CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 7 · Allowance

For Three Year Olds Which Have Never Won A Graded Sweepstakes. Weight, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Sweepstakes Allowed 2 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Allowed 4 Lbs. (races Where Entered For $80,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 7 of 9

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
16Valentine Candy$4.32$3.46$2.16
23Joe Shiesty$5.60$2.58
34Billal$2.20
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta6-3$10.24
Trifecta6-3-4$10.72
Superfectarefunded
Allowance5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $141,000
off3:55 PM
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Joe Shiesty

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Joe Shiesty.

Panther Island

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,299.29

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Panther Island.

Valentine Candy

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$390

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Valentine Candy.

Valentine Candy

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
15: 8-1-2
Wins
53.3%
Earnings
$1,085,080
Per start
$72,338.67

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Valentine Candy.

Ship Cadet

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
12: 3-0-2
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$85,728
Per start
$7,144

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Ship Cadet.

Valentine Candy

Probability

Pace

Early
Middle
Finish
Post draw

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
Career best · average
Class, average · last
Power

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Trainer
Weight · days off

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Valentine Candy.

1Ship Cadet442d off122 lbLLuis Saez56.6898/146/5

Probability

Pace

Early
1.9
Middle
1.2
Finish
1.9
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.6
Career best · average
74.0 · 80.0
Class, average · last
89 · 90
Power
64.0 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$18,230.69

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Michael Maker 29/171
Weight · days off
122 · 442d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 18 AugSARATOGA5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtSkidmore S.1740.0Manuel Franco122
Sun 30 JulMONMOUTH PARK5 Furlongs · TurfTyro S.2880.0Isaac Castillo117
Sun 11 JunBELMONT PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtTremont S.2720.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.122
Fri 12 MayBELMONT PARK5 Furlongs · TurfMaiden Special Weight1860.0Irad Ortiz, Jr.119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Bear River122 lbLJames Graham57.3996/131/5

Probability

Pace

Early
2.1
Middle
2.1
Finish
3.7
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.3
Career best · average
106.0 · 93.0
Class, average · last
99 · 105
Power
102.0 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-0-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$1,725,573
Per start
$63,910.11

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
J. Desormeaux 12/72
Weight · days off
122 · 27d

5yo · Ridgling · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance498.0James Graham118
Sat 7 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfDa Hoss S.not runJames Graham122
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAristocrat Franklin-Simpson S.697.0James Graham118
Sun 11 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfVan Clief S.699.0James Graham122
Sun 11 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfSecretariat S.not runJames Graham119
Sat 10 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · Outer turfVan Clief S.not runJames Graham
Sat 10 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 Mile · Inner turfSecretariat S.not runJames Graham
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Turf Sprint S.not runJames Graham118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Joe Shiesty122 lbLLuan Machado57.3965/114/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.2
Middle
2.3
Finish
3.9
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
57.3
Career best · average
100.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
96 · 105
Power
103.9 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 2-1-0
Wins
50.0%
Earnings
$946,927
Per start
$47,346.35

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
Eric Foster 4/34
Weight · days off
122 · 27d

5yo · Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 6 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance11090.0Luan Machado122
Sat 7 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAristocrat Franklin-Simpson S.12880.0Abel Cedillo122
Sun 4 AugELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfKY Downs Preview Turf Sprint S.71030.0Gerardo Corrales120
Thu 4 JulELLIS PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtDade Park Dash S.not runCristian Torres122
Wed 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWilliam Walker S.11040.0Abel Cedillo118
Sat 23 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAnimal Kingdom S.5880.0Abel Cedillo118
Fri 8 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1900.0Abel Cedillo122
Sat 6 JanTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackTurfway Prevue S.3720.0Alex Achard118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Billal120 lbLTyler Gaffalione56.1982/12/1

Probability

Pace

Early
3.5
Middle
3.4
Finish
3.8
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.1
Career best · average
99.0 · 90.0
Class, average · last
98 · 102
Power
93.9 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
William Mott 2/17
Weight · days off
120 · 45d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 18 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming194.0Tyler Gaffalione118
Sun 4 AugSARATOGA6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2103.0Junior Alvarado120
Sat 6 JulBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 Mile · DirtDwyer S.385.0Junior Alvarado
Sat 8 JunSARATOGA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3103.0Junior Alvarado118
Sun 5 MayBELMONT AT THE BIG A6 Furlongs · DirtGold Fever S.590.0Junior Alvarado
Sat 6 AprKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming198.0Junior Alvarado118
Sat 3 FebGULFSTREAM PARK7 Furlongs · DirtSwale S.484.0Junior Alvarado
Sat 2 DecAQUEDUCT1 1/8 Miles · DirtRemsen S.870.0Junior Alvarado118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Hedwigscratched6/1
6Valentine Candy122 lbLJose Ortiz55.61019/57/6

Probability

Pace

Early
4.2
Middle
4.0
Finish
3.0
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
107.0 · 94.0
Class, average · last
101 · 107
Power
97.7 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
17: 8-1-2
Wins
47.1%
Earnings
$1,095,877
Per start
$64,463.35

Connections and form

Jockey
Jose Ortiz
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 9/26
Weight · days off
122 · 42d

Colt · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtHarrods Creek S.5970.0Cristian Torres118
Fri 23 AugCHARLES TOWN7 Furlongs · DirtRobert Hilton Memorial S.11100.0Cristian Torres120
Fri 26 JulSARATOGA6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAmsterdam S.3760.0Joel Rosario122
Sat 8 JunSARATOGA7 Furlongs · DirtWoody Stephens S. Presented by Mohegan Sun5940.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.122
Sat 27 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtBachelor S.11080.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Sat 23 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackAnimal Kingdom S.4900.0Lanfranco Dettori122
Sat 10 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtOzark S.11010.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Sun 31 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtRenaissance S.1920.0Joel Rosario

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

11 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate