CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 5 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $18,000 Three Times Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or Claiming Price $100,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since September 10 Allowed 2 Lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (races Where Entered For $80,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 5 of 10

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
13Nom de Plume$2.92$2.24$2.10
28Miss Arlington$4.32$2.56
36Stellar Lily$2.10
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta3-8$4.82
Trifecta3-8-6$7.61
Superfecta3-8-6-7$4.90
Super high fiverefunded
Allowance Optional Claiming6 Furlongs · Dirt · Sloppy · Purse $141,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Nom de Plume

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
15: 3-0-1
Wins
20.0%
Earnings
$16,990
Per start
$1,132.67

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Nom de Plume.

Stellar Lily

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Stellar Lily.

Stellar Lily

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-2
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$18,959
Per start
$2,369.88

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

4yo · Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Stellar Lily.

1Fee120 lbLGerardo Corrales53.99215/155/4

Probability

Pace

Early
5.2
Middle
4.3
Finish
4.2
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
99.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
92 · 91
Power
80.3 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Gerardo Corrales
Trainer
Jesus Cruz 0/1
Weight · days off
120 · 70d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 31 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5700.0Tyler Conner121
Sun 7 JulDELAWARE PARK6 Furlongs · DirtDashing Beauty S.6670.0Gerardo Corrales120
Fri 31 MayPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtPenn Ladies Dash S.2840.0Jomar Torres124
Fri 8 MarCHARLES TOWN6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance6580.0Denis Araujo122
Thu 1 FebPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1920.0Antonio Lopez120
Fri 5 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3860.0Keith Asmussen
Tue 14 NovREMINGTON PARK5 Furlongs · DirtAllowance4690.0Richard Eramia119
Fri 6 OctREMINGTON PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1900.0Stewart Elliott118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Lure'em Inscratched5/1
3Nom de Plume120 lbLCristian Torres54.8975/26/13

Probability

Pace

Early
5.5
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.1
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
102.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
97 · 100
Power
93.6 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$31,158.09

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Paulo Lobo 2/17
Weight · days off
120 · 77d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 24 AugWOODBINE7 Furlongs · All Weather TrackSeaway S.9770.0Evin Roman123
Sun 16 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2990.0Cristian Torres121
Fri 26 AprKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7830.0Luan Machado120
Wed 20 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1950.0Luan Machado123
Thu 1 FebTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowancenot runGerardo Corrales
Thu 21 DecTURFWAY PARK1 Mile · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claimingnot runGerardo Corrales118
Wed 1 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3940.0Cristian Torres
Sat 21 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtLexus Raven Run S.not runFlavien Prat

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Asset Purchase120 lbLAdam Beschizza55.69320/137/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
4.1
Finish
4.7
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
86.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
93 · 100
Power
67.2 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
10: 3-1-1
Wins
30.0%
Earnings
$166,060
Per start
$16,606

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
Anna Meah 0/4
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 13 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming9350.0Luis Saez123
Wed 4 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1710.0Irving Moncada115
Fri 16 AugBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight6460.0
Sat 3 AugBELTERRA PARK5 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3830.0Irving Moncada117
Sat 18 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtVagrancy S.6730.0Manuel Franco118
Thu 18 AprAQUEDUCT6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1890.0Manuel Franco122
Sat 22 AprAQUEDUCT7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5770.0Manuel Franco
Sat 4 MarAQUEDUCT1 Mile · DirtBusher S.2820.0Manuel Franco

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Happy Am Iscratched2/1
6Stellar Lily196d off120 lbLEdgar Morales53.3905/110/3

Probability

Pace

Early
1.8
Middle
2.1
Finish
3.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
79.0 · 81.0
Class, average · last
90 · 93
Power
64.0 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$11,976.05

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Ron Moquett 1/8
Weight · days off
120 · 196d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtDig A Diamond S.8760.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Thu 4 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming4890.0Rafael Bejarano122
Fri 8 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3830.0Rafael Bejarano125
Sat 13 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtAllowance1890.0Rafael Bejarano
Sat 25 NovREMINGTON PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1790.0Freddy Manrrique118
Thu 19 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance3710.0Fernando De La Cruz119
Sat 14 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runRafael Bejarano118
Sat 26 AugELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowancenot runGerardo Corrales

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Be Like Water120 lbLAxel Concepcion52.910010/118/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.3
Middle
7.5
Finish
6.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.9
Career best · average
82.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
100 · 100
Power
77.3 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
29: 3-4-1
Wins
10.3%
Earnings
$331,804
Per start
$11,441.52

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
Victoria Oliver 2/22
Weight · days off
120 · 27d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 13 OctKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6780.0John Velazquez121
Fri 13 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming7110.0Luis Saez121
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claimingnot runLanfranco Dettori124
Sun 11 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtGroupie Doll S.not runAxel Concepcion122
Thu 18 JulCOLONIAL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2820.0Gavin Ashton122
Mon 27 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming6770.0Martin Chuan122
Fri 26 AprKEENELANDAbout 7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming10450.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sat 18 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtChilukki S.6850.0Martin Garcia

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Miss Arlington120 lbLFrancisco Arrieta56.3948/134/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.8
Middle
2.1
Finish
3.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
98.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
94 · 100
Power
80.9 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Brian Williamson 1/7
Weight · days off
120 · 169d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 9 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtDream Supreme S.not runFrancisco Arrieta120
Thu 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1780.0
Mon 2 SepDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming12770.0
Sun 11 AugDEL MAR1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming7560.0
Sat 27 JulDEL MAR5 Furlongs · TurfDaisycutter H.8770.0
Sat 15 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance8780.0
Mon 27 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtWinning Colors S.not runJareth Loveberry118
Fri 24 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming667.0Jareth Loveberry121

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running · 2 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate