CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 9 · Arlington S.

For Four Year Olds And Upward.

←Race 9 of 11→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
17Set Piece (GB)$3.52$2.82$2.26
21Get Smokin—$7.20$3.80
35Harlan Estate——$5.94
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta7-1—$16.87
Trifecta7-1-5—$55.56
Superfecta7-1-5-3—$33.28
Super high five——refunded
Arlington S.1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Firm · Purse $225,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Get Smokin——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
4: 0-1-2
Wins
0.0%
Earnings
$1,650,497
Per start
$61,129.52

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

6yo · Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Get Smokin.

Harlan Estate——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Harlan Estate.

Harlan Estate——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,121.69

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Harlan Estate.

Get Smokin——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Get Smokin.

Classic Causeway——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,255.36

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Classic Causeway.

Kentucky Ghost——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$664.33

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Kentucky Ghost.

Harlan Estate——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,158.60

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Harlan Estate.

Kentucky Ghost——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
22: 5-3-3
Wins
22.7%
Earnings
$235,321
Per start
$10,696.41

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Kentucky Ghost.

Harlan Estate——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Harlan Estate.

Kentucky Ghost——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Kentucky Ghost.

Harlan Estate——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Harlan Estate.

Set Piece (GB)——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Set Piece (GB).

1Get Smokin118 lbRicardo Santana, Jr.54.81116/115/1

Probability

Pace

Early
1.1
Middle
1.5
Finish
4.1
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.8
Career best · average
109.0 · 91.0
Class, average · last
111 · 111
Power
111.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Trainer
Mark Casse 0/7
Weight · days off
118 · 29d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 27 MayRUIDOSO DOWNS350 Yards · DirtTrials6710.0——
Thu 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfOpening Verse S.6970.0Ricardo Santana, Jr.120
Sun 2 AprGULFSTREAM PARK7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming11010.0Tyler Gaffalione122
Sat 11 MarSUNLAND PARK300 Yards · DirtTrials3540.0——
Sat 11 MarTURF PARADISE6 Furlongs · DirtPhoenix Gold Cup H.11150.0——
Sat 18 FebTURF PARADISE6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11090.0——
Tue 10 JanTURF PARADISE6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming11030.0——
Sat 26 NovTURF PARADISE7 1/2 Furlongs · TurfWalter R. Cluer Memorial S.31020.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Kentucky Ghost118 lbTyler Gaffalione55.61118/127/2

Probability

Pace

Early
8.0
Middle
7.9
Finish
5.9
Post draw
9.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
116.0 · 89.0
Class, average · last
111 · 111
Power
116.8 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$12,915

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Victoria Oliver
Weight · days off
118 · 29d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runRafael Bejarano122
Thu 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfOpening Verse S.7970.0Rafael Bejarano120
Fri 7 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance51090.0Rafael Bejarano120
Sat 4 FebTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · TurfTampa Bay S.91030.0Emma-Jayne Wilson120
Sat 31 DecGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/8 Miles · TurfFt. Lauderdale S.11970.0——
Sat 26 NovDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · TurfSeabiscuit H.8750.0——
Sat 15 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance11160.0——
Sat 10 SepKENTUCKY DOWNS1 Mile · TurfWinStar Mint Million S.7990.0Rafael Bejarano126

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Classic Causeway118 lbBrian Hernandez, Jr.55.51084/121/4

Probability

Pace

Early
1.8
Middle
1.8
Finish
3.6
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
103.0 · 99.0
Class, average · last
108 · 111
Power
102.1 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Kenneth McPeek 47/279
Weight · days off
118 · 41d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtOaklawn H.61030.0Francisco Arrieta118
Sat 18 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtEssex H.21100.0Flavien Prat119
Sat 11 MarTAMPA BAY1 1/16 Miles · Dirt$100,000 Michelob Ultra Challenger S.—not runJulien Leparoux123
Sat 29 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfBryan Station S.6980.0——
Sat 8 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.71030.0Julien Leparoux123
Sat 17 SepBELMONT AT THE BIG A1 1/2 Miles · TurfCaesars Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.31090.0——
Sat 6 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfCaesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.31120.0Julien Leparoux122
Sat 9 JulBELMONT PARK1 1/4 Miles · Inner turfCaesars Belmont Derby Invitational S.11090.0Julien Leparoux122

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Tiberius Mercuriusscratched—————10/1—
5Harlan Estate118 lbDeclan Cannon55.210610/155/2

Probability

Pace

Early
3.8
Middle
4.1
Finish
3.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.2
Career best · average
108.0 · 100.0
Class, average · last
106 · 108
Power
108.1 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Declan Cannon
Trainer
D. Whitworth Beckman 0/3
Weight · days off
118 · 22d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 1 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming—not runDeclan Cannon122
Thu 11 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming21090.0Declan Cannon122
Sat 18 FebTURFWAY PARK1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackDust Commander S.61020.0Declan Cannon120
Sat 28 JanGULFSTREAM PARK1 1/2 Miles · TurfWilliam L. McKnight S. presented by Davidoff Cigars11not runJoel Rosario121
Sun 6 NovWOODBINE1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackAutumn S.51080.0——
Mon 19 SepPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackPresque Isle Mile S.21030.0——
Sun 21 AugWOODBINE1 Mile · TurfKing Edward S.21030.0——
Sat 23 JulWOODBINE1 1/16 Miles · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1900.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Royal Patronage (FR)118 lbJohn Velazquez54.61123/115/7

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
3.6
Finish
4.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
115.0 · 104.0
Class, average · last
112 · 106
Power
114.8 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$58,409.67

Connections and form

Jockey
John Velazquez
Trainer
H. Motion 7/43
Weight · days off
118 · 43d
Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 20 AprKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · TurfAllowance11130.0Joel Rosario118
Tue 6 SepCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · Inner turfNew Kent County Virginia Derby7900.0——
Sat 6 AugSARATOGA1 3/16 Miles · TurfCaesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.61110.0Joel Rosario122
Sat 9 JulBELMONT PARK1 1/4 Miles · Inner turfCaesars Belmont Derby Invitational S.51070.0Joel Rosario122
Sat 4 JunEPSAbout 1 1/2 Miles · Turf—16not run——
Thu 12 MayYORAbout 1 5/16 Miles · Turf—2not run——
Sat 30 AprNEW1 Mile · Turf—8not run——
Sat 23 OctDON1 Mile · Turf—8not run——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Set Piece (GB)118 lbFlorent Geroux55.51128/513/17

Probability

Pace

Early
7.9
Middle
7.3
Finish
3.9
Post draw
8.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
115.0 · 106.0
Class, average · last
112 · 111
Power
106.2 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Brad Cox 71/265
Weight · days off
118 · 29d

Gelding

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 4 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · TurfOpening Verse S.3990.0Florent Geroux120
Sat 26 NovDEL MAR1 1/16 Miles · TurfSeabiscuit H.61060.0——
Sat 8 OctKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfCoolmore Turf Mile S.41110.0Joel Rosario126
Sat 10 SepPIMLICO1 Mile · TurfBaltimore/Washington International Turf Cup S.11150.0Sheldon Russell124
Sat 13 AugCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · TurfArlington Million S.4990.0——
Fri 15 JulSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfForbidden Apple S.51070.0——
Sat 21 MayPIMLICO1 1/16 Miles · TurfDinner Party S.11020.0——
Fri 15 AprKEENELAND1 Mile · TurfSTAKES71100.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

18 running · 1 scratched

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate