CHURCHILL DOWNS · Race 8 · Allowance Optional Claiming

For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won $10,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of $26,600 Twice Since July 25 Allowed 2 Lbs. $23,400 Since Then Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

←Race 8 of 10→

Result

official
HorseWinPlaceShow
11Republique$6.78$3.92$2.60
25Altered Shot—$3.20$2.30
33Chasing Fireflies——$3.48
PoolFinishOnPaid
Exacta1-5—$9.17
Trifecta1-5-3—$20.76
Superfecta1-5-3-2—$13.18
Allowance Optional Claiming6 Furlongs · Dirt · Fast · Purse $134,000
HorsePaceSpeedClassEVWinMLLive odds
Ready for Change——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$4,057.62

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—
Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Ready for Change.

Altered Shot——————

Probability

Pace

Early
—
Middle
—
Finish
—
Post draw
—

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
—
Career best · average
—
Class, average · last
—
Power
—

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
—
Trainer
—
Weight · days off
—

Colt

Past performances

No prior starts recorded for Altered Shot.

1Republique118 lbLJulien Leparoux54.2913/112/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.9
Middle
3.4
Finish
2.4
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
54.2
Career best · average
89.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
91 · 97
Power
91.5 · 1st in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$25,884.17

Connections and form

Jockey
Julien Leparoux
Trainer
Saffie Joseph, Jr. 0/3
Weight · days off
118 · 30d

L

Past performances
4 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Thu 25 AugSARATOGA1 Mile · Inner turfRiskaverse S.8890.0——
Sat 2 JulDELAWARE PARK1 1/16 Miles · DirtDelaware Oaks4690.0Tyler Conner116
Sun 29 MayGULFSTREAM PARK1 Mile 70 Yards · All Weather TrackAllowance Optional Claiming1920.0Leonel Reyes120
Thu 14 AprGULFSTREAM PARK5 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT1860.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

2Promises to Dance182d off118 lbLJoseph Talamo56.3905/219/3

Probability

Pace

Early
2.4
Middle
3.1
Finish
2.9
Post draw
10.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
56.3
Career best · average
88.0 · 76.0
Class, average · last
90 · 94
Power
65.5 · 6th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$16,820.89

Connections and form

Jockey
Joseph Talamo
Trainer
Brad Cox 9/46
Weight · days off
118 · 182d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 26 MarTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackSTAKES5430.0——
Thu 10 FebTURFWAY PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · All Weather TrackALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING1810.0——
Sun 26 DecTURFWAY PARK6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackSTAKES2880.0——
Sun 28 NovCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT1850.0——
Sun 31 OctCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT2820.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

3Chasing Fireflies118 lbLGabriel Saez55.58210/119/2

Probability

Pace

Early
1.6
Middle
1.1
Finish
1.8
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
83.0 · 78.0
Class, average · last
82 · 97
Power
83.8 · 4th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
$15,180

Connections and form

Jockey
Gabriel Saez
Trainer
John Ortiz 1/8
Weight · days off
118 · 47d

L

Past performances
3 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Mon 8 AugPRESQUE ISLE DOWNS6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackLady Erie S.3820.0Gabriel Saez119
Sat 9 JulELLIS PARK6 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1840.0Gage Holmes113
Thu 9 JunHORSESHOE INDIANAPOLIS6 Furlongs · DirtMaiden Special Weight1750.0Gage Holmes113

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

4Magic Quest405d off121 lbLJames Graham55.5892/17/2

Probability

Pace

Early
1.6
Middle
1.7
Finish
2.9
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.5
Career best · average
86.0 · 85.0
Class, average · last
89 · 92
Power
71.1 · 5th in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
James Graham
Trainer
George Arnold II 5/28
Weight · days off
121 · 405d

L

Past performances
5 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 15 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES2890.0——
Sun 18 JulELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE1920.0——
Sat 5 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT1930.0——
Fri 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT8650.0——
Fri 2 AprKEENELAND6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT2860.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

5Altered Shot121 lbLTyler Gaffalione55.9897/28/5

Probability

Pace

Early
3.3
Middle
2.9
Finish
2.8
Post draw
14.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
92.0 · 83.0
Class, average · last
89 · 93
Power
84.4 · 3rd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
not reported
Wins
—
Earnings
not reported
Per start
not reported

Connections and form

Jockey
Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer
Gregory Foley 5/35
Weight · days off
121 · 84d

L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sat 2 JulCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming2900.0Florent Geroux126
Sun 12 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance1910.0Tyler Gaffalione123
Sat 21 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtStarter Allowance1840.0——
Sat 30 AprCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtCLAIMING1850.0——
Sat 19 MarFAIR GROUNDS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING5690.0——
Sun 15 AugELLIS PARK7 Furlongs · DirtSTAKES6680.0——
Sun 11 JulELLIS PARK1 Mile · DirtALLOWANCE3840.0——
Thu 10 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE2850.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

6Ready for Change121 lbLAdam Beschizza55.99510/123/2

Probability

Pace

Early
4.8
Middle
5.0
Finish
5.5
Post draw
12.0%

Speed and class

Recent form, last 4
55.9
Career best · average
88.0 · 84.0
Class, average · last
95 · 96
Power
85.2 · 2nd in field

Recent form and career are different scales and do not compare. Power is an input to the model, not a second opinion.

Career

Record
19: 3-3-4
Wins
15.8%
Earnings
$152,186
Per start
$8,009.79

Connections and form

Jockey
Adam Beschizza
Trainer
Neil Pessin 1/7
Weight · days off
121 · 48d

Mare · L

Past performances
8 prior starts, most recent first
DateTrackDistance · surfaceClassFinishSpeedJockeyWt
Sun 7 AugELLIS PARK6 1/2 Furlongs · DirtAllowance Optional Claiming3830.0James Graham122
Sat 14 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS——6690.0——
Sun 13 MarFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3900.0——
Sun 13 FebFAIR GROUNDSAbout 5 1/2 Furlongs · TurfALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING3940.0——
Fri 31 DecFAIR GROUNDS5 1/2 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2880.0——
Sat 7 AugARLINGTON6 Furlongs · All Weather TrackALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING2880.0——
Thu 24 JunCHURCHILL DOWNS6 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING6760.0——
Sun 23 MayCHURCHILL DOWNS7 Furlongs · DirtALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING7890.0——

Speed shades across the range these runs cover. A figure the source did not record reads not run rather than as a zero.

8 running

pari-mutuel · odds are indicative until the gate