CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 1 · Claiming

For Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since September 12 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

Race 1 of 11→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
12Justin's Quest$4.66$2.92$2.18
26Improbable Story—$4.92$2.98
34Money for Mischief——$2.30
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta2-6—$11.31
Trifecta2-6-4—$16.12
Superfecta2-6-4-7—$12.35
Claiming1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Sloppy · Purse $26,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Wherewegoin————15/137/1

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Gelding

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Wherewegoin.

Improbable Story——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$1,158.75

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Improbable Story.

Off Guard——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
11: 1-1-1
Wins
9.1%
Earnings
$26,668
Per start
$2,424.36

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Filly

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Off Guard.

2Justin's Quest121 lbLFrancisco Arrieta52.7872/14/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
5.4
Finish
5.3
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
52.7
Career best · average
85.0 · 70.0
Class, average · last
87 · 93
Power
81.0 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
34: 4-10-2
Wins
11.8%
Earnings
$175,159
Per start
$5,151.74

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Thomas Van Berg 3/12
Weight · days off
121 · 40d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 2 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance5820.0——
Tue 30 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfClaiming1840.0——
Tue 9 AugCOLONIAL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · Inner turfClaiming2790.0Trevor McCarthy—
Sat 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming2750.0——
Fri 29 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtCLAIMING7510.0——
Sun 20 FebOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtCLAIMING2610.0——
Sun 16 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtCLAIMING11500.0——
Sun 2 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING7710.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Rye Humor121 lbLJoseph Talamo53.4895/113/2

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
6.5
Finish
4.7
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.4
Career best · average
88.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
89 · 88
Power
66.6 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$3,303.30

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Talamo
Trainer
Randy Morse 4/28
Weight · days off
121 · 51d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming4710.0Joseph Talamo122
Sun 28 AugELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming6620.0——
Thu 23 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming6710.0——
Fri 10 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5740.0Joseph Talamo118
Thu 17 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/8 Miles · DirtSTARTER ALLOWANCE9500.0——
Sat 8 JanOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtSTARTER ALLOWANCE2840.0——
Fri 3 DecOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSTARTER ALLOWANCE5680.0——
Wed 10 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtCLAIMING1840.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Money for Mischief121 lbLRafael Bejarano53.3933/116/7

Probability

Pace

Early
6.6
Middle
5.6
Finish
5.3
Post draw
15.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
81.0 · 72.0
Class, average · last
93 · 96
Power
77.3 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Rafael Bejarano
Trainer
Juan Cano 3/26
Weight · days off
121 · 27d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 15 OctKEENELAND1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming7710.0——
Wed 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming2770.0Rafael Bejarano122
Fri 5 AugELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming2820.0Rafael Bejarano123
Thu 30 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming4760.0Erica Herrforth108
Fri 27 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming7590.0Adam Beschizza118
Sun 27 JunELLIS PARK1 Mile · TurfALLOWANCE9640.0——
Sat 15 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 3/16 Miles · DirtALLOWANCE5830.0——
Sat 1 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 Mile · DirtALLOWANCE3770.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Dr. Forman121 lbLCarly Hughes55.4897/219/3

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
5.3
Finish
4.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.4
Career best · average
80.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
89 · 83
Power
73.0 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$5,470.44

Connections and form

Jockey
Carly Hughes
Trainer
Jada Schlenk 1/10
Weight · days off
121 · 28d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 14 OctHAWTHORNE1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming2840.0——
Fri 7 OctHAWTHORNE6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming8400.0Carly Hughes121
Tue 13 SepFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming2740.0Alvin Ortiz124
Tue 30 AugFanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5500.0——
Sun 15 MayHAWTHORNE6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtSTARTER ALLOWANCE7510.0——
Sat 16 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtSTARTER ALLOWANCE4830.0Brianne Culp—
Sun 3 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING1820.0——
Fri 4 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING4820.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Improbable Story121 lbLLuan Machado53.3865/131/5

Probability

Pace

Early
4.5
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.2
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.3
Career best · average
85.0 · 75.0
Class, average · last
86 · 93
Power
74.7 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
67: 7-12-8
Wins
10.4%
Earnings
$156,254
Per start
$2,332.15

Connections and form

Jockey
Luan Machado
Trainer
David Rider 0/6
Weight · days off
121 · 42d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Fri 30 SepBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtStarter Optional Claiming3850.0——
Wed 21 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtClaiming3730.0Luan Machado122
Thu 11 AugBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5750.0——
Fri 22 JulBELTERRA PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · DirtStarter Allowance2800.0——
Tue 21 JunBELTERRA PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Allowance4800.0——
Fri 27 MayBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1910.0John McKee125
Tue 10 MayBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtCLAIMING1870.0John McKee—
Fri 15 AprKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING5610.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Mason A. P.121 lbLThiago Canuto54.68410/122/1

Probability

Pace

Early
6.4
Middle
6.7
Finish
5.1
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.6
Career best · average
75.0 · 69.0
Class, average · last
84 · 92
Power
73.1 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Thiago Canuto
Trainer
John Hill, Jr. 4/13
Weight · days off
121 · 15d

Gelding · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 27 OctHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtStarter Optional Claiming4770.0——
Wed 5 OctBELTERRA PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1790.0Thiago Canuto125
Thu 8 SepBELTERRA PARK1 Mile · DirtClaiming1770.0Thiago Canuto125
Fri 5 AugBELTERRA PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming3690.0Thiago Canuto124
Fri 22 JulBELTERRA PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming2670.0——
Fri 15 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming5500.0——
Sat 25 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtClaiming6670.0——
Fri 10 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming8550.0Geovanni Franco118

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

9 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate