CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 3 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since August 27 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

←Race 3 of 9→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Commander Carl$5.34$3.22$2.78
28Breadman—$2.96$2.44
33Improbable Story——$3.96
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-8—$7.09
Trifecta4-8-3—$13.41
Superfecta4-8-3-1—$7.34
Super high five——refunded
Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Fast · Purse $32,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Job Security——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Job Security.

Improbable Story——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,158.75

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Improbable Story.

Job Security——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
3: 0-0-0
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$529
Per start
$176.33

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Job Security.

Breadman——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Breadman.

1Yak124 lbLReylu Gutierrez53.3864/17/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
4.5
Finish
3.5
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
88.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
86 · 81
Power
74.0 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
55: 9-8-3
Wins
16.4%
Earnings
$113,257
Per start
$2,059.22

Connections and form

Jockey
Reylu Gutierrez
Trainer
Karl Broberg 7/31
Weight · days off
124 · 15d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 20 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfAllowance—not runEmmanuel Esquivel122
Mon 11 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtClaiming1850.0Reylu Gutierrez122
Thu 31 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · TurfStarter Optional Claiming—not runEmmanuel Esquivel—
Wed 5 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming1780.0Reylu Gutierrez124
Thu 8 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtClaiming1870.0Emmanuel Esquivel—
Tue 9 MayHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3750.0Emmanuel Esquivel—
Fri 10 FebSAM HOUSTON1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming8550.0Sahin Civaci—
Sun 18 DecHAWTHORNE1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtClaiming4740.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Job Security122 lbLGavin Ashton52.2955/136/5

Probability

Pace

Early
7.2
Middle
6.9
Finish
5.9
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.2
Career best · average
91.0 · 64.0
Class, average · last
95 · 85
Power
77.5 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,135.49

Connections and form

Jockey
Gavin Ashton
Trainer
Juan Cano
Weight · days off
122 · 37d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 20 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming379.0Gabriel Saez—
Sun 6 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming7not runGabriel Saez—
Sat 24 JunELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming576.0Adam Beschizza—
Fri 26 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming389.0Jareth Loveberry124
Sun 23 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming385.0Jareth Loveberry124
Sat 11 FebFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming561.0Jareth Loveberry121
Thu 24 NovFAIR GROUNDS1 1/16 Miles · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming961.0——
Fri 17 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/4 Miles · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING1034.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Improbable Story117 lbLJaime Torres52.89512/115/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
4.2
Finish
5.6
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.8
Career best · average
98.0 · 71.0
Class, average · last
95 · 91
Power
68.2 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
67: 7-12-8
Wins
10.4%
Earnings
$156,254
Per start
$2,332.15

Connections and form

Jockey
Jaime Torres
Trainer
Barry King
Weight · days off
117 · 82d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 5 AugHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · TurfStarter Optional Claiming—not runRafael Mojica, Jr.122
Thu 6 JulCHARLES TOWN7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance5550.0Axel Concepcion115
Fri 26 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtClaiming650.0Jesus Castanon118
Thu 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance6780.0Rafael Mojica, Jr.118
Wed 26 AprHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance2840.0Rafael Mojica, Jr.122
Wed 12 AprKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance6640.0Reylu Gutierrez118
Tue 14 MarMAHONING VALLEY RACE COURSE1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Allowance2980.0Luis Perez—
Wed 1 MarCHARLES TOWN1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance—not runJustin Lewis119

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Commander Carl122 lbLGabriel Saez54.1883/15/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.1
Middle
3.3
Finish
5.6
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.1
Career best · average
78.0 · 68.0
Class, average · last
88 · 96
Power
73.5 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,268.94

Connections and form

Jockey
Gabriel Saez
Trainer
John Ortiz 2/22
Weight · days off
122 · 21d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Tue 5 SepHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming6680.0Gabriel Saez122
Sat 8 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1780.0Joseph Rocco, Jr.124
Sat 1 JulGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Claiming—650.0——
Sun 18 JunGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackMaiden Claiming5530.0——
Fri 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtStarter Allowance8630.0Luis Saez124
Sun 14 MayGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMaiden Claiming6180.0——
Sun 14 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1830.0Luis Saez123
Fri 21 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5710.0Gabriel Saez122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Mad Adamscratched—————6/1—
6To Kalonscratched—————30/1—
7Code Runnerscratched—————7/2—
8Breadman122 lbLRicardo Santana, Jr.52.2889/233/17

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
4.9
Finish
4.5
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.2
Career best · average
89.0 · 74.0
Class, average · last
88 · 89
Power
79.1 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,049.35

Connections and form

Jockey
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Trainer
Matt Shirer 2/11
Weight · days off
122 · 69d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 31 AugPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming5480.0——
Fri 4 AugPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming2610.0——
Wed 19 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtClaiming5780.0Manuel Franco120
Fri 30 JunPENN NATIONAL5 Furlongs · TurfStarter Optional Claiming5560.0——
Thu 22 JunPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming3630.0——
Sat 10 JunCHARLES TOWN7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance7520.0——
Sat 13 MayBELMONT PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance6490.0Manuel Franco126
Fri 12 MayPENN NATIONAL6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Optional Claiming2610.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9Keen On You122 lbJane Elliott54.29020/151/2

Probability

Pace

Early
7.3
Middle
7.9
Finish
5.9
Post draw
6.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
81.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
90 · 92
Power
70.4 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 1-1-0
Wins
25.0%
Earnings
$86,680
Per start
$1,494.48

Connections and form

Jockey
Jane Elliott
Trainer
Waylon Cundiff 0/1
Weight · days off
122 · 16d

7yo · Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 20 SepBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Optional Claiming—not runYarmarie Correa120
Sun 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfStarter Allowance10540.0Jane Elliott122
Fri 18 AugBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming2830.0Luis Marcano115
Wed 9 AugBELTERRA PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming4690.0Yarmarie Correa120
Fri 14 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming—not runYoel Navas115
Wed 28 JunBELTERRA PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming—not runLuis Marcano—
Thu 22 JunBELTERRA PARK5 Furlongs · DirtClaiming—not runLuis Marcano116
Fri 19 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance7690.0Ferrin Peterson123

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

10 running · 3 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate