CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $10,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of $26,600 Twice Since September 10 Allowed 2 Lbs. $23,400 Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

←Race 8 of 9→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
14Ari Oakley$7.70$5.30$4.12
212Perfect Happiness—$8.08$6.78
36Miss T Too——$3.98
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta4-12—$44.07
Trifecta4-12-6—$149.59
Superfecta4-12-6-2—$93.79
Allowance Optional Claiming5 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $134,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Ready for Change——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,057.62

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Ready for Change.

Maybe I Will——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Maybe I Will.

Quotabelle——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Quotabelle.

Lady Goldstart——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$2,731.50

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Lady Goldstart.

Altered Shot——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Altered Shot.

1Lady Goldstart120 lbLMitchell Murrill56.49012/141/4

Probability

Pace

Early
2.9
Middle
3.3
Finish
3.0
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.4
Career best · average
98.0 · 86.0
Class, average · last
90 · 90
Power
70.4 · 8th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Mitchell Murrill
Trainer
Juan Cano 0/8
Weight · days off
120 · 21d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Wed 19 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtClaiming1950.0——
Sun 21 AugCANTERBURY PARK5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming2860.0——
Sat 25 JunCANTERBURY PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming1970.0——
Thu 26 MayCANTERBURY PARK5 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming1850.0Lindey Wade122
Thu 9 SepCANTERBURY PARK5 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING11020.0——
Thu 5 AugCANTERBURY PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3750.0——
Sun 20 JunCANTERBURY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING4650.0——
Thu 20 MayCANTERBURY PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING1850.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Minute Waltz122 lbLRafael Bejarano54.5939/225/6

Probability

Pace

Early
3.5
Middle
3.8
Finish
4.1
Post draw
13.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.5
Career best · average
96.0 · 85.0
Class, average · last
93 · 99
Power
90.4 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Rafael Bejarano
Trainer
Philip Bauer 1/7
Weight · days off
122 · 18d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 22 OctKEENELAND5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance4930.0——
Sat 1 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1950.0——
Mon 5 SepSARATOGA1 Mile · DirtAllowance6640.0Flavien Prat—
Sun 26 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance5700.0——
Thu 2 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance2850.0Martin Garcia123
Sun 21 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE2870.0——
Sat 23 OctKEENELAND7 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES9910.0——
Fri 17 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE3840.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Altered Shot120 lbLTyler Gaffalione56.0894/114/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
3.1
Finish
3.0
Post draw
18.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
90.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
89 · 91
Power
89.6 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Gregory Foley 7/43
Weight · days off
120 · 45d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2860.0Tyler Gaffalione121
Sat 2 JulCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2900.0Florent Geroux126
Sun 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1910.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 21 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1840.0——
Sat 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING1850.0——
Sat 19 MarFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING5690.0——
Sun 15 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES6680.0——
Sun 11 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtALLOWANCE3840.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Ari Oakley118 lbLLuis Saez55.5867/217/6

Probability

Pace

Early
2.3
Middle
2.4
Finish
3.3
Post draw
11.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
— · 80.0
Class, average · last
86 · 89
Power
93.5 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Luis Saez
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 0/9
Weight · days off
118 · 136d

L

Past performances
7 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 26 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1950.0——
Sat 28 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance7610.0Brian Hernandez, Jr.122
Sun 1 MayOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT1980.0——
Thu 7 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT2890.0——
Sat 26 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT3820.0——
Sat 22 JanFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT4740.0——
Sun 28 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT6570.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Ava's Grace120 lbLDavid Cohen53.9979/249/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.6
Middle
3.3
Finish
4.5
Post draw
16.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
53.9
Career best · average
— · 87.0
Class, average · last
97 · 101
Power
84.4 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
David Cohen
Trainer
Ricky Courville 0/15
Weight · days off
120 · 130d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 JulCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/8 Miles · DirtFleur de Lis S.5860.0David Cohen119
Sat 4 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtShawnee S.2960.0David Cohen118
Fri 6 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS1 1/16 Miles · DirtSTAKES3930.0David Cohen—
Fri 8 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 Mile · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING1990.0——
Sat 12 MarOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSTAKES5800.0——
Sat 12 FebOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE4820.0——
Sat 19 JunBELMONT PARK7 Furlongs · TurfSTAKES9720.0——
Sat 3 AprOAKLAWN PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtSTAKES2970.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Miss T Too307d off120 lbLFlorent Geroux55.810110/14/1

Probability

Pace

Early
4.6
Middle
5.2
Finish
4.7
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.8
Career best · average
86.0 · 88.0
Class, average · last
101 · 101
Power
72.1 · 7th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Florent Geroux
Trainer
Michael McCarthy 2/18
Weight · days off
120 · 307d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 6 JanGULFSTREAM PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3940.0——
Sat 13 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING4860.0——
Sat 7 NovKEENELAND6 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES8750.0——
Fri 4 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE11030.0——
Wed 8 JulHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS1 1/16 Miles · DirtSTAKES5820.0——
Sat 13 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2850.0——
Sat 16 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2960.0——
Sun 8 MarGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT1950.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

7Ready for Change120 lbLBrian Hernandez, Jr.56.09415/138/1

Probability

Pace

Early
5.5
Middle
5.5
Finish
5.7
Post draw
5.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.0
Career best · average
88.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
94 · 91
Power
84.2 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
19: 3-3-4
Wins
15.8%
Earnings
$152,186
Per start
$8,009.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
Neil Pessin 1/10
Weight · days off
120 · 45d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 25 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming5690.0Adam Beschizza121
Sun 7 AugELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3830.0James Graham122
Sat 14 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS——6690.0——
Sun 13 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3900.0——
Sun 13 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3940.0——
Fri 31 DecFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2880.0——
Sat 7 AugARLINGTON6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2880.0——
Thu 24 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING6760.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

12Perfect Happiness120 lbLFrancisco Arrieta55.69715/132/3

Probability

Pace

Early
3.5
Middle
3.2
Finish
4.4
Post draw
4.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.6
Career best · average
83.0 · 87.0
Class, average · last
97 · 93
Power
85.0 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$13,916.81

Connections and form

Jockey
Francisco Arrieta
Trainer
Chris Hartman 22/110
Weight · days off
120 · 164d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 29 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfAllowance Optional Claiming3920.0Francisco Arrieta121
Sat 30 AprOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING4790.0——
Sun 20 MarOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3880.0——
Sat 22 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES9790.0——
Sun 2 JanOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2940.0——
Sun 12 DecOAKLAWN PARK6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING11020.0——
Sat 13 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING5830.0——
Thu 23 SepCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2960.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

13 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate