonmouth Oaks669.0Joe Bravo118
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight194.0Gerardo Corrales118
Sat 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight475.0Luis Saez118
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight473.0Joel Rosario118
Sun 7 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight377.0Joel Rosario120
Sun 29 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight574.0Luis Saez

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Tweetster118 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.4873/13/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
3.9
Finish
2.3
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.4
Career best · average
85.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
87 · 91
Power
82.4 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$15,263.27

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Norm Casse 1/7
Weight · days off
118 · 53d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 20 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance2860.0Florent Geroux118
Fri 5 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2930.0Corey Lanerie120
Sat 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4830.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3840.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.120
Fri 29 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1920.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.118
Sat 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtCrescent City Derby1840.0
Sat 24 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtLouisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.2820.0
Sat 3 FebDELTA DOWNS1 Mile · DirtLA Bred Premier Prince S.1910.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6East Shorescratched8/1
7Leo Toro118 lbLDeclan Cannon54.3928/129/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.0
Middle
1.3
Finish
2.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
88.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
92 · 95
Power
93.6 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Declan Cannon
Trainer
Brian Lynch 3/16
Weight · days off
118 · 23d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 20 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfAllowance391.0Declan Cannon118
Thu 10 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runDeclan Cannon118
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance394.0Declan Cannon118
Thu 8 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weight188.0Declan Cannon121
Wed 7 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runDeclan Cannon121
Thu 4 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight280.0Gabriel Saez118
Tue 25 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez118
Mon 17 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runGabriel Saez121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Let's Duet121 lbLJulien Leparoux52.99120/181/2

Probability

Pace

Early
8.4
Middle
7.9
Finish
3.5
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
90.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
91 · 96
Power
80.6 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 18/120
Weight · days off
121 · 26d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 17 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance3820.0Julien Leparoux122
Fri 27 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtAllowance4780.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sat 10 AugELLIS PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowancenot runColby Hernandez124
Wed 26 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance7620.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Wed 24 AprKEENELAND1 1/2 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runBrian Hernandez, Jr.118
Sat 30 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance2820.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.118
Sun 10 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance3810.0Julien Leparoux122
Sun 11 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance3770.0Julien Leparoux

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Come as You Are118 lbLJaime Torres52.49120/133/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.6
Middle
5.5
Finish
3.7
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.4
Career best · average
— · 56.0
Class, average · last
91 · 91
Power
63.2 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$96,964
Per start
$13,852

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
William Mott 9/26
Weight · days off
118 · 58d

5yo · Filly · L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 15 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance583.0Luis Saez118
Sun 8 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfAllowancenot runLuis Saez118
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance10not runLuis Saez118
Thu 20 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight185.0Luis Saez118
Sat 25 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight662.0Tyler Gaffalione118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Union Mist120 lbLLuan Machado54.08510/123/2

Probability

Pace

Early
5.3
Middle
4.2
Finish
3.1
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.0
Career best · average
97.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
85 · 96
Power
84.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-2
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$272,235
Per start
$13,611.75

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Brendan Walsh 14/49
Weight · days off
120 · 26d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 17 OctKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance5780.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.120
Sat 14 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight1970.0Tyler Gaffalione120
Fri 28 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight2830.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight3810.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Fri 3 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight2730.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 23 MarFAIR GROUNDS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight4860.0Tyler Gaffalione
Sat 24 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight5780.0Jareth Loveberry120
Thu 18 JanFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight4660.0Jaime Torres120

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Lightbulb Moment114 lbLIrving Moncada53.18320/163/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
6.0
Finish
6.5
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.1
Career best · average
76.0 · 66.0
Class, average · last
83 · 83
Power
57.2 · 14th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
9: 1-0-0
Wins
11.1%
Earnings
$22,669
Per start
$2,518.78

Connections and form

Jockey
Irving Moncada
Trainer
George Arnold II 0/4
Weight · days off
114 · 35d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 3 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runIrving Moncada114
Tue 8 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance6570.0Jaime Torres122
Sat 8 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtAllowance6770.0Francisco Arrieta124
Tue 28 MayHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJaime Torres
Fri 26 AprBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight1640.0Gavin Ashton125
Thu 28 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMaiden Special Weight9680.0Martin Garcia125
Thu 7 DecAQUEDUCT6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5620.0Dylan Davis122
Sat 28 OctBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · Outer turfMaiden Special Weight9710.0Eric Cancel121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Lemon Muffin118 lbLKeith Asmussen53.39212/134/3

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
5.8
Finish
3.3
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
90.0 · 82.0
Class, average · last
92 · 91
Power
81.7 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$566,743
Per start
$22,669.72

Connections and form

Jockey
Keith Asmussen
Trainer
D. Lukas 5/46
Weight · days off
118 · 58d

5yo · Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 15 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance388.0Jaime Torres118
Sat 17 AugSARATOGA1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfLake Placid S. Presented by Caesars Sportsbooknot runJoel Rosario124
Sat 20 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfLake George S.979.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.124
Sat 29 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming581.0Joel Rosario118
Sat 22 JunTHISTLEDOWN1 1/8 Miles · DirtOhio Derby950.0
Sun 9 JunLOS ALAMITOS QUARTER HORSE4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4550.0
Fri 17 MayPIMLICO1 1/8 Miles · DirtGeorge E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan S.578.0Flavien Prat
Sun 12 MayLOS ALAMITOS QUARTER HORSE4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1660.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Paradise Lane120 lbLJaime Torres53.4846/122/1

Probability

Pace

Early
2.1
Middle
2.0
Finish
4.2
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
87.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
84 · 87
Power
86.1 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
William Mott 9/26
Weight · days off
120 · 44d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 3 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowancenot runJaime Torres118
Sun 29 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtMaiden Special Weight1900.0Jaime Torres120
Tue 3 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runEmmanuel Esquivel120
Mon 5 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight2770.0Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.121
Sun 31 DecGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5630.0Luis Saez
Sun 17 DecGULFSTREAM PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJunior Alvarado118
Fri 3 NovAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight4700.0Jose Lezcano119
Sun 29 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runJunior Alvarado

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

14Classy'n Connectedscratched5/1
17 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate