CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 5 · Maiden Special Weight

For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 119 Lbs. (preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000). (if Deemed Inadvisable By Management To Run This Race Over The Turf Course, It Will Be Run On The Main Track At One Mile.).

Race 5 of 11

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
112Maui Strong$12.60$5.68$3.66
27Plensa$3.84$2.96
35Final Gambit$3.40
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta12-7$20.92
Trifecta12-7-5$47.04
Superfecta12-7-5-4$45.04
Super high five12-7-5-4-11$4215.68
Maiden Special Weight1 Mile · Turf · Firm · Purse $120,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Maui Strong

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$141.67

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Maui Strong.

Final Gambit

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
10: 0-1-1
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$8,375
Per start
$837.50

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Final Gambit.

Final Gambit

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$65,480
Per start
$3,851.76

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

4yo · Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Final Gambit.

Lebowski

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lebowski.

Lebowski

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lebowski.

Grim Reaper

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
38: 8-6-2
Wins
21.1%
Earnings
$72,458
Per start
$1,906.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Horse

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Grim Reaper.

Stiglets

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Stiglets.

1Hamlin119 lbLuis Saez51.78115/121/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.4
Middle
5.4
Finish
6.7
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.7
Career best · average
64.0 · 59.0
Class, average · last
81 · 78
Power
65.3 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,414

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Philip D'Amato 0/3
Weight · days off
119 · 27d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight763.0Flavien Prat119
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight953.0Martin Garcia119
Mon 26 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weightnot runMartin Garcia119
Mon 19 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runMartin Garcia119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Don't Backdown119 lbJaime Torres55.17710/111/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.5
Middle
5.1
Finish
4.8
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.1
Career best · average
80.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
77 · 92
Power
96.4 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$59,313
Per start
$8,473.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
W. Calhoun 0/16
Weight · days off
119 · 35d

4yo · Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 4 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight1069.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.119
Sun 8 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight283.0Jaime Torres119
Sat 31 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS6 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runJaime Torres119
Fri 26 JulWOODBINE1 Mile · Inner turfStarter Optional Claiming2880.0
Sat 13 JulLONE STAR5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtTexas Thoroughbred Association Futurity550.0Jose Alvarez
Fri 12 JulWOODBINE1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfClaiming5890.0
Sun 16 JunWOODBINE6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfClaiming7830.0
Sat 15 JunLONE STAR5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight265.0Jose Alvarez

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Major Mischief119 lbAxel Concepcion51.6888/116/1

Probability

Pace

Early
8.0
Middle
7.6
Finish
6.9
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
51.6
Career best · average
88.0 · 71.0
Class, average · last
88 · 92
Power
98.7 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Axel Concepcion
Trainer
William Mott
Weight · days off
119 · 35d

Gelding

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 4 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight777.0Jose Ortiz119
Thu 29 AugKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight1052.0Jose Ortiz119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Lebowski119 lbCristian Torres8510/18/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.5
Middle
5.7
Finish
7.1
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 46.0
Class, average · last
85 · 85
Power
56.8 · 11th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$13,051

Connections and form

Jockey
Cristian Torres
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 18/132
Weight · days off
119 · 176d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight5460.0Keith Asmussen119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Final Gambit119 lbTyler Gaffalione7/226/7

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Brad Cox 11/32
Weight · days off
119 · —
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 24 AugSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtBallerina H.11040.0
Sat 22 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtChicago S.31040.0
Sat 4 NovSANTA ANITA7 Furlongs · DirtPNC Bank Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint4910.0
Fri 25 AugCHARLES TOWN7 Furlongs · DirtMisty Bennett Pink Ribbon S.11120.0
Sat 24 JunELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtChicago S.11070.0
Fri 5 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtLa Troienne S. presented by TwinSpires9790.0
Sat 8 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtMadison S.3930.0
Sat 5 NovKEENELAND1 1/8 Miles · DirtLongines Breeders' Cup Distaff7910.0

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Captain Fancy119 lbEdgar Morales57.07310/164/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.1
Middle
4.0
Finish
2.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.0
Career best · average
— · 68.0
Class, average · last
73 · 83
Power
60.0 · 10th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Edgar Morales
Trainer
Gregory Foley 1/15
Weight · days off
119 · 21d
Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 18 OctKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight569.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119
Wed 11 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight375.0Declan Cannon119
Sat 24 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Optional Claiming265.0Declan Cannon119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Plensa119 lbFlorent Geroux784/111/6

Probability

Pace

Early
6.7
Middle
5.8
Finish
1.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
74.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
78 · 78
Power
79.1 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
George Arnold II 0/3
Weight · days off
119 · 27d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight273.0Florent Geroux119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8Grim Reaper119 lbGerardo Corrales54.37815/129/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.7
Middle
5.6
Finish
8.2
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.3
Career best · average
— · 42.0
Class, average · last
78 · 85
Power
41.2 · 13th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-0-1
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$61,506
Per start
$5,591.45

Connections and form

Jockey
Gerardo Corrales
Trainer
Joseph Orseno 0/5
Weight · days off
119 · 41d

4yo · Gelding

Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 28 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight734.0Luis Saez119
Sat 13 JulMONMOUTH PARK5 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight647.0Paco Lopez117

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Zap d'Etat119 lbJames Graham55.97915/122/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.3
Finish
3.8
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
69.0 · 62.0
Class, average · last
79 · 80
Power
68.4 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
Gary House
Weight · days off
119 · 27d

Gelding

Past performances
6 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight9700.0Jane Elliott119
Thu 19 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight9430.0Carlos Lopez119
Thu 5 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS7 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runCarlos Lopez119
Mon 19 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weight3720.0Carlos Lopez119
Sun 18 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfMaiden Special Weightnot runCarlos Lopez119
Sun 28 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight2790.0Carlos Lopez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10Kye119 lbRamon Vazquez7320/185/1

Probability

Pace

Early
7.1
Middle
7.1
Finish
7.1
Post draw
7.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
— · 22.0
Class, average · last
73 · 73
Power
34.2 · 14th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$976.83

Connections and form

Jockey
Ramon Vazquez
Trainer
Greg Compton 0/10
Weight · days off
119 · 43d
Past performances
1 prior start, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 26 SepDELAWARE PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight5260.0Carol Cedeno118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11Stiglets119 lbFrancisco Arrieta53.78415/131/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
4.1
Finish
4.6
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.7
Career best · average
— · 72.0
Class, average · last
84 · 85
Power
62.3 · 9th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Donnie Von Hemel 4/49
Weight · days off
119 · 48d
Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight566.0Francisco Arrieta119
Mon 26 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Special Weight475.0Francisco Arrieta119
Sat 20 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight378.0Francisco Arrieta119
Sun 23 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS4 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight867.0Francisco Arrieta119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Maui Strong119 lbVincent Cheminaud57.1809/216/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.4
Middle
4.5
Finish
5.6
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.1
Career best · average
75.0 · 71.0
Class, average · last
80 · 80
Power
81.1 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Vincent Cheminaud
Trainer
Dale Romans 0/5
Weight · days off
119 · 27d
Past performances
2 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 12 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfMaiden Special Weight3760.0Vincent Cheminaud119
Fri 30 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight8660.0Jose Gomez119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13Ornatoscratched12/1
14Lemon Sohnscratched15/1
15Unlock Your Heartscratched15/1
16Halter Boyscratched20/1
19 running · 4 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate