Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 29, 2020

March 29, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cultivation 3.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Dat Hot Match 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Dancingwithjimmieb 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Holly Hill 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Cookie Cove 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Katniss Kan 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Rosasparks 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Wild About This 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Her Zealous 30.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Socially Astray 30.00 10.3 20-1
4 4 La Guatemalteca 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Tiz Possible Dear 4.00 1.5 3-1
12 11 Enlisting 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Vicky Apple 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Brookes All Mine 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Sweet Blossom 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Valley Date 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 10 Amaluna 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Grace’s Drama 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Kindhearted Kota 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Quick Point 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Dixie Princess 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Motion’s First 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocean Fire 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Pardon My Heart 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Tizahra 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Astoundment 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Rearrange 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mariposa Belle 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Sacred Peace (FR) 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 I’ll Take That 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 New Hope Road 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Center Aisle 2.50 1.1 2-1
13 12 Starlit Daydream 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Senora Roma 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Noudha 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dance d’Oro 6.00 4 8-1
11 10 Countless Fun 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Sovereign Appeal 12.00 9.7 18-1
12 11 Say Moi 12.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Pretty Darling 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Prairie Wings 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cassey’s Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Estilo Talentoso 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lasting Union 15.00 12 23-1
9 9 Market Rumor 15.00 12.4 23-1
8 8 Mijet 20.00 14.7 28-1
1 1 Independent Miss 20.00 14.8 28-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bean Counter 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Trieste (BRZ) 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 I Am Magical (GB) 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Big Tina 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 She Fled the Scene 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Buddy’s Memory 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Whiskarita 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Incredible Miss 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Indicia 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Dr Post 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mud Pie 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Superfecto 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Nocturnal 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Percher 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Rare Stripe 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Tiger’s Back 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Distorted Moon 15.00 8.7 17-1
13 13 Ashiham 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pianzi 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Expensive Style 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fugitive 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sir Kahn 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Tio Wil 20.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Hard Lighting 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 Trinni Dancer 30.00 14.7 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blazing Desire 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Justinthenickotime 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mystery Bank 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 I’m More Ready 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Rebelde 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Kaufy Bean 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Storm Risk 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Castagno 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Faraway Kitten 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 6 Golden Decision 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Morocco 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Forever Mo 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Ambassador Jim 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 9 Westerland (GB) 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dubby Dubbie 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Stone Hands 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Majestic Luna 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Timmy M. 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Tiz Luna 50.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Angelia 1.80 1.2 2-1
7 7 Navasha 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Slingin Sammy B 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Believe Indeed 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Viva Forever 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Remarkable Soul 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Caroline Lois 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Bargainaire 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Urban Fairytale 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sharethegoodtimes 4.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Renata 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Key Biscayne 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 L’Indiscret 6.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Pop a Choc 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bright Street 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sconset 10.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Champagne Train 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Flying Sun 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Altaf 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Publication 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Power of Magic 20.00 10 19-1
9 9 Longpants Required 20.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Justleaveitalone 20.00 11.1 21-1
5 5 Starship Mallomar 30.00 15.6 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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